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PDEX - My Largest Position PDEX - My Largest Position

07-23-2019 , 12:04 PM
Never looked at this thread before. 4 years, 700%

decent
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-09-2019 , 02:45 PM
TD say earnings are today, and they filed their last 10-q 3 months to the day. Didn't see anything on their site about reporting dates.

Could be tonight
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-09-2019 , 04:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
TD say earnings are today, and they filed their last 10-q 3 months to the day. Didn't see anything on their site about reporting dates.

Could be tonight
I think the next release is the annual report, which typically takes longer for them to release. Looking at SEC.gov it appears that the last annual report was released on 9/13/18 so I'd expect it to be another month before the earnings announcement.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-09-2019 , 04:34 PM
Ah, makes sense. It's always frustrating tracking down earnings dates. Yahoo said today/tommorow, TD today, and RH late August. Turns out, all 3 are probably wrong lol.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-29-2019 , 04:20 PM
Earnings are out. 7.0 million in Q4 revenue, which is an all time record. The future is bright!
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-29-2019 , 04:34 PM
two weeks sooner than I expected
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-29-2019 , 05:14 PM
10-K should be out on 9/12, if I read the report correctly. Quarter seemed strong. They're also buying back stock again - shares outstanding is down to 4.1 million again.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-29-2019 , 05:14 PM
Well, we didn't immediately lose 25%, so there is that at least.

Quote:
Quarter Ended June 30, 2019
Net sales for the three months ended June 30, 2019 increased $756,000, or 12%, to $7.0 million from $6.2 million for the three months
ended June 30, 2018, due primarily to increased medical device sales and repair revenue generated from our largest customer of a product used
in orthopedic surgical applications. Gross profit for the three months ended June 30, 2019 increased $153,000, or 6%, to $2.5 million from $2.4
million for the same period in 2018. The increase in gross margin is due to better absorption of our fixed costs due to higher sales volumes, as
well as manufacturing efficiencies derived this fiscal year from higher volumes and continued investment in new machinery.
Operating expenses (which include selling, general and administrative, and research and development expenses) for the quarter ended
June 30, 2019 decreased 27% to $1.4 million from $1.9 million in the prior year’s corresponding quarter, due primarily to the prior year impairment
of our entire $800,000 investment in Monogram Orthopaedics Inc. (“Monogram”) offset by increased expenditures of $61,000 in selling expenses
and $97,000 in research and development costs to support our continued efforts to further grow our business, as well as an increase of $148,000
in general and administrative expenses due to increased bonus accruals.
Net income for the quarter ended June 30, 2019 increased by $720,000, to $888,000, or $0.21 per diluted share, compared to $168,000,
or $0.04 per diluted share, in the corresponding quarter in 2018.
Year Ended June 30, 2019
Net sales for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2019 increased $4.7 million, or 21%, to $27.2 million from $22.5 million for the fiscal year
ended June 30, 2018, due primarily to increases in medical device revenues. Specifically, our largest customer accounted for an increase of $4.6
million in revenue during fiscal 2019.
Gross profit for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2019 increased $1.8 million, or 23%, to $9.8 million compared to $7.9 million for fiscal 2018,
due to increased revenues and manufacturing efficiencies.
Operating expenses (which include selling, general and administrative, and research and development expenses) for the fiscal year ended
June 30, 2019 decreased 14% to $4.8 million from $5.6 million in the prior fiscal year, due in part to the prior year impairment charges related to
our Monogram investment as well as our Fineline Molds division, which we sold in May 2018.
Net income for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2019 was $4.2 million, or $0.97 per diluted share, compared to $1.6 million, or $0.37 per
diluted share, for fiscal 2018.
Although the Company has released its earnings prior to the filing of its annual Form 10-K with the Securities and Exchange Commission,
we are able to do this because we are a non-accelerated filer and as a result have more time to do so at fiscal year-end. During our quarterly
reporting periods we anticipate that our earnings releases will continue to be released at the same time as our Form 10-Q’s are filed with the
Securities and Exchange Commission. We anticipate filing our Form 10-K with the Securities and Exchange Commission on September 12, 2019.
Agree with bobble that it looks very promising
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-29-2019 , 05:39 PM
I don't think it was a big enough beat to get the micro traders interested again(think they all bailed out after last quarter). I expect 5-10% bump, but I'm no expert. I want to see the backlog numbers in the 10k
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-29-2019 , 05:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigt2k4
I don't think it was a big enough beat to get the micro traders interested again(think they all bailed out after last quarter). I expect 5-10% bump, but I'm no expert. I want to see the backlog numbers in the 10k
I think the most important thing is that the business is growing and really starting to click on all cylinders. It sounds like their new products are starting to hit top line revenue, and that's huge.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-29-2019 , 11:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Malachii
I think the most important thing is that the business is growing and really starting to click on all cylinders. It sounds like their new products are starting to hit top line revenue, and that's huge.
So I thought the run up in price before the previous earnings was because of investors taking notice. It wasn't, it was traders noticing they were killing every earnings and swing trading. That's why you saw 25% decrease on a decent earnings because profitability was down despite it being obvious as to why. I like the report, I just don't think it will cause anyone to notice the company is undervalued. That's why I predict a small bump.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-30-2019 , 02:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigt2k4
So I thought the run up in price before the previous earnings was because of investors taking notice. It wasn't, it was traders noticing they were killing every earnings and swing trading. That's why you saw 25% decrease on a decent earnings because profitability was down despite it being obvious as to why. I like the report, I just don't think it will cause anyone to notice the company is undervalued. That's why I predict a small bump.
Eh, we'll see what happens. I don't disagree with your analysis - there was definitely a speculative bubble ahead of the last earnings release. I guess my basic point is that if the Company continues to grow revenue at the clip they're doing, then ultimately none of that really matters, because if the business is doing well then the stock price will inevitably follow (although obviously there will be some oscillations along the way). The most important thing for a startup company is, was, and always will be revenue growth - everything else is secondary. If they can keep doing that, then I think they'll be trading at 20 to 25 in less than year.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
08-30-2019 , 10:31 AM
and it opens down 5%, shows what I know. Probably good for their share repurchases, they basically put every dollar of profit last quarter (and then some) into buying back shares.

Who's selling to them?
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
09-06-2019 , 09:43 AM
Down 5% this morning on 366vol. Wat? I understand it's meaningless in the grand scheme of things, but who does this?
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
09-06-2019 , 10:34 AM
Not enough people with buy orders in to capitalize on someone's market sell order.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
09-12-2019 , 07:25 PM
10-k out, backlog @ 17.7 M,
other notes:
employees increased from 81 to 99
R & D costs remained @ 1.9 million, but labour costs related to them (not included in the 1.9M) increased from 46k to 277k. Possibly employees are now working exclusively on the new products? Possibly hired someone specifically for that purpose?
Only 101 people hold their stock? I personally know 3 people who do, + the board members, employees, you guys...? Did all you guys sell?

Also:


Thoracic Driver



$

339





$

622







09/19





$

4,000




They launch it this month and expect 4 million in revenue from it. The margins will presumably be quite high too. That means high profits next year

Last edited by bigt2k4; 09-12-2019 at 07:30 PM.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
09-12-2019 , 08:06 PM
they started the fiscal year with 12.3m in backlog and are going into the new one with 17.7m, i'm not really concerned yet. the ~25m backlog 2 quarters ago was more of an outlier it seems.
but obviously something to keep a look at.

the number of people is pretty meaningless. for most individual owners the shares will be held in street name
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/instreetname.asp

the contract with their 60%-of-revenue customer is running out at the end of 2021, that's also something to pay attention to. i don't think there is a lot of risk here though, as the customer seems to increase their purchases every year. don't think it's likely they stop all of a sudden.

Last edited by BooLoo; 09-12-2019 at 08:17 PM.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
09-12-2019 , 10:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BooLoo
they started the fiscal year with 12.3m in backlog and are going into the new one with 17.7m, i'm not really concerned yet. the ~25m backlog 2 quarters ago was more of an outlier it seems.
but obviously something to keep a look at.

the number of people is pretty meaningless. for most individual owners the shares will be held in street name
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/i/instreetname.asp

the contract with their 60%-of-revenue customer is running out at the end of 2021, that's also something to pay attention to. i don't think there is a lot of risk here though, as the customer seems to increase their purchases every year. don't think it's likely they stop all of a sudden.
17.7 Million + 7.5 million of expected revenue from their new devices is almost their 2019 revenue alone. That device that is releasing shortly I'm really excited about Q2 earnings.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
10-12-2019 , 12:44 PM
It looks like the Monogram raise (seedinvest.com/monogram/) is gaining steam. The CEO has stated some very good reasons for fundraising via a series-A on their message board. Definitely seems like this could be an interesting opportunity.

Thoughts?
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
11-06-2019 , 10:57 AM
earnings are most likely out tomorrow*, I'm expecting a small bump in revenue from their new proprietary devices (quarter ended September 30th and a couple of their new devices from my understanding were being released to market at some point in September.) I'm thinking 7.1-7.4 million in revenue, but could be way off- I gather everything from their 10Q/Ks which wasn't exactly clear in the way those devices would be released on their last 10k. I asked the CFO some questions and she said she couldn't respond to them, but would try to be more clear on the next 10Q. No idea on what earnings might be as there are a lot of factors that may increase costs (new workers) and unsure what the profit margins are on those devices they are releasing.

*It's possible earnings don't come out until next week though, (also possible they release them today), I'm just going by the fact they generally release them on Thursdays in the first 10 days of the month.


Is anyone going to the shareholder conference? I've got some questions I want to ask, but live about 4000km away from Irvine.


Previous poster: I don't know enough about the Monogram investment to comment.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
11-06-2019 , 11:53 AM
TD shows they report 11/26 which is more in line with 3 months after the last Q. Everywhere tends to be wrong on the date though, so no clue.

Been really disappointed with the price action on this. Really thought it would settle back around 16/17, especially with the buyback going
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
11-06-2019 , 01:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by coordi
TD shows they report 11/26 which is more in line with 3 months after the last Q. Everywhere tends to be wrong on the date though, so no clue.

Been really disappointed with the price action on this. Really thought it would settle back around 16/17, especially with the buyback going
Q1 is usually 2 months after Q4(FY) which is more comprehensive and takes an additional month. Q4 is/was 4 months after Q3, last year they reported Q1 On Thursday November 8th. They reported Thursday May 9th and Thursday February 7th this year so I'm thinking there's a 80% chance earnings come out tomorrow

Last edited by bigt2k4; 11-06-2019 at 01:06 PM.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
11-07-2019 , 05:56 PM
Core business did well, 7.25 million in revenue however their 2 big prop devices have had delays and wont be ready until Q3 and Q4.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
11-07-2019 , 06:02 PM
7.25 is another record quarter, so at least we are trending higher despite the delays. Still looks promising. Ford equity gave them a #1 rating about a month ago, and the other two listed still show a top tier rating. I don't give a crap about analysts, but a lot of people do.

Nm, found in 10q.

There are some things that concern me, like device sales being down, and a huge chunk coming from repairs/other. Looks like they really need these new devices

Last edited by coordi; 11-07-2019 at 06:18 PM.
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote
12-19-2019 , 11:04 AM
http://irdirect.net/filings/viewer/i...5335019001295/

new 1 million share repurchase program announced as the 750k share program is nearly done. If completed your ownership of the company will increase roughly 33%
PDEX - My Largest Position Quote

      
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