Quote:
Originally Posted by Valhalla1
The time to swap out 500 oz of silver for the average single family home might come a lot sooner than I thought..
My thoughts...
I have heard several times now, that 500oz of silver will buy a median priced home in the US at the peak of the precious metals rally. This stems from a video Mike Maloney put out ( a member of the Kiyosaki MLM financial education team). I have received a couple questions regarding this play which is based on Maloney's analysis of cyclical theory (in which he includes only precious metals and real estate).
Currently a median priced US home is roughly $160,000 and silver is currently $36.19 per ounce. Making the median US home currently equal to 4420ozs of silver. In the late 1800's a median priced home would cost you 4,000-8,000ozs of silver, and was roughly the same during WWI. During the time period of WWII it would take 10,000-16,000ozs of silver and during the 1980 intraday peak of silver it would have taken less than 900ozs of silver to purchase a median price US home.
Important to note mortgage rates will typically rise in the environment where silver goes parabolic making it more difficult and more expensive to finance a home during this time. So the theory is quite sound that moving from asset class to asset class may provide many benefits by simply being ahead of the crowd. It is safe to say we are already seeing a below average house price to silver ratio. Historically below 5,000ozs per US home is at the bottom end of the cycle.
To quote Maloney "you don't want to hold on to gold and silver forever, you want to hold on to it until a median priced single family home costs less than forty ounces of gold or five hundred ounces of silver, and then you want to trade your gold or silver for real estate." I wouldn't wait that long, during 1980's peak the US home to gold ratio briefly touched 100:1, so Maloney is expecting the ratio to be more than twice as narrow......
Maloney's Cyclical Predictions.