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Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense
Lol no.
I just realized this [statement, not bet] is an epic troll on your part.
I apologize. Kudos on your excellent work!
Thank you. The funniest trolls are the ones where people aren't sure whether it could be true. The bet is very real though.
I regret where this thread has gone. I don't want people to think there are huge edges to be had. There aren't. There are spots where you can get a nice return for decent risk of ruin, though.
It's disappointing (though not unexpected - my detractors are all either cowards or fools) that the people who believe in efficient markets or think I'm full of **** generally haven't had the balls to bet against me. This is free money if you think I suck. How many standard deviations outside the norm is a 5x yearly return? More than two I'd guess. Should be 10:1 at least, and the odds being offered are 3:1.
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When is this happening and will it be posted in this thread?
It's live as of a few days ago when Brian and I agreed, and trades will be posted when +EV high return situations become available. Could be today, could be two months away.