Still a lot of time left in the year, I've always been awful at New Year's resolutions anyways . Maybe I can get Kazuya to up his offer...

February delivery numbers must be absolutely awful if he's getting a big pump in the day before they come out.



This never gets old, or less accurate:

Model Y reveal/reveal date. Maybe combo with the pickup for a good pump.

Maybe china financing news too, as there are finally trucks in the mudpit.

I definitely believe you are never going anywhere.

Gonna see 350 again on the pump?

Gotta give elon credit. If he just announced the news he gets a small pump. Announce the announcement date/time and get 2 days of pump hype then he hopes follow through on the news (M3 35k, M3 Lease, china financing, Model Y reveal, whatever).

What's everyone's opinions on timing of a short or put reentry here? Is it today on the preview mini pump or let the actual pump come out Thursday and then enter? I'm thinking of buying puts after Thursday pump, but it seems pretty obvious.

I would wait til end of day friday. After the thursday pump news, after the bond payment but before bad Feb delivery on the weekend or early next week.

But hey, might be buy the rumor-sell the news and it drops right after.

Prediction for announcement:

Elon is resurrecting the woolly mammoth

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.the...ion-scientists

TSLA news (most likely to least, could be a combination of these)
1. China factory financing + hype on china production
2. Model Y reveal/specs (Now taking deposits!!)
3. Model Y reveal date (Now taking deposits!!)
4. Semi reveal/specs (Now taking deposits!!)
5. Semi reveal date (Now taking deposits!!)
6. Model S discontinued - New model S2 specs (Now taking deposits!!)
7. Announcing Tesla India
8. Announcing Tesla Iceland
9. 35k M3/M3 leasing (Now taking deposits!!)
10. Elon leaving to focus on SpaceX/Mars

I'm expecting a Teslaquila update.

Out of that list I think a Short Range M3 (at 35k?) most likely. Think China is the least likely- he's already been pushing China for awhile. How would financing for China have any effect? Bulls never worried about lack of financing in the first place.

Also think that the field is a strong bet. A pump is better if its new/unexpected.

It's supposed to be California related

Which obv could mean anything coming out of Fremont

I think he meant California time not California related.

Yes, the field would include new Autopilot/Full Self Driving hype, but nobody really believes that anyway. I still think #1 is china financing/Joint Venture with some Chinese company to build the factory there. Will be interesting for sure.

My guess would be some kind of model Y announcement since they can't sell any model 3s

Could be just California time, I misread the order of the tweets

I'm gonna go with the debt will be restructured in a deal made with the Chinese.

Market gonna eat this up

Could be leasing option for model 3?

Berkshire is buying Tesla?

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/02/23/warr...-sky-high.html

Warren Buffet wants to make "elephant sized" purchase

Elon changed his twitter name to "Elon Tusk"

funding secured.

Charlie Munger thinks Musk is a sad joke and has mocked him publicly. Maybe Buffett has a more charitable view, I dunno.

Nice theory though.

That clip is great.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_ZUhnv1Qqw

Good god, what a loser you are. The conversation was longer interesting so I didn't participate any more. Everything I said was correct:

Example source: Don't Freak Over Boeing's Self-Flying Plane—Robots Already Run the Skies

Key quotes:
Is Tesla "autopilot" so good that drivers aren't allowed to drive manually on highways? lol, no. Tesla clearly has nothing comparable in "hands off" and "awareness off" as plane autopilot does.

The main point I was making was that plane autopilot and warning systems will reliably warn of dangers. Tesla autopilot will, with 100% guarantee:

- Slam into parked cars/trucks/pedestrians with zero warning and braking
- Follow erroneous lanes straight into concrete dividers with zero warning and braking
- Fail to notice even complete road blockage.

Among many other things. One of dozens of examples of this highly incompetent technology:



Calling that autopilot is pure bull**** and is not comparable to plane autopilot in quality or reliability. It is (unreliable) lane keeping and speed keeping software with a lane change add-on. It's not "autopilot".

No is saying plane autopilot is perfect or does everything, but in terms of safety and reliability and warning when input is required, it's in a completely different class to Tesla's software. Hence why people get the wrong idea.

edit: If they had a prominent warning which said: "Tesla autopilot can't detect stationary objects and is guaranteed to not see and then crash into stationary objects if they are on the road and is guaranteed to follow erroneous lane markings into barriers without stopping" then I'd cut them some slack. But Musk is out there touting his "Fully Self Driving hardware" bull**** and making people think it's close to it.