Yeah, three years in a row would be a lot of fun. As much fun as any Tom Sawyer, fence painting bet has been in a long while.

edit- I added an edit to experiment with smiley faces. I wanted Brian to know that he was clearly the Tom Sawyer here. As much as I love TS, three years of these bets for a thousand dollars would be very fun indeed.

Awesome, totally awesome.

He'd have a hard time getting a 500% gain using leveraged ETFs.

However, it isn't meant to "prove" anything. It is a bet.

Haha!

I'll bet 125 on tooth @4:1

125 vs your 500, full escrow both sides, also willing to hold the 625 in something like eth for added fun

For the sake of hopefully seeing this bet go, I'm willing to escrow as long as there's a way to do it that doesn't require any real risk/work on my part. :P

I'd be down to bet on Tooth winning...$50 to win $200. Or if u want to do crypto 1 LTC to win 5 LTC. Depending on who you are I'm not sure how worried about someone else escrowing I'd be.

Different odds and values

Odd

I'll book this if the dude's the thread is about put up the money. It's no fun for me if Tooth doesn't lose a lunch, even my 500 to your 100 if you want, like the intrepid "investor" said in the OP and has now changed his mind about.

For escrow, if he's willing, I'd feel comfy with Searix, as he's been around forever and if the somehow was robbed of all his cash, I'm sure he'd hook the winner up with a sweet poker table. If he doesn't care to, or you know someone better, I'm open.





I'm 54% sure that this bet will not run a full calendar year b4 it is either settled or welched. I know nothing about Brian, so he must be a decent person and reasonable poster here. TS otoh is literally the only persone I've blocked in 5 years on any forum on the interwebs. Don't know him, don't know anything about him, not even a,s,l. But, I DO know, that whenever I read early parts of long running threads, he's surely in there saying, "this can't last because.. F.. U.. D...", "it's a SCAME", "only way to play this is a heavy short". Like, IDK how the hell a guy who thinks nothing is good can even make money.




EDIT: damn i knew i shouldn't grunch... those terms are good 3 posts up. I like the idea of a crypto escrow for added funsies.. do a multisig or something

No chance at all that TS has as big of an edge as he claims, and even if he wins the bet it doesn't mean anything. To get any actual probability that TS claims are true you'd have to look at a really long and voluminous trading history. Just settle the bet right now by showing us all your portfolio.

they are a get out of jail card. you can leverage if stuck, increasing your chances quite a bit

if ur stuck ill help you u out and find ways to maximize your leverage. not sure brian wants me helping you

if you are stuck there will be 2x bitcoin etfs you can swingtrade later this year. ok ok i just say the bet isnt that big...I just like to think of ways to cheat :P

So the bet is over the second you hit 6k?

Tooth buy crypto and you'll be there by mid-February

id take that...500 to my 100...where Im betting toothsayer wins. get anyone to escrow that you trust...and I want it held in a crypto wallet in something normal. lets go with ether. winner gets the gains plus escrow. you find the willing escrow partner because you are putting up more and ill most likely go along with your choice

Ok, I'll still honor the 125 to 500 I offered , just use jalex for escrow?

Also in for crypto

I think it's unworkable because jalex doesn't crypto.

lol at all the dirty pikers in this thread trying to fleece people (although I'd expect no less from twoplustwo). I'm down to bet on Tooth just for the entertainment value. Let me know when a price has been set and there are some actual trades happening, and I'll put up $100 against whatever the market price is (as long as I consider it reasonable) as long as my counter party is a reputable BFI'er who has been around for a while. No need to escrow, if you really want to fleece someone over $100 then you have bigger issues to worry about.

Also, in the extremely unlikely event that Toothsayer goes AWOL (i.e., gets hit by a bus or whatever), I'll pay up at the end of the year provided he hasn't already won the bet.

Let the games begin!

I’d also like some action on the “won’t get 500%” side if and when this happens.

Yeah, I'm def not into that, doesn't mean I wouldn't spend 10 minutes settting up something.

I don't really want to escrow a bunch of little teeny bets, more meant I'd escrow for Tooth/Brian if needed to make the bet go. If they don't need it, I'm cool with being lazy.

Yeah bet is on. If I don't have real time posted proven trades taking me over $6000 by December 31, starting from $1000, I owe Brian $500. If I do, he owes me $1000.

If any of my haters want to make some money betting against me, the odds being offered to you in this thread are incredible considering I need to make 500% in a year to not lose. The average market return is 10% a year, or 50x lower than that. Should be a snap call if you believe I suck. Money where your mouth is?

It's funny - just from reading this thread, I'm guessing that my views regarding market inefficiency probably align more closely with Brian than with Tooth, but if I was going to place a bet, I'd take Tooth's side.

Just use options, put it on one trade, go for the gold

It is a gambling forum after all!

Personally I consider it a hedge. If he wins his posting will be insufferable for a very long time, unless I win money in which case it's going to seem hilarious.

I definitely don't hate you, I just know you're full of ****. I'm sure others feel the same. As I said before, the results of this bet mean nothing. Whether you win it or lose it has almost nothing to do with your skill and everything to do with luck. I've made 500% in a week before. It means nothing.

You could prove all of us wrong by showing us your billion dollar portfolio.