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04-22-2021 , 01:27 PM
BT2,

You posted a link to Chanos' short-only fund, which is meant strictly as a hedge. +2% CAGR on a short-only fund is actually insanely good. If you can't do basic logic or critical thinking, this thread probably isn't for you.

Quote:
Chanos argues that by protecting the downside with his shorts, an investor can actually double his risk — and over time that has proved a winning strategy. Through the end of 2017, Kynikos Capital Partners has a net annualized gain of 28.6 percent since launch in October 1985, more than double the S&P 500. That has happened even though the short book — as represented by Ursus — has lost 0.7 percent annually during the same time frame, according to a recent Kynikos document Institutional Investor has obtained.
https://www.institutionalinvestor.co...-and-Elon-Musk

And it should come as no surprise that his funds have suffered heavy investor outflows after an epic decade-plus bull run. I would suggest you study up on the limits to arbitrage given the fact that outside investors tend to evaluate and allocate to funds based on short-term performance (https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/sh...farbitrage.pdf). Also remember there are no easy trades (https://www.notion.so/TANSTAFL-There...feb7ba150a3558 and https://blog.thinknewfound.com/2017/...ve-management/).
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04-22-2021 , 11:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by n00b590
BT2,

You posted a link to Chanos' short-only fund, which is meant strictly as a hedge. +2% CAGR on a short-only fund is actually insanely good. If you can't do basic logic or critical thinking, this thread probably isn't for you.

https://www.institutionalinvestor.co...-and-Elon-Musk

And it should come as no surprise that his funds have suffered heavy investor outflows after an epic decade-plus bull run. I would suggest you study up on the limits to arbitrage given the fact that outside investors tend to evaluate and allocate to funds based on short-term performance (https://scholar.harvard.edu/files/sh...farbitrage.pdf). Also remember there are no easy trades (https://www.notion.so/TANSTAFL-There...feb7ba150a3558 and https://blog.thinknewfound.com/2017/...ve-management/).
Thanks for the link. Do you have data of the performance in the last decade? A fund can have killer returns in the first few years and maintain a very high historical average return despite mediocre returns in recent years, similar to how Berkshire has a high historical average return despite underperformance during the last decade. As an example, someone could YOLO options and make 10000% gains in the first year, then invest the rest in a basic index fund for the following 30 years, and still have historical average returns that outperform the index considerably. I would be curious to know what the returns have been more recently. I can only find the data up to 1995.
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