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TSLA showing cracks? TSLA showing cracks?

05-22-2019 , 08:29 AM
Zac and Jesse are awesome
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
05-22-2019 , 09:02 AM
What an absolute cuckshow. Consumer Reports today:

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Tesla has updated its Navigate on Autopilot software to enable certain vehicles to automatically change lanes, however Consumer Reports said the feature does not work very well and could create potential safety risks for drivers, Consumer Reports' Keith Barry reports, citing tests of the feature. The tests found that Navigate on Autopilot lagged far behind a human driver's skills, cutting off vehicles without leaving enough room and passing other cars in ways that violate state laws. "The system's role should be to help the driver, but the way this technology is deployed, it's the other way around," said Jake Fisher, Consumer Reports' senior director of auto testing. "It's incredibly nearsighted. It doesn't appear to react to brake lights or turn signals, it can't anticipate what other drivers will do, and as a result, you constantly have to be one step ahead of it."
Full autonomy in 8 months guy, and 1 million autonomous robotaxis in 2020!

Recall that this new "hands free" lane changing feature was released just days before "Autonomous Investor Day" last month, which occurred immediately before earnings and a raise - and Musk spent the entire raise call deflecting questions about demand and reservations back to 2020 robotaxis. This was obviously rushed out nowhere near ready to have something to show fake progress and generate excitement.

You see why he does this though - Alex Wice, a bright guy, was going to back him with >$100K on this pure obvious fraud. How many non-bright guys did?

Last edited by ToothSayer; 05-22-2019 at 09:08 AM.
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05-22-2019 , 09:17 AM
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Originally Posted by ToothSayer
How many lives would be saved if Tesla had a popup warning that said:

Tesla autopilot is very unreliable and cannot detect stationary objects on the road. It is guaranteed to slam you and your car into stationary objects on the road at full speed without braking at over 60 miles per hour. Please exercise extreme caution when using autopilot. Also, we will have level 5 full autonomous driving ready for your robotaxi in 8 months! Available for preorder. Buy now! Only $5000 and definitely coming in 3 to 6 months.

But then Musk would sell less FSD fraud and have less stock pumping ability. He's literally killing people for his own prestige and to maintain his billionaire lifestyle.

It can't be fixed. Tesla's self driving hardware and software can't differentiate between overpasses, signs and trucks. They have been unable to solve this problem in over three years since the first accident. But they'll have fully solved level 5 autonomy in 8 months.

The basic problem is that if they turn on stationary object detection, Teslas will slam to a stop for overpasses and signs as it can't tell the difference. Their crack software team haven't been able to solve this problem in 3 years despite current cars supposedly having "all the hardware necessary for FSD".
All this is equally true for every other adaptive cruise control on the market. And it's in the damn manual. Tesla is extremely clear about the limitations of the Autopilot adaptive cruise control.
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05-22-2019 , 09:46 AM
Tesla's are universally considered fun to drive. I don't think anyone has done a test drive of multiple EV brands and walked away thinking the Tesla was **** in comparison. The product is pretty good.. it just isn't quite what Musk needs you to believe for him to pull this off at the moment
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05-22-2019 , 09:59 AM
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Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
All this is equally true for every other adaptive cruise control on the market. And it's in the damn manual. Tesla is extremely clear about the limitations of the Autopilot adaptive cruise control.
We've had this argument and you've lost, just like every other one.

It's sold as "autopilot" with now "full self driving features" and "forward radar", "automatic braking", "collision avoidance", on cars with "fully self driving hardware right now" by a guy who's promising fully autonomous robotaxis next year on all Tesla cars.

You can see why people get confused, no? It's adaptive cruise control sold and hyped as something far more. Musk is basically killing people to keep his stock price up.

It's amusing that you grunched that post with Consumer Reports bagging autopilot safety directly above it.
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05-22-2019 , 10:31 AM
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Originally Posted by ToothSayer
What an absolute cuckshow. Consumer Reports today:


Full autonomy in 8 months guy, and 1 million autonomous robotaxis in 2020!

Recall that this new "hands free" lane changing feature was released just days before "Autonomous Investor Day" last month, which occurred immediately before earnings and a raise - and Musk spent the entire raise call deflecting questions about demand and reservations back to 2020 robotaxis. This was obviously rushed out nowhere near ready to have something to show fake progress and generate excitement.

You see why he does this though - Alex Wice, a bright guy, was going to back him with >$100K on this pure obvious fraud. How many non-bright guys did?
Can you stop mentioning Alex Wice by name already? You've mentioned him at least 3 times since he last posted in here.

Almost everyone agrees here that it was a bad idea, but there's no reason to rub it in. If I were him your constant prodding would be an excellent reason to stop posting here, which isn't your goal.

It's really easy to make your point without calling him out, esp. since you seem to genuinely think he's a good/intelligent poster.
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05-22-2019 , 10:41 AM
I don't mean to single him out and I doubt he'd take offense. I'm just more than a little surprised that someone as bright as Alex Wice could fall for a pure fraud. Even regulars here - gbp, myrna who KNOW Musk was a fraud gave a small chance he could do it or had doubts/questions. I don't get it. I guess it's standard human FOMO + a little understood area.
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05-22-2019 , 11:03 AM
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Originally Posted by coordi
Tesla's are universally considered fun to drive. I don't think anyone has done a test drive of multiple EV brands and walked away thinking the Tesla was **** in comparison. The product is pretty good.. it just isn't quite what Musk needs you to believe for him to pull this off at the moment
It's not about a test drive though, considering there is literally 0 qa done to these tin cans. It's like buying a coinflip from the grim reaper, heads you live tails you are beheaded by a semi or burned up in a battery fire.
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05-22-2019 , 11:41 AM
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Originally Posted by thethrill009
I'm happy that the trade has worked out for you, but its ridiculous horrible gambling to bet "most of your liquid" on tsla dropping by the end of the year after 4 years with a very very similar fundamental story and the resilient SP. You aren't the only one who can read twitter, yet the SP didn't move.

Odds that they stayed around 300 for 8 more months were waaaaaay too high for you to reasonably do that with "most of your liquid." Again, had they only had a 500m loss instead of 900m, which many bears were assuming, you'd still be sweating this very moment.

Have you been short for the past 4 years and basically shipped the rest in now? Ever heard the phrase, "the market can be irrational longer than you can stay solvent?"

I'm not denying the fundemental thesis, but that money management will prob see you go busto even with this win.
Yeah, no ****. I am a degen.
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05-22-2019 , 11:52 AM
I definitely messed up covering. Puts looking good though.
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05-22-2019 , 11:57 AM
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Originally Posted by protonewb
The cars become relics. Someone will set up "service centers" to try to keep them running at outrageous prices. What happened to the Deloreans? The Tuckers? Car companies have died in the past.

Nobody is buying Tesla before bankruptcy, the mountain of debt and horrible cap structure will cause them to wait and pick over the scraps in a reorg.

There are other high end EVs - eTron, Taycan, iPace, etc. Tesla is already losing to these cars in parts of europe. Eventually they will lose to them everywhere because those cars are actually...built well...and have a viable service infrastructure.

Elon leaving/being forced out will just accelerate the process.
i can see the saudis or someone like that stepping in here at $50 and try to negotiate with creditors/panasonic/other parties like nevada or new york.

the scraps aren't really worth that much. i think it's in the interest of everyone to keep it going as a single company.

Last edited by BooLoo; 05-22-2019 at 12:03 PM.
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05-22-2019 , 12:30 PM
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Originally Posted by ToothSayer
We've had this argument and you've lost, just like every other one.

It's sold as "autopilot" with now "full self driving features" and "forward radar", "automatic braking", "collision avoidance", on cars with "fully self driving hardware right now" by a guy who's promising fully autonomous robotaxis next year on all Tesla cars.

You can see why people get confused, no? It's adaptive cruise control sold and hyped as something far more. Musk is basically killing people to keep his stock price up.

It's amusing that you grunched that post with Consumer Reports bagging autopilot safety directly above it.
I mean it's literally in the manual that Autopilot can't handle the exact situation that led to the crash.
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05-22-2019 , 12:36 PM
I mean it's literally in the name that it's an Autopilot and most people will think it drives the car. Plus, driverless taxis are coming soon!
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05-22-2019 , 12:40 PM
We've been over this, but exactly like an aircraft autopilot, Tesla's Autopilot must be constantly monitored and supervised. The name is only misleading for people like that tooth sayer guy who fundamentally misunderstand aircraft automation.
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05-22-2019 , 12:41 PM
You're right. The average guy is going to have a sound basis on how an airplane works.
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05-22-2019 , 12:43 PM
I mean yeah, if everyone misunderstands aircraft automation to the degree that tooth sayer guy does then sure, it probably isn't a great idea to call the system Autopilot.
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05-22-2019 , 01:11 PM
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Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
We've been over this, but exactly like an aircraft autopilot, Tesla's Autopilot must be constantly monitored and supervised. The name is only misleading for people like that tooth sayer guy who fundamentally misunderstand aircraft automation.
Its almost like flying an airplane through wide open skies is nothing like driving a car which requires constant evaluation of your environment and preparedness to make a split second decision at any time.

Its almost like there aren't clearly defined levels of autonomous driving that Tesla could use to describe its product but chooses not to because "Level 2 Driver Assist" can't be sold for $8k like "Full Self Driving" can and can't serve as the basis for a robotaxi pipe dream that is currently serving to prop up this dying company.
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05-22-2019 , 01:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
I mean yeah, if everyone misunderstands aircraft automation to the degree that tooth sayer guy does then sure, it probably isn't a great idea to call the system Autopilot.
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05-22-2019 , 01:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
We've been over this, but exactly like an aircraft autopilot, Tesla's Autopilot must be constantly monitored and supervised. The name is only misleading for people like that tooth sayer guy who fundamentally misunderstand aircraft automation.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
I mean yeah, if everyone misunderstands aircraft automation to the degree that tooth sayer guy does then sure, it probably isn't a great idea to call the system Autopilot.
It's hilarious (aside from the death part) that all the Tesla fanboys think it's cool that there's people out their dying as a result of the intentionally misleading Autopilot name. Death is okay because drivers are supposed to understand it's just one of the crappier driver assist features on the market!
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05-22-2019 , 01:18 PM
Not just a name, but a whole set of marketing and claims which I've laid out before. As well as what staff say when selling it. Warnings buried in the manual don't cover the sales lies/fraud or the deliberate false impression that's created about autopilot capabilities to get people to pay extra money/pump the stock/create the impression that Tesla is ahead on autonomy when they're actually far behind.

SenorKeeed is transparently a dickhead at this point. Not much more to say.
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05-22-2019 , 01:33 PM
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Originally Posted by MrFeelNothin
Its almost like flying an airplane through wide open skies is nothing like driving a car which requires constant evaluation of your environment and preparedness to make a split second decision at any time.

Its almost like there aren't clearly defined levels of autonomous driving that Tesla could use to describe its product but chooses not to because "Level 2 Driver Assist" can't be sold for $8k like "Full Self Driving" can and can't serve as the basis for a robotaxi pipe dream that is currently serving to prop up this dying company.
I mean if you want to say that it's very unlikely that Tesla will soon roll out level 4 automation I would absolutely agree. No argument here. So then if you want to argue that the hardware package that would enable this level 4 automation down the road is a scam, again, no argument from me. Seems reasonable. If you want to argue that level 2 automation is generally a bad idea and leads to dangerous diffusion of responsibility, again, I totally agree.

But in the two fatal tractor trailer Autopilot accidents, the level 2 automation that was in place didn't malfunction. It simply wasn't designed to avoid that situation. And that isn't a problem isolated to Tesla. Other level 2 systems currently in place have the same limitations.
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05-22-2019 , 01:35 PM
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Originally Posted by btc
this was possibly the funniest thing I've ever watched on youtube.

thank you so much for posting this.

One comment says that she responds, "Um, I have a boyfriend." I was sure she was going to say it until the tail end.

Last edited by thethrill009; 05-22-2019 at 01:43 PM.
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05-22-2019 , 01:38 PM
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Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
But in the two fatal tractor trailer Autopilot accidents, the level 2 automation that was in place didn't malfunction. It simply wasn't designed to avoid that situation. And that isn't a problem isolated to Tesla. Other level 2 systems currently in place have the same limitations.
Hence my comment about the need to not mislead people about its capabilities and have a popup warning, because right now people ARE misled about what it can do thanks to Musk's lies and fraud and their various marketing and names. If you were to poll Tesla users last year I'd say you'd get 80+% calling outright bull**** on the statement: "Tesla is guaranteed to slam into stationary objects at high speed as it cannot see them". The reason they would think is Musk's statements, Tesla marketing, documented lies told when they test drive, Musk taking his eyes off the road and hands off the wheel in marketing videos, and even this when you order the car:



Unless you actually read the manual, would you expect that this product - with "advanced autopilot", "collision avoidance", "emergency braking", "all the hardware for fully self driving", "autonomous robotaxis next year using actual current Teslas" is guaranteed to slam into any stationary obstacles on the highway?

What the **** are you wasting everyone's time arguing about this for? You're a dickhead.

Last edited by ToothSayer; 05-22-2019 at 01:45 PM.
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05-22-2019 , 01:40 PM
Can't blame Tesla for marketing the **** out of "autopilot". There is obviously regulatory precedent for them to get away with calling it autopilot. Does the government not care either? Seems like the deaths are within tolerance.
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05-22-2019 , 01:48 PM
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Originally Posted by syndr0me
Cross asset conference call today? So debt and equity meeting? Is this common? Seems like it would be but at the same time I’m struggling to understand how it could be a good thing

https://twitter.com/eteletubby/statu...660963840?s=21
What a ****show. Here is the call: https://twitter.com/cppinvest/status...54661200207877
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