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Originally Posted by pearljam1012
Approx 930k invested total w/ 30k in a REIT, 170k in Vanguard SEP IRA, 730k Vanguard. both in 100% stock index funds w/ 80/20 split US/international and fairly even split between small/mid/large cap stocks(leaning slightly towards small cap). I want to get to a 65:35 US/International split eventually.
1. Thoughts about how my portfolio is balanced? What ways would you recommend to improve it? I feel I'm too heavily weighted into stocks. In the past I had wrongly rationalized it by saying I always had 200-400k in cash due to it being online. Obviously now that's not the case. I was thinking it may be possible to lower my risk a lot without lowering my expexted return too much. Are there higher yielding investments that provide a natural hedge to stocks? Would you recommend re-balancing portfolio now or just using the money I get from the online sites when I receive it?
I don't think there is any obvious way for you to easily keep close to the same expected return while moving significantly away from stocks towards some other basic, index-friendly investment options. If you move towards bonds you will lower the expected return. Maybe you could rebalance more broadly across different markets but your current allocation sounds reasonable and maybe it would just make it worse -- I'm sure there's research out there on this but I don't know what the "answer" is here.
Your basic instinct is really good though. The idea that "if I get exposure to multiple pretty uncorrelated asset classes with high expected returns, I will get a high return with less risk" is basically what David Swensen at Yale came up with two decades ago to make himself famous. He's investing in stuff like timber and private equity though -- which is tough to do unless you're wielding institutional money.
Also, are you planning on living solely off this money or are you going to get a job or do something else? If you will still have income you're still really young and may be in a position to keep up a risky profile and not worry too much about the shorter-term swings.
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3. 2011 will be a brutal tax year for me if we get all of our money from the poker sites. Is there a way to legally invest in things that would work as a way to 'delay' the income to 2012, 2013, etc etc? Considering my expected income in the following years is pretty low, I'd really like to spread out my 2011 income if possible. I've heard some people mention municipal bonds?? but I just don't know enough to even know where to start. I suppose this may be a better question to ask my accountant.
This one is more an accountant's territory. I think the answer is basically going to be no though. Certain kinds of municipal bonds are tax-free, which means the interest payments you get from them aren't taxed. But that won't help you avoid income tax on the poker income you earned -- it just means you'll get some tax-free interest (and yes, that interest will generally be lower than the taxable interest you could get, as markets do try to adjust for this). You could talk to an accountant about any kind of tax-advantaged retirement accounts you could set up this year (401Ks and SEP-IRAs) -- again probably won't shield most of it but the law is weird especially for the "self-employed" and it's worth investigating.