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Originally Posted by Mihkel05
They are very clearly an energy company.
Toyota are an energy company too. They make tanks that can be filled up with stored energy with an energy conversion unit to term chemical energy into kinetic energy. The produce these by the millions. On top of that, they make and provide and research hydrogen fuel cells for lots of purposes. So let's not analyze them as a car company - they're an energy company, guys!
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I think I'm one of the few people who posts here who actually understands tech strategy.
Perhaps, but I personally haven't seen that demonstrated.
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I vaguely remember a time when I was talking about Uber as a logistics company which is obvious now, but apparently I was "fever brained" then.
It's a meaningless abstraction - it lights up a bulb in your (literally, your) brain, but it doesn't mean anything. All the money in the abstract class of "logistics", as Uber are doing it, lies in human transport. Whoever wins the big portions of that, wins the general category of logistics. So the fact that they're doing UberPizzaDelivery and hinting at UberTrucking, yo! is irrelevant to analyzing the company. It's noise, PR, nonsense.
It's similar with Tesla as an "energy company" - it's noise, PR, nonsense. Tesla will live or die at their current valuation as a car company and only as a car company. Nothing they do in the cutthroat battery world is going to matter - they have no structural or research advantage, for one, and for two, the industry is moving so rapidly and with such fierce competitors and government-backed involvement that you can't get a stable enough position to ever get meaningful profit.
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Then Musk buys out his own solar company and releases another energy product.
We all know why Musk bought out his own solar company. It was in serious financial trouble and he was bailing himself and his friends/family out with Tesla money. Even his most ardent supporters said it made no sense and was basically cronyism.
That he bailed out a near bankrupt solar sales company to bail himself out and stop horrible headlines tanking the shares of Tesla doesn't mean they're now an energy company.
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I honestly don't understand how people can be so utterly wrong about strategic planning for businesses. Here is another obvious one: Google is moving to an X-aaS company from an ad company.
Nope. Google are adding various X-aaS to what they offer in ads (and the X is broad for sure), but the biggest portion of their revenue will be in ads for decades to come (unless they get a head start in something like robotics which explodes), because ad spending is a meaningful portion of global GDP output, and will be for decades.
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They've been telegraphing this for half a decade, but I'm sure that will receive the same derision. Guess actually having a clue about the tech helps to see obvious strategy being carried out.
Giving a good abstraction/analogy doesn't make a bad one any better.