Quote:
Originally Posted by aggo
I dont like being short here anything.
Macro wise being short is a crowded trade right now. Bitmex perpetual funding was capped negative for half a day or so, and bfx shorts are at 56%. So market structure has changed IMO. We dumped from 6500 to 6000 effectively without these markers and it was just guys getting shaken out like crazy, just market selling relentlessly. For the record I quote the btc price because they are all correlated, its all interchangeable with other coins.
On Bfx there aws a serious attempt to break 6k clean as alot of people margin shorted 6k area and there was a 5k btc 5m candle volume. They couldnt even break 5900. Right now its about 5x more expensive to hold a short on bfx than long on btcusd
Do people want me to stop posting these kinds of messages?
nah much appreciated ( I don't have Bitfinex account and don't follow what's going on there close enough).
looks like now only XMR, DASH, and BTC have shorts outweighing longs on there. Wondering if XMR semi held up against other big alts due to whatever the hype for it/fluffypony @ Defcon. proper dump on it last couple days which I have not enjoyed.
Lot of signals (and including just pure oversold) for a strong alt bounce.
ETH/BTC getting back to .054 would just frustrate the max amount of people and put major indecision in the market (and may be a chance for those wanting out to release some alt bags). A 3-day or weekly candle closing back above that line would be fun.
Short that re-test if you're a bear.