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Originally Posted by Spurious
Of course they do. This is the entire point. They make their money from something else at the moment. They don't have the infrastructure for building EVs.
So a trillion+ in deployed capital, already producing 10x the EVs of Tesla, lack the infrastructure for building EVs? That's a curious view.
Renault-Nissan, who make more EVs than Tesla, and at a profit, "don't have infrastructure for building EVs".
Do you take drugs, Spurious? Were you dropped on your head as a child?
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A good salesperson will not be able to make this switch in his head because he probably won't be passionate about EVs as much as he is about ICEs.
This is high comedy. Agree with juan that you must be trolling. Sales people are cynical manipulators of human emotions. Few of them are passionate.
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The manufacturing infrastructure has to be a joke as well. This is literally one of the biggest things hindering incumbents from making the switch. You cannot effort to have a dual infrastructure.
What?
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Anyone who believes that the current top 10 of car manufacturers will still be the top 10 for EVs in the future is insane.
So $100 billion or so each in deployed capital, 80+% of which involves building the same components as used in EVs, is just going to wither and die, because it's too hard to make a battery pack and an electric motor?
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I mean this is basic change management. Betting against Tesla because you think the current incumbents will surpass Tesla is a really stupid line of thought.
The current encumbents already surpass Tesla. They make a million EVs a year.
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Or to say it in trading terms: Going short Tesla and long Top 10 current car manufacturers index is going to be a losing trade.
Tesla is already priced higher than a mature car company that sells
50x the number of cars, profitably.
Tesla have yet to produce a car that doesn't' hemorrhage vast amounts of money. They're yet to produce a car that isn't a year over schedule. They're about to enter a period where 20+ car makers have a $7500 price advantage, on top of an existing price advantage from large economies of scale, as well as the ability to subsidize further to gain market share.
These weren't an issue while they had a monopoly, but the money and size is in the low end, and Tesla with their competency levels will get crushed on the low end by more efficient, more reliable, more outsourced, far more capitalized companies.
They had a shot if they got there first. But EVs are now approaching a cost level where they're worth making for the majors. By 2022, cost parity will be reached. What do you think happens then? Musk will only just be bumbling his way through a production run of Model Y, while the majors have dozens of EVs in all shapes, sizes, prices, ranges, hitting the market hard.
He had a shot if he wasn't a clown. Turns out he was - Musk has made lots of dumb decisions over the last four years and proven himself a low end, pretty incompetent car maker. Musk would make an excellent CCO (he's a genius at PR), but he lacks the brains to be a car company CEO.