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TSLA showing cracks? TSLA showing cracks?

09-03-2019 , 12:51 AM
X has a higher accident rate.

X has a higher fatality rate.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 03:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrFeelNothin
X has a higher accident rate.

X has a higher fatality rate.
It's clear the factual and statistical premise underlying this debate is dicey (on both sides). Common problem on forums but acutely bad itt.

Should Tesla limit the speed and acceleration of its vehicles with a software update (until FSD)?

EDIT: class action lawsuit based on accidents due to speed/acceleration have no legs, the performance characteristics have always been publicly available (so Tesla owners weren't misled) and non-Tesla owners should sue the Tesla driver who misused the vehicle (and their insurer), not Tesla. It would take a really dumb ambulance chasing attorney to even attempt this.

Last edited by despacito; 09-03-2019 at 03:55 AM.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 04:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by despacito
It's clear the factual and statistical premise underlying this debate is dicey (on both sides). Common problem on forums but acutely bad itt.

Should Tesla limit the speed and acceleration of its vehicles with a software update (until FSD)?

EDIT: class action lawsuit based on accidents due to speed/acceleration have no legs, the performance characteristics have always been publicly available (so Tesla owners weren't misled) and non-Tesla owners should sue the Tesla driver who misused the vehicle (and their insurer), not Tesla. It would take a really dumb ambulance chasing attorney to even attempt this.
A ****ing electric scooter or skateboard will have a different mode for beginners, offering some training wheels mode should be mandatory with that kind of cars that belong more on a track than on some road performance-wise.

Discussing accident rate on tesla is complicated since users are gaming the system all the time on teslas, using fake phone holders not to hold the steering wheels while using autopilot, using autopilot where they are not allowed. and obviously musk is underreporting issues aswell on the other side of the argument.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 05:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by despacito
Just want to confirm I have TS logic down right.

We have two cars: X and Y.

X has a lower fatality rate per accident than Y (ie. you are less likely to die if you are in an accident).

X accelerates faster and has a higher top speed than Y.

We should all be outraged at X and also short its stock.
You're don't want to confirm the logic at all, you want to make **** up and throw out distractions to avoid the fact that the hard data on this topic shows that Musk is a liar and a fraud with his claims about the safety of his cars.

You're trying (and failing miserably, but still trying) to gaslight to protect someone who's literally killing people with his lies so he can sell his vaporware. That's the kind of piece of **** you are.

Tesla cars have higher accident rates, higher death rates, and we know that autopilot is seriously flawed in multiple ways it shouldn't be flawed (it shouldn't get confused by highway lanes and run people at full speed into concrete dividers, for example, especially after claiming it can fully navigate "highway on ramp to off ramp" safely and has "emergency braking" and "collision avoidance". The Apple engineer that Musk and his team killed with their lies, spin and incompetence had a wrong idea about the safety of autopilot despite being an intelligent techie.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 06:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
You're don't want to confirm the logic at all, you want to make **** up and throw out distractions to avoid the fact that the hard data on this topic shows that Musk is a liar and a fraud with his claims about the safety of his cars.

You're trying (and failing miserably, but still trying) to gaslight to protect someone who's literally killing people with his lies so he can sell his vaporware. That's the kind of piece of **** you are.

Tesla cars have higher accident rates, higher death rates, and we know that autopilot is seriously flawed in multiple ways it shouldn't be flawed (it shouldn't get confused by highway lanes and run people at full speed into concrete dividers, for example, especially after claiming it can fully navigate "highway on ramp to off ramp" safely and has "emergency braking" and "collision avoidance". The Apple engineer that Musk and his team killed with their lies, spin and incompetence had a wrong idea about the safety of autopilot despite being an intelligent techie.
Why don't you focus on posting credible sources and statistics?

You could start with an English language source for the Norway data.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
A ****ing electric scooter or skateboard will have a different mode for beginners, offering some training wheels mode should be mandatory with that kind of cars that belong more on a track than on some road performance-wise.
A training mode and/or a mandatory training course both seem like reasonable options to me.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 06:38 AM
Or just a cap on performance. Safety issues were what finally drove F-1 to put caps on F1 specs even though F1 was originally conceived as competition for the fastest cars we can build.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 06:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by despacito
Why don't you focus on posting credible (English language) sources and statistics?

You could start with an English language source for the Norway data.
This is your lowest (highest?) moment yet.

I posted the IIHS data on accident insurance claims which is for the US, which shows that Tesla has a substantially higher rate. Now Norway shows the same. As for you complaining it's in another language, like I said, you are the dumbest person ever to post on 2p2. Apparently you've never heard of Google translating a web page.

Let's recap on the claims of despacito:

- Industry reports showing Tesla dead last in autonomy are "bullshit"
- US insurance data from the industry body showing higher claims from Tesla vehicles than others are made up
- Norway insurance data showing far higher claims from Tesla vehicles "aren't in English" and not credible
- Tesladeaths.com, each death fully sourced to linked reliable news reports, aren't credible. Comparing with other late model luxury cars (showing Tesla 3x higher) is "bullshit"
- Comically incompetent "advanced summon" that fails on every level as people can see for themselves is "an almost functional product with a few wrinkles to be ironed out"

Even you must realize that you're coming across as an utter clown. What's your angle? Getting paid to shill for Tesla (they do pay a social media team and they're incompetent enough to pay an utter joke like yourself who is actually perfect negative PR with your incompetence)? Think you're doing The Lord's Work by lying and shilling for Musk? I don't get it. I've never met someone as delusional as you so you're either paid or crazy.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 07:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
This is your lowest (highest?) moment yet.

I posted the IIHS data on accident insurance claims which is for the US, which shows that Tesla has a substantially higher rate. Now Norway shows the same. As for you complaining it's in another language, like I said, you are the dumbest person ever to post on 2p2. Apparently you've never heard of Google translating a web page.

Let's recap on the claims of despacito:

- Industry reports showing Tesla dead last in autonomy are "bullshit"
- US insurance data from the industry body showing higher claims from Tesla vehicles than others are made up
- Norway insurance data showing far higher claims from Tesla vehicles "aren't in English" and not credible
- Tesladeaths.com, each death fully sourced to linked reliable news reports, aren't credible. Comparing with other late model luxury cars (showing Tesla 3x higher) is "bullshit"
- Comically incompetent "advanced summon" that fails on every level as people can see for themselves is "an almost functional product with a few wrinkles to be ironed out"

Even you must realize that you're coming across as an utter clown. What's your angle? Getting paid to shill for Tesla (they do pay a social media team and they're incompetent enough to pay an utter joke like yourself who is actually perfect negative PR with your incompetence)? Think you're doing The Lord's Work by lying and shilling for Musk? I don't get it. I've never met someone as delusional as you so you're either paid or crazy.
Google translate does not capture nuance and unless you regularly read elbil24.no it's impossible to put the article in context and read it critically. Probably fine if your goal is to push a specific agenda, less helpful if you want to gauge veracity with an open mind.

As for [company name]deaths.com, not the URL I'd choose for an objective and unbiased source of information on an industry.

lol @ me being a paid shill because I don't swallow your extremely biased sources of info.

Sounds like Tesla acknowledge the issue and are addressing it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by elbil24.no

Roland also says they have now launched a software update that will limit rapid acceleration in unsuitable areas...

Communications Manager in Tesla Norway, Even Sandvold Roland, thinks the size of their cars may have something to do with the matter.

- Until recently, Tesla supplied only Model S and Model X, which are spacious family cars. We see from our trade-in statistics that our customers often come from significantly shorter and narrower cars, and it's clear that a larger car requires some driver familiarity, even though we have good and user-friendly sensor systems, says Roland.
The article says fossil fuel cars have a 9% damage rate (sample size: 3 million, injuries: 283,110). EVs have a 13.5% damage rate (sample size = 200,359). Teslas have a damage rate of 20.4% (sample size unknown, my estimate is 40,000).

I'm not denying there is a problem that needs to be addressed ASAP.

But cute that you didn't mention the dramatically different sample sizes. You compare 200K+ injuries of 3 million vehicles to 8000 of 40,000 as if it's a perfectly valid comparison.

Shame on you.

Back to my point above, please raise your very low and dishonest standards for sources and data.

Last edited by despacito; 09-03-2019 at 08:16 AM.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 08:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by despacito
Google translate does not capture nuance and unless you regularly read elbil24.no it's impossible to put the article in context and read it critically. Probably fine if your goal is to push a specific agenda, less helpful if you want to gauge veracity with an open mind.
Dude you are an assclown. Norway's industry body reports the same that the US industry body does - that Tesla are involved in more accidents (by far). This directly contradict your and Musk's claim that Teslas are invovled in fewer accidents. Add in the fact that Musk is a known serial liar and fraud. The end.

Quote:
As for [company name]deaths.com, not the URL I'd choose for an objective and unbiased source of information on an industry.
I completely agree, which is why tesladeaths.com has a linked mainstream news reference source for every single death. I've mentioned this three times and you still try to throw shade. You're a dishonest loser.

Quote:
lol @ me being a paid shill because I don't swallow your extremely biased sources of info.
Fully referenced lists and the industry body for insurance stats in two different countries are "extremely biased"? You're either a paid shill or crazy. You even claimed the IIHS insurance data was "made up by insurance companies".

Quote:
Sounds like Tesla acknowledge the issue and are addressing it.
Meanwhile, about 30 posts ago you claimed (quoting Musk) there's no issue and Tesla are far safer, then lied, conspiracied and sophisted away all information that said otherwise. You're either a paid shill or crazy.

Quote:
The article says fossil fuel cars have a 9% damage rate (sample size: 3 million, injuries: 283,110). EVs have a 13.5% damage rate (sample size = 200,359). Teslas have a damage rate of 20.4% (sample size unknown, my estimate is 40,000).

I'm not denying there is a problem that needs to be addressed ASAP.
You were denying there's a problem until I rammed the stats down your throat...the US industry body stats I first posted you first claimed were "made up by the insurance companies". At least now seeing the Norway ones you're dropping a little of your obfuscation and/or crazy delusion and admitting there is in fact a problem. Any mea culpa for your previous stupidity, lies and conspiritarding?

Quote:
But cute that you didn't mention the dramatically different sample sizes as you were foaming at the mouth and mashing your keyboard with failed short seller outrage.
I go long more often than I go short, so your "evil short seller" narrative is cute. I will be very sad as a trader once Tesla is gone. And like I said, you're the dumbest person who ever posted on 2p2. 8000 of 40,000 is two orders of magnitude more than required to establish a reliable confidence interval when the incidence rate is 20%. You're on a poker site for ****'s sake and you can't calculate a confidence interval?

Quote:
You compare 200K+ injuries of 3 million vehicles to 8000 of 40,000 as if it's a perfectly valid comparison. Would you stay that shows integrity and an honest intention to represent the facts?
Yes, it would, it shows perfect integrity and honesty. The is you comically admitting you don't know have the most basic clue of statistics.

Thank you for betting an utter assclown, I couldn't ask for a more stupid opponent. You're doing a tremendous job making Tesla look awful; without you those videos of advanced summon failing wouldn't be posted, neither would the death stats.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 08:31 AM
You don't understand stats on the most basic level if you think 40k isn't a sufficient sample
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 09:18 AM
Yeah, the guy's a clown. 8000 of 40,000 not a valid sample for population comparison is just awesomely dumb. You don't even need to know any statistics; it's intuitively obvious if you're not a raging dumbass like despacito.

Anyway...more interesting insurance data, this time on fires. Musk claims Teslas have 1/5 the fire rate of other cars (and I actually believed the liar/fraud for some reason; lack of gasoline seems like they'd have fewer fires unless something is seriously wrong with Teslas). Yet here is the insurance data:



2.5x the fire claim rate despite no gasoline is just incredible; much higher fire severity score as well. It's amazing that this fraud gets away with all these false claims; I guess that's the halo effect from a decade of carefully tended positive press.

This does actually have sample size issues but the S shows similar numbers, much higher claim rate and much higher severity. Both S & X have the worst fire stats of the class in they're in (Luxury and Large SUV).

Regardless, the point of it is to show that the data we have shows the exact opposite of Musk claims of fewer accidents and fewer fires.

Last edited by ToothSayer; 09-03-2019 at 09:27 AM.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 09:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
Dude you are an assclown. Norway's industry body reports the same that the US industry body does - that Tesla are involved in more accidents (by far). This directly contradict your and Musk's claim that Teslas are invovled in fewer accidents. Add in the fact that Musk is a known serial liar and fraud. The end.


I completely agree, which is why tesladeaths.com has a linked mainstream news reference source for every single death. I've mentioned this three times and you still try to throw shade. You're a dishonest loser.


Fully referenced lists and the industry body for insurance stats in two different countries are "extremely biased"? You're either a paid shill or crazy. You even claimed the IIHS insurance data was "made up by insurance companies".


Meanwhile, about 30 posts ago you claimed (quoting Musk) there's no issue and Tesla are far safer, then lied, conspiracied and sophisted away all information that said otherwise. You're either a paid shill or crazy.


You were denying there's a problem until I rammed the stats down your throat...the US industry body stats I first posted you first claimed were "made up by the insurance companies". At least now seeing the Norway ones you're dropping a little of your obfuscation and/or crazy delusion and admitting there is in fact a problem. Any mea culpa for your previous stupidity, lies and conspiritarding?


I go long more often than I go short, so your "evil short seller" narrative is cute. I will be very sad as a trader once Tesla is gone. And like I said, you're the dumbest person who ever posted on 2p2. 8000 of 40,000 is two orders of magnitude more than required to establish a reliable confidence interval when the incidence rate is 20%. You're on a poker site for ****'s sake and you can't calculate a confidence interval?


Yes, it would, it shows perfect integrity and honesty. The is you comically admitting you don't know have the most basic clue of statistics.

Thank you for betting an utter assclown, I couldn't ask for a more stupid opponent. You're doing a tremendous job making Tesla look awful; without you those videos of advanced summon failing wouldn't be posted, neither would the death stats.
Why not Bayesian?

More importantly I think you should spend more time thinking about the cause of the accidents. There are a few possible scenarios, some of them pretty damning for Tesla, some not at all so.

Where is the insurance data from in your last post? Is linking your source a difficult concept for you to grasp?

Last edited by despacito; 09-03-2019 at 09:33 AM.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 11:08 AM
ITT I learned that Norwegian is not a credible language. My ancestors are crushed.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 12:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
You're don't want to confirm the logic at all, you want to make **** up and throw out distractions to avoid the fact that the hard data on this topic shows that Musk is a liar and a fraud with his claims about the safety of his cars.

You're trying (and failing miserably, but still trying) to gaslight to protect someone who's literally killing people with his lies so he can sell his vaporware. That's the kind of piece of **** you are.

Tesla cars have higher accident rates, higher death rates, and we know that autopilot is seriously flawed in multiple ways it shouldn't be flawed (it shouldn't get confused by highway lanes and run people at full speed into concrete dividers, for example, especially after claiming it can fully navigate "highway on ramp to off ramp" safely and has "emergency braking" and "collision avoidance". The Apple engineer that Musk and his team killed with their lies, spin and incompetence had a wrong idea about the safety of autopilot despite being an intelligent techie.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
This is your lowest (highest?) moment yet.

I posted the IIHS data on accident insurance claims which is for the US, which shows that Tesla has a substantially higher rate. Now Norway shows the same. As for you complaining it's in another language, like I said, you are the dumbest person ever to post on 2p2. Apparently you've never heard of Google translating a web page.

Let's recap on the claims of despacito:

- Industry reports showing Tesla dead last in autonomy are "bullshit"
- US insurance data from the industry body showing higher claims from Tesla vehicles than others are made up
- Norway insurance data showing far higher claims from Tesla vehicles "aren't in English" and not credible
- Tesladeaths.com, each death fully sourced to linked reliable news reports, aren't credible. Comparing with other late model luxury cars (showing Tesla 3x higher) is "bullshit"
- Comically incompetent "advanced summon" that fails on every level as people can see for themselves is "an almost functional product with a few wrinkles to be ironed out"

Even you must realize that you're coming across as an utter clown.What's your angle? Getting paid to shill for Tesla (they do pay a social media team and they're incompetent enough to pay an utter joke like yourself who is actually perfect negative PR with your incompetence)? Think you're doing The Lord's Work by lying and shilling for Musk? I don't get it. I've never met someone as delusional as you so you're either paid or crazy.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
Dude you are an assclown. Norway's industry body reports the same that the US industry body does - that Tesla are involved in more accidents (by far). This directly contradict your and Musk's claim that Teslas are invovled in fewer accidents. Add in the fact that Musk is a known serial liar and fraud. The end.


I completely agree, which is why tesladeaths.com has a linked mainstream news reference source for every single death. I've mentioned this three times and you still try to throw shade. You're a dishonest loser.


Fully referenced lists and the industry body for insurance stats in two different countries are "extremely biased"? You're either a paid shill or crazy. You even claimed the IIHS insurance data was "made up by insurance companies".


Meanwhile, about 30 posts ago you claimed (quoting Musk) there's no issue and Tesla are far safer, then lied, conspiracied and sophisted away all information that said otherwise. You're either a paid shill or crazy.


You were denying there's a problem until I rammed the stats down your throat...the US industry body stats I first posted you first claimed were "made up by the insurance companies". At least now seeing the Norway ones you're dropping a little of your obfuscation and/or crazy delusion and admitting there is in fact a problem. Any mea culpa for your previous stupidity, lies and conspiritarding?


I go long more often than I go short, so your "evil short seller" narrative is cute. I will be very sad as a trader once Tesla is gone. And like I said, you're the dumbest person who ever posted on 2p2. 8000 of 40,000 is two orders of magnitude more than required to establish a reliable confidence interval when the incidence rate is 20%. You're on a poker site for ****'s sake and you can't calculate a confidence interval?


Yes, it would, it shows perfect integrity and honesty. The is you comically admitting you don't know have the most basic clue of statistics.

Thank you for betting an utter assclown, I couldn't ask for a more stupid opponent. You're doing a tremendous job making Tesla look awful; without you those videos of advanced summon failing wouldn't be posted, neither would the death stats.
Just wanted to bold all the high quality aspects to TS posts... Someone needs anger management lol.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 12:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by despacito
. The article says fossil fuel cars have a 9% damage rate (sample size: 3 million, injuries: 283,110). EVs have a 13.5% damage rate (sample size = 200,359). Teslas have a damage rate of 20.4% (sample size unknown, my estimate is 40,000).

I'm not denying there is a problem that needs to be addressed ASAP.
Seems like you captured the nuance of the article just fine
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 12:25 PM
Rather than have TS and despacito further make this thread unreadable, hopefully WBF can provide an update since he actually owns a Model 3 unlike pretty much everyone in this thread.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 01:21 PM
Despacito has one. He napped in it while it drove him to the recent shareholders meeting.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 01:26 PM
this twitter thread:


scary stuff

guess a huge fire truck in the middle of the road is one of those 'edge cases' they still have to work on

Last edited by BooLoo; 09-03-2019 at 01:38 PM.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 03:36 PM
I've actually wondered about this for a while, how are the FSD features available to Tesla owners actually legal? Do you have to sign a huge TOS before you activate it? What does it say?

What are legal consequences if you have an accident while using FSD features?

Are the FSD features blocked in certain jurisdictions because legally it doesn't work?
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-03-2019 , 05:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ASAP17
Rather than have TS and despacito further make this thread unreadable, hopefully WBF can provide an update since he actually owns a Model 3 unlike pretty much everyone in this thread.
Fwiw, we'd definitely be interested in getting a 7-seater Model Y.

(Assuming the company isn't insolvent and that the car won't kill us, of course. Neither of which should be taken for granted.)
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-04-2019 , 02:10 PM
FWIW JKC Europe August country by country numbers are out and Tesla is still down QoQ approximately 5% even though Netherlands is +900 deliveries approximately.

Also what is this crap about owning a car as a prerequisite to discussion? This thread is for discussion of $tsla. If you want to make a skin in the game argument the right standard would be owning $tsla stock or options.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-04-2019 , 02:32 PM
By most accounts the Tesla seems like a fun car to drive. The car isn't the company though
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-04-2019 , 02:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ASAP17
Just wanted to bold all the high quality aspects to TS posts... Someone needs anger management lol.
To be honest, it's been more than five years now since he started ranting about Tesla. By now, there are a million things to point at on both sides that can support your view. Meanwhile, the stock price is still not at $0 and Tesla has not gone bankrupt. At some point, you have to admit that the only chance of ever being right is by moving the goal post constantly.


Meanwhile, Porsche's Tesla killer the Taycan will be priced at more than $150k for the Turbo version and $180k for the Turbo S.
Another indication that the existing car companies just can't compete in Tesla's segment.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-04-2019 , 03:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
[...]
- Amazingly, cheaper than a Model S at $67,000 to $85,000, and way cheaper than a Roadster
[...]
These sort of fictional futures are what bears base their bankruptcy scenarios on. This is off by $100k...
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
09-04-2019 , 03:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
So he's nearly a billion dollars in the hole, secured against nearly $4 billion in Tesla stock given then 25% rule? That's a margin call and a half waiting to happen. No wonder he's so desperate to pump the stock however he can. His entire world collapses, not to mention Tesla stock, if it gets below $230 or so.
Another completely made up scenario that was supposed to happen, but when reality struck, somehow none of it shows.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote

      
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