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TSLA showing cracks? TSLA showing cracks?

10-05-2017 , 05:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
I mean, if you look at rocket economics and fuel use, it's cheaper and just as fast (and available right now if you wanted to commercialize it) to put people in Mach 3 fighter jets like a more modern version of the SR-71 blackbird, which is a mere $85,000/hour and can be gotten down to maybe $30,000/hour. The video is just pure horse**** designed to appeal to the cuckiest of minds.
You use the term cuck more than anyone else. Interesting.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-05-2017 , 06:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by samsonh
You use the term cuck more than anyone else. Interesting.
It bothers people, that's why he's using it.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-05-2017 , 06:50 PM
lol he might think it bothers people but in reality he's just self identifying as a moron alt-righter
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-05-2017 , 07:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SenorKeeed
lol he might think it bothers people but in reality he's just self identifying as a moron alt-righter
Ding ding ding.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-06-2017 , 10:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NxtWrldChamp
In other news as in the same news you posted 7 days ago? The article below was also based on a DB analysts opinion of GM. Now it's more news when another(?) DB analysts says some more stuff?
Here you go, genius. Up another 3% today on another analyst jumping on the bandwagon on autonomy, now that it's becoming obvious that GM has Tesla (who was never a contender for autonomy if you had a functioning mind), crushed:
Quote:
06:25 EDT Citi analyst Itay Michaeli attributes the recent rally in shares of General Motors to "short-term momentum into some future Investor Day/Event" as well as the start of "lasting re-rating." Taking a holistic second look at GM could "unlock substantially more value," Michaeli tells investors in a research note. The analyst believes GM's core auto segment is complemented by a leading RoboTaxi autonomous vehicle position. He believes this "narrative shift" could pave a path towards his prior long-term high-end upside potential case of $134 per share. Michaeli keeps a Buy rating on GM with a $53 price target.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
It may seem like nothing to you (do you even trade?), but these views move stocks. And the break from the insane stock pumping groupthink on Tesla autonomy is interesting. They won't be the last.

Is it some evidence my view is correct and far ahead of the pack? Yes. Is it the final word? No, far from it. But you'll see more of these coming out.
More to come yet.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-06-2017 , 01:16 PM
The charlatan inserting himself into disasters for free PR:
Quote:
Elon Musk Tweets: The internal Tesla Powerwall install team in PR is very small right now. Sending experienced installers from continental US to hire & train local team as fast as possible.
Elon Musk Tweets: The internal Tesla Powerwall install team in PR is very small right now. Sending experienced installers from continental US to hire & train local team as fast as possible.
What good would ****ing powerwall do in PR?? More comedy:
Quote:
Elon Musk says Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has sent a small Powerwall installation team to Puerto Rico amid the nation's electricity crisis. A larger training team will follow, he adds.

Yesterday, Musk noted that the company has done independent energy projects on smaller islands around the world and doesn't face any scalability issues for a larger region such as Puerto Rico.
When do we finally reach peak absurdity?
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-06-2017 , 05:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
The charlatan inserting himself into disasters for free PR:
What good would ****ing powerwall do in PR??
When power plants and grids go down they don't come back on all at once. Getting everything working right usually involves rolling blackouts and interruptions.

St.Thomians have been getting 4 hrs of electric per day for the last few weeks. If you have a powerwall you could at least run your fridge, lights, and fans around the clock. Add a few Solar City panels over the holes in your roof and you're sitting pretty.

Perhaps it's overpriced but it is something you could immediately use that would pay for itself over enough time. Not to mention being proactive for the next storm.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-06-2017 , 06:09 PM
And now we know why. More hilarity from Musk:

Just out, Friday afternoon, after market close
Quote:
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) will push back its Tesla Semi reveal event until November 16 to focus on Model 3 bottlenecks and its energy aid to Puerto Rico, according to Elon Musk.

"Semi specs are better than anything I've seen reported so far. Semi eng/design team work is aces, but other needs are greater right now," maintains Musk.
You can't make this stuff up.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-06-2017 , 08:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
Here you go, genius. Up another 3% today on another analyst jumping on the bandwagon on autonomy, now that it's becoming obvious that GM has Tesla (who was never a contender for autonomy if you had a functioning mind), crushed:


More to come yet.
So you take all analyst analysis as gospel. Roger.

Sent from my Pixel XL using Tapatalk
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-06-2017 , 08:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
What good would ****ing powerwall do in PR??
A single powerwall would provide a few hours of electricity after the disaster. I believe the owner of said product there(if there were any) were pretty grateful for those hours.

But I assume Musk intends to sell a solar PV and powerpack solution. The main benefit of these is low cost per kilowatt compared to importing fuel, less pollution and a possibility to better decentralize production and storage. There have been other solar PV plants damaged by earthquakes and storms, but maybe there are ways to build these so they are more robust.
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10-07-2017 , 01:19 AM
https://twitter.com/ricardorossello/...77064261394432
Quote:
Great initial conversation with @elonmusk tonight. Teams are now talking; exploring opportunities. Next steps soon to follow.
An old video on the topic:
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 04:20 AM
Lol the rocket flights, do you really think they're going to be able to build a rocket landing facility anywhere within a reasonable distance of a city like London? It's taken 10+ years not to get a new runway at Heathrow.

You're going to be an hour away minimum from the capital. Add that to your travel time.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 04:36 AM
Yeah. And that's not considering the launch. Rockets with large payloads are > 220 decibels, sufficient to damage buildings a mile away, let alone hearing. You'll need many miles of bussing out to the rocket launch pad - it can't be next to the terminal like planes are, and it needs to be far from an urban area, much further than planes.

Large rockets have the noise and fire profile of the largest bombs.

Quote:
220 DB: N BOMB, LARGEST USED IN WWII, WIEGHING 11 TONS AND 25 FEET LONG -REF.1.3. 2001
220 DB: SATURN 5 ROCKETSHIP, MELTS CONCRETE AND BURNS GRASS ONE MILE AWAY
232 DB: LARGE NON-NUCLEAR EXPLOSION, 500 TONS, 1917 DESTRUCTION OF GERMAN WWI TUNNELS IN MESSINES RIDGE BELGIUM, HEARD OR FELT IN LONDON (N) -REF.1.,-REF.3.
How The Noise Of Big Rockets Breaks Apart Buildings

And the massive-bomb-level noise isn't 1/2 second event, but sustained for minutes. There's no way rockets could land or take off at Singapore for example - they'd need to land on a far away island in another country, or far out in the Malaysian countryside. You couldn't take off within 200 miles of London, or New York. The Concorde 2 would crush this turd of an idea on safety, reliability, price, and end-to-end speed; Musk's claims will never happen at any price, let alone economy airfare equivalent.

The whole thing is ****ing ridiculous and the fact that people post it is just more evidence how the Musk fans/Tesla bulls are completely detached from reality and practicality.

Anything heltok says on anything at this point is worthless; the guy has no credibility. And neither does Musk. Half hour around the world rocket flights at the price of an economy air ticket? The guy is a charlatan, a cult leader saying absurd things to get morons with no sense of engineering or practicality excited.

Last edited by ToothSayer; 10-08-2017 at 05:02 AM.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 04:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
Yeah. And that's not considering the launch. Rockets with large payloads are > 200 decibels, sufficient to damage buildings let alone hearing. You'll need many miles of bussing out to the rocket launch pad - it can't be next to the terminal like planes are, and it needs to be far from an urban area, much further than planes.

How The Noise Of Big Rockets Breaks Apart Buildings

There's no way rockets could land or take off at Singapore for example - they'd need to land on nearby islands in another country, or in the Malaysian countryside.

The whole thing is ****ing ridiculous and the fact that people post it is just more evidence how the Musk bulls are completely detached from reality and practicality.
It's cool that you at least agree with Elon that rockets are very noisy ;-)



By then we might have VTOL so transport to/from rocketport should be pretty fast.

Last edited by heltok; 10-08-2017 at 04:56 AM.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 05:08 AM
Odds that Musk ends up bankrupt, in jail or in a psych ward are 100,000 times greater at least than we get commercial passenger rocket flights for even 5x the cost of an economy air ticket.

VTOL transports could cut the time somewhat. You were right about the economics of that. I didn't mean to be a dick above, but it's like you have no filter. Elon says something that gives you a boner > post in Tesla thread and defend even when it's absurd. You really are balls deep in a personality cult, heltok. It's ugly.

edit: I mean, it's giving my side tons of cred and destroying the cred of your side (and it's ****ing entertaining how completely deranged even smart people can get), so carry on I guess.

Last edited by ToothSayer; 10-08-2017 at 05:15 AM.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 09:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
Odds that Musk ends up bankrupt, in jail or in a psych ward are 100,000 times greater at least than we get commercial passenger rocket flights for even 5x the cost of an economy air ticket.

VTOL transports could cut the time somewhat. You were right about the economics of that. I didn't mean to be a dick above, but it's like you have no filter. Elon says something that gives you a boner > post in Tesla thread and defend even when it's absurd. You really are balls deep in a personality cult, heltok. It's ugly.

edit: I mean, it's giving my side tons of cred and destroying the cred of your side (and it's ****ing entertaining how completely deranged even smart people can get), so carry on I guess.
I guess I like defending absurd positions, I am a bit contrarian. It has served me well in life so far, but it is good to consider if I overdo it. Sometimes I just like to attack the counter arguments. If people are gonna attack the absurd side it feels kind to make sure that the counter arguments are not also absurd.

Imo when someone challenges status quo, they often know status quo and still choose to believe something different. If you are gonna find where you are wrong, it is a good starting point to listen to the people challenging status quo.

I like Elon yes. He makes things more interesting, if he fails at least he will fail spectacular, let's at least give him that! =)

Also, I like how Michael Huemer put's it: If you get upset when someone states their position, it is likely you that have irrational beliefs.
https://youtu.be/4JYL5VUe5NQ?t=670
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 09:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
I like Elon yes. He makes things more interesting, if he fails at least he will fail spectacular, let's at least give him that! =)
I'd be fine it with it if blatant fraud wasn't involved. Thousands of real people are going to go broke believing his lies and pushing all in. He's no different to the penny stock fraudsters and pumpers, who I dislike equally. On top of that he does tremendous environmental damage for no gain. Wastes many tens of billions in misallocated capital and ******s the progress of technology. Etc.

If he stuck to SpaceX rather than deliberately defrauding people, I'd have a lot more respect. I enjoy big thinking and crazy ideas and the energy of pushing things beyond what's considered possible. Musk's fraud and lies and deliberate cynical development of a cult of personality take the shine off it for me.
Quote:
Also, I like how Michael Huemer put's it: If you get upset when someone states their position, it is likely you that have irrational beliefs.
https://youtu.be/4JYL5VUe5NQ?t=670
Irrational beliefs about other people's rationality, sure.
Irrational hopes about other people's capacity to be rational

It's a good general guide, but a little simplistic.

Last edited by ToothSayer; 10-08-2017 at 09:22 AM.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 10:03 AM
Musk is skilled fraudster and liar, but his judgment is a little off. An interesting article in WSJ today, summarized at SA:

Quote:
There is a fine line between setting goals and misleading investors, writes Charley Grant in the WSJ, and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) is inching closer to that line.

Tesla last week announced more than an 80% shortfall to Q3 Model 3 production guidance of 1.5K cars, and yesterday disclosed a delay in its Semi reveal in order to better focus on Model 3 bottlenecks, and to provide assistance to Puerto Rico. The WSJ later reported the company as building major parts of the Model 3 by hand.

But, writes Grant, when Tesla reiterated production guidance in August, Elon Musk at that time surely knew his company wasn't going to come anywhere close to 1.5K Model 3s by the end of September. And this is only the latest example in a string of disappointments.
Yep. If they miss badly on the Model 3 badly - every indication so given that they're far behind schedule, the M3 bypassed all beta testing, and they're building them by hand still - and the stock drops a lot, the lawsuits will come thick and fast. They're no question here that Musk has committed blatant stock fraud, and not just in this case but a pattern over years of misleading investors and customers.

Last edited by ToothSayer; 10-08-2017 at 10:11 AM.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 05:56 PM
They are literally building cars by hand.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 08:44 PM
handcrafted, that's good though. People love handcrafted ****.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 08:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
They are literally building cars by hand.
Pretty much all car manufacturers use a mix of automated and manual processes, ie building by hand.

Here is Tesla's response to the article:
Quote:
This reporting is fundamentally wrong and misleading. We are still in the beginning of our production ramp, but every Model 3 is being built on the Model 3 production line, which is fully installed, powered on, producing vehicles, and increasing in automation every day. However, every vehicle manufacturing line in the world has both manual and automated processes, including the Model S and Model X line today. Contrary to the Journal’s reporting, this is not some revelation. As we’ve always acknowledged, it will take time to fine-tune the line for higher volumes, but as we have also said, there are no fundamental issues with Model 3 production or its supply chain, and we are confident in addressing the manufacturing bottleneck issues in the near-term. We are simply working through the S-curve of production that we drew out for the world to see at our launch event in July. There’s a reason it’s called production hell.
Here is a video of some robots on the line:
https://www.instagram.com/p/BaAOokSgdCp/

Fwiw my bachelor was in automation and mechatronics an I did my bachelor thesis about industrial robots. What you see in the video seems to be the normal workflow but with delays between the operations and maybe with slowed down movements. But some operations you can't slow down so if you speed up the video it will not look like normal speed.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 08:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
Pretty much all car manufacturers use a mix of automated and manual processes, ie building by hand.

Here is Tesla's response to the article:


Here is a video of some robots on the line:
https://www.instagram.com/p/BaAOokSgdCp/

Fwiw my bachelor was in automation and mechatronics an I did my bachelor thesis about industrial robots. What you see in the video seems to be the normal workflow but with delays between the operations and maybe with slowed down movements. But some operations you can't slow down so if you speed up the video it will not look like normal speed.
Is it your intention to destroy any remaining shred of credibility? You're doing a great job.

For people who run into the WSJ paywall, here's a summary at Zerohedge:

Quote:
Painting a comical scene of primitive, ad hoc production methods more appropriate for some Lada factory deep in the bowels of Russia and certainly not the pinnacle of modern production, the WSJ described a factory where workers struggled to perform tasks typically reserved for heavy machinery as they strained to piece the cars together.

One worker who spent time in the Model 3 shop—dubbed by some as Area 51 because of the limited access and secretive nature—described watching young workers in September struggling to move large pieces of steel to weld together instead of using robots as is traditionally the case.

“In place of the robots…you’ve got two associates lining up with a big, old spot welder hanging from the ceiling by a chain, and you’ve got one associate kind of like balancing it and trying to get the welder in position, and you’ve got another welder with his arm guiding it,” this worker recalled seeing. “Sparks go flying.”
Its high comedy and worth reading:

Quote:
Automotive experts say it is unusual to be building large parts of a car by hand during production. “That’s not how mass production vehicles are made,” said Dennis Virag, a manufacturing consultant who has worked in the automotive industry for 40 years. “That’s horse-and-carriage type manufacturing. That’s not today’s automotive world
This was obvious from the fact that they were just getting robots delivered back in July - it takes months to calibrate them and get the workflow right. Musk has been lying his face off the entire time about the projections. And is now having people put cars together by hand so he can claim at least something is coming off the lots, and use terms like "exponential" in tweets to the true believers to spread (heltok further above just spewed what Musk did without any critical thinking, for example).
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-08-2017 , 09:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
This was obvious from the fact that they were just getting robots delivered back in July - it takes months to calibrate them and get the workflow right.
They got robots delivered in april:
https://electrek.co/2017/04/25/tesla...line-pictures/

The video was a response to the WSJ article giving the impression that Tesla was still using manual processes for spot wielding. From your quote:
Quote:
described watching young workers in September struggling to move large pieces of steel to weld together instead of using robots as is traditionally the case.

“In place of the robots…you’ve got two associates lining up with a big, old spot welder hanging from the ceiling by a chain, and you’ve got one associate kind of like balancing it and trying to get the welder in position, and you’ve got another welder with his arm guiding it,” this worker recalled seeing. “Sparks go flying.”
Imo the video indicates that this is no longer the case if it ever was.

Here is the answer from WSJ:


Regarding the second quote:
Quote:
Automotive experts say it is unusual to be building large parts of a car by hand during production. “That’s not how mass production vehicles are made,” said Dennis Virag, a manufacturing consultant who has worked in the automotive industry for 40 years. “That’s horse-and-carriage type manufacturing. That’s not today’s automotive world
This is true. But it is unclear if Tesla are doing this. Imo it seems unlikely, but until we see the production line we can't know for certain.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-09-2017 , 03:26 AM
The "exponential" excuse is great. I'm surprised it hasn't become a hackneyed refrain from shysters. It can placate rubes nearly indefinitely. And if you've ever seen a pool get filled by x^2 droplets of water, you know that you stare at an empty pool for what seems like ages, and then suddenly BAM! The pool is overflowing with profits from hyperloops and tunnel cars and passenger rockets.
TSLA showing cracks? Quote
10-09-2017 , 04:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
The video was a response to the WSJ article giving the impression that Tesla was still using manual processes for spot wielding. From your quote:


Imo the video indicates that this is no longer the case if it ever was.

https://www.instagram.com/p/BaAOokSgdCp/
Why does the video indicate it was no longer the case? I'm not understanding the logic. Musk puts out a video of four welders welding what, 40 points?, on a non moving assembly line. Surely you realize there are far more welds than this and that they all take time to set up. And that some of the automation is already set up; the WSJ article claims that SOME of the work is still being done by hand, including SOME of the welding. In fact, that should have 100% of the line set up by now; having 90% set up would be in line with the WSJ article. What the **** does four robots doing a few welds prove?

The video proves absolutely nothing except a shocking level of gullibility in those who thinks it contradicts the WSJ article
Quote:
Imo the video indicates that this is no longer the case if it ever was.
Your mind is gone man; this is like cult leader belief levels. The video shows absolutely nothing of the sort.

Quote:
Here is the answer from WSJ:


Regarding the second quote:

This is true. But it is unclear if Tesla are doing this. Imo it seems unlikely, but until we see the production line we can't know for certain.
And who is not showing us the production line? Musk. Who is not crowing that "the production line is finished, the WSJ is lying or misinformed". Who is not producing more than a few cars/day on their "fully automated" "alien dreadnought", "machine that builds the machine" manufacturing line..

May I please have a Tesla bull whose mind is working, who has the tiniest sliver of normal doubt rather than absolute cult-like devotion, and certainty that Musk is a non-lying angel?
TSLA showing cracks? Quote

      
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