Quote:
Originally Posted by noobpoker
what is your explanation for the present stock price then? and future prediction?
they barely made any money, are heavily in debt with little equity. Yet the market values them at almost 18 billion. So they need to make north of like 10-12 billion$ (v rough estimate) the next 5-10 years for this valuation to be reasonable. They wont do that with a luxury car as that market is too small. So they need to mass produce a cheaper car, which they havent even proven yet.
If they do make one succesfully for cheap, they need to sell it in very large numbers and do much better then all the other car companies, to not get outcompeted. So there are already two pretty big what if's here. And IF they do all that, then you maybe double your money in the next 5-10 years, which comes down to like a 10-20 % return on your money. And this is only in some super optimistic and pretty unlikely best case scenario.
So to sum it up, you MIGHT double your money if they:
1: come up with new tech to mass produce a cheap car cheaply, because lets be honest, the tech isnt there yet to do this now.
and 2: They then have to sell that car in big numbers and not get outcompeted if their competitors also have that tech. Pretty ***** big what ifs for very little upside imo.
Also not saying they will go broke here, but just that they are super overvalued for what they are, a gimmicky luxury car company. But most people are in this to speculate i guess, and sell it to the next sucker. But the stock price has to go down, unless they very soon show a really convincing way they will mass produce an electric car that will be just as good or better and cheaper (in use and price) then current cars, and then competition.