Quote:
and because our hero is doing heroic things:
That 4 point argument is ridiculous.
1/ China says no new cases when the entire city has been in full lockdown for 2 months, and they did horrible things to achieve that, that would not go over well in the West (isolating the sick forcefully, knocking on doors and checking for fevers, checking for fevers at various checkpoints you need to get through to get food,...).
2/ Optimistic death rate is 1%, if whole world gets it, that's 77 million. In zones where flattening the curve doesn't help, death rate could move to a much higher leve, we don't know if that's 2% or even more since we don't have accurate infection data from any region that has become overloaded (unless you want to trust Wuhan numbers I guess).
10-100m is not crazy for pessimistic scenarios of what could happen if this spirals out of control.
3/ Italy death graph is not leveling out at all:
https://www.worldometers.info/corona...country/italy/
I really hope it starts happening today, though.
4/ We have vastly different societies than China/SK/SG and they are not back to normal. Very strict rules are in place and one of the differences between China/SK/SG and the EU/USA is that very little people break rules that are in place. Until we have idiots like EM shouting this type of crap, that's not going to happen here (if at all).
This is being retweeted by someone that a lot of people consider one of the most intelligent people alive.