Quote:
Originally Posted by theviolator
Am I a bad person for being sick to my stomach that my friend has nearly made a Million on TSLA options in the last six months. He's a huge Tesla honk owning two of them. Made out big pre Covid, then somehow luckboxed his way around the COVID dip, YOLO'ing at nearly the exact bottom. Doesn't have a clue about concepts like NPV, ROIC, etc. It takes me nearly 4 years to save that kind of dough.
I'm happy for anyone who wins, as long as it's not from exploitation. That's just a good attitude to have for life.
And that kind of humility is an intellectually honest one as well. You have no idea if your friend's take on Tesla was correct or not. I know Tesla bulls are absolute morons who are very gullible and have comically wrong theses on the stock (see for example heltok's bull cases for revenue and profits back in 2017 (and again now) which were comedic megamisses, or anyone who was dumb enough to think FSD was other than a fraud/an absolute zero chance), but who knows if there's a deeper wisdom they have where they're actually tapping into positive sentiment/belief in Musk's ability to keep pumping the stock (without which they wouldn't even have the comically wrong theses to begin with). Perhaps they're morons at analysis but not morons at gauging sentiment or market mood. Sometimes it pays to be a lemming to understand what lemmings will do.
In the end, you don't know. The only stock where I'm sure the person is dead wrong with no redeeming qualities and deserve to lose everything are things like bio fraud stocks. Tesla is a bit of a mixed bag - there is a real business and there are outlier bull cases where confidence in Musk allows him to get enough capital to keep going forever, and eventually get there just by pure accretion of talent and capital over time, especially when the going gets tough and others are struggling.