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TSLA showing cracks? TSLA showing cracks?

09-25-2018 , 01:35 PM
Could buy them 6-12 more months I suppose. The bear thesis is not just the short term out of money in january problem, it's the ongoing demand vs build cost problem - the demand is there only for the versions where Tesla is not profitable. That's why Q3 will look so good, all those sweet 60k model 3s that had demand built up for 2 years. Then what? Where are the next 50k orders for those coming from?
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09-25-2018 , 03:31 PM
There are a lot of different bear theses. And getting the timing right is almost as important as getting the direction right. If Elon can pull $2B out of SpaceX to cover the convertible debt, or $10B to cover cash burn for the next 1-3 years, that makes a HUGE difference in how to play this.
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09-25-2018 , 06:54 PM
From what I've read his SpaceX equity would get snapped up right away if he were to try and sell it. So yea, he does have that insurance and it may be a non-trivial reason tsla is trading where it is.
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09-25-2018 , 07:43 PM
I will try to post a more detailed explanation later, but I consider the likelihood of this at <5% and that is probably generous


Way more likely some sort of reverse merger/govt bailout that scares me
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09-26-2018 , 11:36 AM
Lying piece of crap Elon Musk is again shown to be a lying piece of crap:

Quote:
Trucking industry disputes Musk's claim that Tesla "delivery hell" can be attributed to extreme lack of car carriers--says there's plenty of trailers & drivers.
LA Times: Musk blames a trailer shortage for Tesla's Model 3 delivery delays. Auto haulers are dubious

This is obvious of course at 5% of the volume of a single car company in the country with the best trucking industry on Earth, but perhaps it will convince a few idiots. When are the losers like ChipRick, Spurious and heltok going to realize they've been conned? Or are they actually mentally gone?

It's an open and shut case that Musk is a shameless pathological liar and has rarely told the truth about anything related to Tesla - not current production, not projections, not $420 "go private", not profitability, not the reason for delays and failures.
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09-26-2018 , 01:45 PM
Bulls will say he was being optimistic about the trucking shortage
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09-27-2018 , 10:02 AM
You are being conned by your own logic. $310 is the current price, I've said plenty of times before that quarters don't ****ing matter. You guys have been convincing yourself of doom day every day for the past 5 years ITT. It's not here yet, why would I believe you now? You don't even present good evidence. TS's sources are always crap, like the dumbest people alive on Twitter crap.
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09-27-2018 , 04:13 PM
Musk sued by SEC, i expect a very weak wrist slap coming
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09-27-2018 , 04:14 PM
I expect: Musk sued, stock rebounds to end up 1%
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09-27-2018 , 04:23 PM
Down over 10% now.

All we need now is a Moody's downgrade on Model 3 production issues (falling FAR short of the level Moody said was required for Moody's to retain their rating) and now severe legal risk given that this SEC lawsuit establishes billions in personal liability for Musk and for Tesla for all losses long and short since Musk's extreme fraud - which was never properly corrected - to at least the blog post stating they were no longer going private.

Meanwhile, the DOJ is investigating criminal sanctions against Musk and he may well see prison time for the biggest stock fraud of the decade. Meanwhile, cult leader Musk has so completely mind-****ed Spurious, heltok, ChipRick and others they actually thought it was real and then thought it wasn't fraud, and held thinking they were getting $420 guaranteed and maybe much higher on a short squeeze. Amazing.

Good times. And we have Spurious three posts up up hanging out there in the breeze saying "stock price bro".
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09-27-2018 , 04:24 PM
Perfect Spurious timing.
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09-27-2018 , 04:27 PM
Word fraud being thrown around, seeing quotes from docket but dont have link to it so not sure if legit
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09-27-2018 , 04:29 PM
Guessing line for heltok posts after this


U.5 -9000
O.5 +7500
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09-27-2018 , 04:39 PM
SEC moves to ban Tesla CEO from being officer at public company, FT says
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09-27-2018 , 04:47 PM
The document is a great read.
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09-27-2018 , 04:50 PM
It's amazing. Details in depth a constant stream of pure lies and fraud from Musk. Given the facts in this filing, liability in the billions from all the lawsuits is certain now - Musk is on the hook for about 10 days of all investor losses on both sides at very high volume.

Do the cuck's brains explode here, confronted with hard facts and reality? Do they double down on their cult-level delusion in Elon the Hero? Definitely a popcorn moment.
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09-27-2018 , 05:05 PM
Q3 EC is gonna be so lit
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09-27-2018 , 05:08 PM
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09-27-2018 , 05:12 PM
Oh boy... what a read
1. Elon is a moron and a joke
2. The CFO and the head of IR come across as morons as well
3. I don't know how after reading this any institutional investor can continue to hold the stock... they better hope there are enough retail morons who still believe this fraud of a company
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09-27-2018 , 05:13 PM
Departures list has been hotting up:




Held on to my Friday 295s, looks like I got the bail-out.



TMC club best rated posts:

-Lawsuit smells of big oil

-Elon had 30b from VW etc, case is bogus

-Lets file class action against SEC for losses when Elon goes

-Can we install Kimbal as a puppet CEO?


I really think he has to be in cuffs for opinion to change.
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09-27-2018 , 05:19 PM
Nah, tmc quote "I believe Elon has brought Tesla to the point where it will succeed with or without him".

The stock will be at $2 and they will still probably believe it's the bargain of a lifetime.
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09-27-2018 , 05:21 PM
Amazing.
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09-27-2018 , 05:38 PM
Add this to my beginning of the end post.
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09-27-2018 , 05:52 PM
At least Elon has that car-carrier business to fall back on.
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