Quote:
Originally Posted by TheJacob
I mostly bought relatively cheap items(discontinued cases or event stickers for .04 cents to a few dollars) and held for months or years.
I started with $30 and have a valve index and several thousand dollars of stickers and cases in inventories. I don't sell on secondary markets for cash. Its enough of a pain in the ass already. I'm happy to have a valve index and a lifetime free steam library or whatever future valve hardware exist.'
Discontinued items increase in value over time almost without exception. The only failure I've had in that regard is buying thousands of Christmas stickers and hoping they don't add them the next year. I've had thousands of Ho Ho Ho stickers for years that haven't increased in value.
I still have a bunch of accounts with inventories, but don't buy stickers/cases anymore as its a lot of work. I'm assuming there are people with the skills to automate the whole process who have made boatloads of money. Even then it would be a lot of work.
As far as high value items in CSGO. That's a whole thing I never really got into, but that's the advantage of a market system and a game with what appears to be a 10+ year shelf life.
No one is paying thousands of dollars for a skin in a yearly cod title.
I think you have the potential to do very well in NFTs with your experience. That said, there are plenty of pitfalls, the biggest one being how strong the broader market strength correlates to these assets. BTC falling has historically just nuked everything, and for example someone trading NFTs that are priced in ETH, has seen the value of these NFTs depreciate in ETH. This could change and there are theories that market maturation will offer less ties to BTC price, but I won't make a prediction for when/if this will occur.
Specifically for NFTs, I have seen exactly what you're saying about discontinued items, which makes a lot of sense. My focus for any NFT purchase is:
1) "discontinued items" in an ecosystem that I'm prepared to baghold a while
2) network effect/strength of the community - will they dissipate/disappear in a bear market? If there's a strong chance the answer is no, either because the community simply feels that strong, or the dev team clearly appears committed to the long haul (very easy for this speculation to be dubious), then it might be worth it. If the prediction is that ETH for example has a ton of potential upside, and there's a great entry for an immediately discontinued item in an ecosystem, these can serve as leverage-long-ETH tokens.
As for exits, the NFT top we saw earlier this year suggests that for ERC-20 NFTs (ETH based), they may peak while ETH is moving up yet not at some sort of blow-off top quite yet. So perhaps the play is to exit some of this stuff for ETH later in the year, then sell off the ETH when it runs wild against both USD and BTC. But who knows!