Quote:
Originally Posted by ArturiusX
Why would gold rise if the US went back to a gold standard? Wouldn't people move back to holding USD's instead and earn interest?
Energy being rationed isn't a good thing. It means price is to high, so people consume less. Less consumption = less revenue for energy producers. Clean energy fund would, like you said, be a very long term prospect but it might be an interesting hedge depending on your portfolio. I doubt the companies would be all pure clean energy, most likely it would be weighted towards a companies own % investment in clean energy.
I dont think its going to be the US that goes to a gold standard. But i think whichever currency eventually replaces the US as the reserve currency wont be able to be another fiat currency. After seeing what has happened to the USD over the last few decades i dont think world leaders will agree to a currency that can be debased like that, they will want some sort of discipline imposed.
I think the most likely scenario, although i could quite possible be wrong, is that eventually, maybe even at the same time as they make their currency fully convertable, is that the Chinese put the Renminbi on a gold standard. Apparently the IMF is trying to sell its gold at the moment which obviously isnt good as the IMF is the 2nd or 3rd largest holder of gold in the world, although if they do sell it and it depresses the price ill probably buy some more. Whichever currency it is though, if gold gains a monetary use again people, especially central banks and governments around the world, will want to own and hold gold, as opposed to the last decade or so where they have been sellers of gold.
Energy rations might not be particularly good for the income streams of energy companies, but the price of the energy commodities, oil or coal or whatever, will rise. Also the reserves of the energy companies will then be seen to be worth alot more. All this being said i think energy rations are a pretty unlikely scenario, is there anything you could point me to that could explain why/how this might happen?
Thanks heaps