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What's your trigger? What's your trigger?

07-03-2020 , 07:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrbaseball
A lot of people say TA is 100% BS but if you define it like I do, simply a visual representation of the market everybody uses technical analysis. I stick to the basics with support, resistance, trends, breakouts and mean reversion. Putting all of the pieces together can give you some decent risk/reward scenarios.
i would add i'm a fan of everything you mentioned. the support/resistance is something i hadn't mentioned in my earlier posts.

i like technical analysis stuff that can be easily quantified and tested.... a friend of mine was heavily into fibannaci sp? and barfoulian reversals. i just think when you get too deep into subjective TA it can become gobblygook. and often these people show one instance of it working.

i was also interested in gil morales and that whole IBD momentum crowd..... they looked into pivot pockets (name?). basically wait for consolidation of hot stocks to go back in. i think the theory is that if Netflix spikes, institutions will lay off buying it for awhile... also, lots of work by morales and his cohorts on bottoming processes
What's your trigger? Quote
07-04-2020 , 04:42 AM
For trading discretionary momentum and reactionary. So for longs entry must be green on the day and price above previous days high. Shorts red on the day price crossing below previous days low.
What's your trigger? Quote
07-06-2020 , 01:50 PM
Words

Last edited by BrianTheMick2; 07-06-2020 at 01:51 PM. Reason: Picking on someone who hasn't posted in years seems mean
What's your trigger? Quote
07-06-2020 , 01:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GentlemanJack
If you don't know what a z-score is then stop reading right now, stop investing any more of your money and go read "Fooled by Randomness" before you do anything else and you will thank me later.
Ummm. Knowing how many standard deviations you are above or below the mean is important?

The mean of what variable?
What's your trigger? Quote
07-06-2020 , 09:07 PM
10y-3mo inverted = start scaling out of long positions
Market cap of equities > 150% GDP = GTFO and short everything
What's your trigger? Quote
07-07-2020 , 01:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2
Ummm. Knowing how many standard deviations you are above or below the mean is important?

The mean of what variable?
Mean is only one way to do it. You can also do it with proportions.
What's your trigger? Quote
07-07-2020 , 03:18 PM
my trigger is a z-score above 2.4
What's your trigger? Quote
07-09-2020 , 12:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GentlemanJack
Mean is only one way to do it. You can also do it with proportions.
That wouldn't be a z-score.

Again, what mean (or proportion and statistical analysis using whatever proportion you are proposing) are you suggesting?
What's your trigger? Quote
07-09-2020 , 12:26 AM
Morishita probably already knows, but this is basically a description of my triggers:

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....act_id=2255327
What's your trigger? Quote
07-09-2020 , 10:51 AM
For day trading: I typically scan for stocks that are up big in the pre-market (>20%), are in the $2-$20 range, high relative volume and preferably a float of under 20M shares, and preferably a news catalyst of some sort. If a stock meets those criteria, I'll then look to enter on a break of the pre-market high provided that there's no major resistance levels nearing or big sellers close by on the Level II data.

For swing trades: I don't take these nearly as often and they're mostly based off articles/news releases. Most of them are in flavor of the month sectors - in June they were nearly all EV related... BLNK, SHLL, PLUG, etc.

Edit: PLUG isn't specifically EV, but you get the point.

Last edited by CandyKreep; 07-09-2020 at 11:07 AM.
What's your trigger? Quote

      
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