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TSLA showing cracks? TSLA showing cracks?

04-01-2018 , 02:40 AM
Have you finally realized that camera resolution isn't the limiting factor for SDC?

How exactly was Tesla "far behind" when some of the "experts" you've cited here considered them the global leader previously?

I'm eager to hear more mumbo jumbo where you don't understand basic tech, math or business, then proceed to call everyone cucks citing your own trading record which is about as believable as Musk's claims.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
04-01-2018 , 10:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
The scumbag pieces of a **** at Tesla had their autopilot fail badly (confirmed today), and are trying to blame the driver:



Someone, please defend this. Their autopilot was engaged for an extended period before crashing into the concrete divider. It failed to avoid a gigantic concrete barrier with lots of warning/lead time in good conditions. Tesla spends the majority of their PR blaming the driver, throwing out red herrings ("warnings earlier in the drive") to avoid taking responsibility for the basic fact that their "autopilot" cannot reliably avoid slamming into giant concrete dividers in good conditions.

Let's not forget that 15 months ago, Musk promised "Fully Self Driving" coming online in "3 to 6 months". 15 months later their software is so incompetent it crashes into static concrete dividers in good conditions with long visibility. And this is not an isolated incident. I posted a year ago about "truck lust" and "concrete divider affinity", from multiple posts by Tesla drivers, who call this tendency scary. Like I said, Tesla has been lucky that its customer base is full of wealthy, intelligent early adopters - doctors and lawyers and business owners - rather than the general public it will soon be targeting with its Model 3.

Multiple lead engineers have actually left Tesla because of Musk's reckless incompetence, warning that autopilot isn't ready for prime time and Musk is being extremely reckless and putting customer lives at risk by releasing it.

When are people going to realize that Musk is a fraud and cowboy, who is far behind on autonomous driving?
The PR release was one of the most disgusting things I have read, ever.


Never mentioned the driver by name.

2/3 spent blaming him

1/3 spent blaming the damaged rail bumper for causing more damage.



I hope that PR dept is shunned professionally after this.
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04-01-2018 , 10:49 AM
https://splinternews.com/elon-musk-i...***-1824204789

Tesla CEO Elon Musk, a billionaire, just received an unprecedented incentive-laden pay package that could earn him tens of billions of dollars. But his employees also get something: Exhortations to work faster!
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
04-01-2018 , 11:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mihkel05
Have you finally realized that camera resolution isn't the limiting factor for SDC?

How exactly was Tesla "far behind" when some of the "experts" you've cited here considered them the global leader previously?

I'm eager to hear more mumbo jumbo where you don't understand basic tech, math or business, then proceed to call everyone cucks citing your own trading record which is about as believable as Musk's claims.
What the **** are u talking about
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04-01-2018 , 12:50 PM
No idea which Musk's claim from this year is more ridiculous:
Quote:
Musk added that he thinks “self-driving will encompass all modes of driving by the end of the next year.”
Quote:
“We are building the first Mars, or interplanetary ship, and I think we’ll be able to [do] short trips, flights by first half of next year,”
a little

Quote:
“Although sometimes, my timelines are a little, you know…” the billionaire added.
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04-01-2018 , 02:35 PM
Crucial week of trading coming up, you've had a ton of negative sentiment build up over the three day weekend. The deliveries number isn't important (they could be rushing out deliveries in order to precede a cash raise) but it will serve as a meaningful catalyst nonetheless given the recent move in the stock.
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04-01-2018 , 02:55 PM
Getting increasingly desperate. Can't meet a projection ever, can't keep a financial executive, now blaming the victim of a fatal crash (absurdly). This MFer is going to zero.
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04-01-2018 , 05:01 PM
I'm thinking maybe we will see a positive spin on production numbers which could bring the stock price up a bit.
If this happens, I plan to go short again.


ETA: IMO crashes/autopilot and production numbers are all noise, the real story is about how much cash TSLA is burning every quarter and how much longer this can last.

Last edited by solid first post; 04-01-2018 at 05:08 PM.
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04-01-2018 , 05:37 PM
Bond yields are finally going up, they won't be able to raise cheap debt ever again. That means equity. They should do it now, while they still can.
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04-01-2018 , 05:40 PM
There's a theory that they didn't sell equity earlier - when the stock was at highs and it made a ton of sense - because it would require deep disclosure via a prospectus, and Musk would have had to come clean about the absolute production disaster that they knew was underway, that 5000/week or even 1/4 was impossible by the end of 2018 even while he was doubling down on it, due to the critical battery line failures he admitted in the conference call at the end of January 2018.

I think this theory makes a lot of sense.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
04-01-2018 , 05:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
There's a theory that they didn't sell equity earlier - when the stock was at highs and it made a ton of sense - because it would require deep disclosure via a prospectus, and Musk would have had to come clean about the absolute production disaster that they knew was underway, that 5000/week or even 1/4 was impossible by the end of 2018 even while he was doubling down on it, due to the critical battery line failures he admitted in the conference call at the end of January 2018.

I think this theory makes a lot of sense.
I also read somewhere (can't find the link) that there most likely are several SEC investigations that are currently pending against Tesla. Some guy filed a FOIA to request SEC documents regarding Tesla fairly recently, and was denied with the rationale being that release of such documents would impede with an ongoing investigation.

Now it could simply be directed to someone related to Tesla and not the company itself, since without the documents we simply have no idea what the nature of the investigation is. However, if Tesla were to do an equity raise, they would be forced to disclose the existence of such investigations, which is probably why they have not done so.
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04-01-2018 , 06:23 PM
I think those theories are very possible, I also think it's very likely institutions basically said they weren't interested and retail can't pick up a 3b raise
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
04-01-2018 , 07:51 PM
I can see his defense lawyers using this as proof that he didn't mislead investors
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
04-01-2018 , 10:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dth123451
Getting increasingly desperate. Can't meet a projection ever, can't keep a financial executive, now blaming the victim of a fatal crash (absurdly). This MFer is going to zero.
What about this:

Tesla is a Software Company

If Andreeson is even somewhat accurate, company isn't going to zero. The IP is worth something. I looked at TSLA income statement and they are generating significant revenue. IP is hard to value but if the software really is what Andreeson says it is, it is worth a lot.
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04-01-2018 , 10:17 PM
Forget the software. It's the brand.

PS: Andreeson is conflating software with "process".

Last edited by grizy; 04-01-2018 at 10:23 PM.
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04-01-2018 , 10:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by grizy
Forget the software. It's the brand.

PS: Andreeson is conflating software with "process".
Andreeson didn't say anything about Tesla. He wrote about software companies dominating various industries and some Seeking Alpha rando extrapolated that theory to the car industry.

Problem being TSLA is recently experiencing some minor issues in the areas of self-driving and factory automation.
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04-01-2018 , 11:13 PM
That's why I put it in the PS. Andreson is basically saying software is behind every business process now and companies good at software is, by his argument, basically by definition good at process.
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04-01-2018 , 11:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios
What about this:

Tesla is a Software Company

If Andreeson is even somewhat accurate, company isn't going to zero. The IP is worth something. I looked at TSLA income statement and they are generating significant revenue. IP is hard to value but if the software really is what Andreeson says it is, it is worth a lot.
Tesla's software is worthless.

Enron was hyped to the moon as well. "New paradigm". "The new age of energy". "If they can sell energy they can sell bandwidth, it's all just stuff going through pipes"

Architecture astronaut clucks like Mihkel think that Tesla is no longer a car company.

They're morons. Tesla are a car company. They make cars. They do nothing else of worth and nothing else that brings in meaningful profit or revenue.

Mikhel the architecture astronaut actually went as far a year ago to say that Tesla were an "energy company", not a car company; as I detailed above, those energy bull predictions and claims have utterly failed (as has Uber, which were a "logistics company", not a taxi company according to Mikhel, but failed in everything but a taxi service, recently shutting down their package service).

If someone talks in hyped abstracts when a plain look at the facts shows precisely what they are (a struggling car company or a taxi company and not much else), you can be sure the person in question:

- Has Aspergers or
- Is a first level abstracter in love with their own mind and with little real world seasoning or common sense, or
- Is trying to hype the stock

Whichever reason it is, you should ignore them henceforth.
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrFeelNothin
Andreeson didn't say anything about Tesla. He wrote about software companies dominating various industries and some Seeking Alpha rando extrapolated that theory to the car industry.
Fake news strikes again? I don't doubt it.
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04-01-2018 , 11:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by grizy
That's why I put it in the PS. Andreson is basically saying software is behind every business process now and companies good at software is, by his argument, basically by definition good at process.
This is ridiculous. Software is more malleable and more dickhead and megalomaniac tolerant than car manufacturing. It's more akin to making rockets than it is to profitably mass producing cars.
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04-02-2018 , 05:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by grizy
Forget the software. It's the brand.
That value will disappear quickly. examples Gopro, Kodak, Nokia, Blackberry...

Quote:
Originally Posted by MrFeelNothin
Problem being TSLA is recently experiencing some minor issues in the areas of self-driving and factory automation.
Too much automation is actually a big issue now.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
04-02-2018 , 05:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by grizy
Forget the software. It's the brand.

PS: Andreeson is conflating software with "process".
At least the firmware for automotive subsystems is highly valuable IP. I haven't heard of TSLA being a major player in factory automation. I can offer first hand knowledge that software/firmware for companies developing factory automation systems is the key to their growth.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
04-02-2018 , 05:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MrFeelNothin
Andreeson didn't say anything about Tesla. He wrote about software companies dominating various industries and some Seeking Alpha rando extrapolated that theory to the car industry.

Problem being TSLA is recently experiencing some minor issues in the areas of self-driving and factory automation.
At least make the effort to read the entire thing:

Quote:
During an interview in May, Andreessen discussed the thesis of his essay with respect to the automotive industry:

...in 10 years, the winning car company is going to be the car company that makes the best software. … Our thesis is that…the value will flow to the software layer. The entire experience of being in a car will be defined by the software. At the limit, whichever company makes cars or makes the intellectual property that goes into cars — whichever of those creates the best software will then be the winning company and will get the majority of the value and including ultimately the majority of the profit.

Andreessen then discussed Tesla (TSLA) as a potential candidate for the winning car company, saying that CEO Elon Musk is “incredibly focused on software”:

He’s going to try have Tesla be the best self-driving car, which is entirely a software exercise. He’s on it. He’s pushing very hard. The other car companies are all in more or less reactive mode to what he’s doing. He definitely has the lead right now. But that said, the other car companies are trying to figure this out and we now have an entire wave of new automotive software companies in Silicon Valley — dozens on its way to hundreds of highly capable founders and engineers building new kinds of autonomous software for cars.
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04-02-2018 , 05:41 AM
From the article:
Quote:
Tesla is working on two major software efforts: self driving and factory automation.
Their self driving is bottom of the barrel, worst in the industry and far behind the major players
Their factory automation is bottom of the barrel, looking at real world results.

Why would anyone who is sane think that they have some kind of software value that's a non-trivial percentage of their market cap? Tesla are a joke.
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04-02-2018 , 05:43 AM
Spurious, this quote is just proof that Andreesen is a moron, and you get better analysis from yours truly at 2p2 about the state of Tesla's autonomous driving. They are far behind the majors, and were never anything but far behind if you did any kind of analysis.
Quote:

He’s going to try have Tesla be the best self-driving car, which is entirely a software exercise. He’s on it. He’s pushing very hard. The other car companies are all in more or less reactive mode to what he’s doing. He definitely has the lead right now.
That Andreesen didn't see this on the date of the quote means he's either hyping Tesla or did little basic analysis. Until they broke up with MobileEye, that had nothing of worth, as indicated by the extraordinary time it took them to even get back to AP1 equivalence, which is level 2. I mean, that's settled fact at this point. They basically had a hacked/pushed too far MobileEye system and no useful self-driving IP on top of that. Since then they basically started from scratch, are far behind today according to any analysis, so how can they possibly ever have been ahead? They couldn't have. People can't think, it's sad.
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