Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
Once again you are just ****ing dumb.
FACT:
The Delta variant has not been "ripping through the U.K." for 2 whole months.
Delta was barely present compared to Alpha's decline two months ago. It has since become dominant, starting a new wave.
Two months ago about 20% of all new cases in the UK were Delta, hardly "barely present", and that was before it being treated as a variant of concern so was likely under-reported. It was the dominant strain 6 or 7 weeks ago and by 4 weeks ago it accounted for over 80% of all new cases (now at 99%).
There's obviously a lag between cases rising and hospitalisations rising but the delay is already longer than it was in previous waves (by date, not cases), which makes it pretty much impossible for the lag to be the only reason for the low numbers of hospitalisations at the moment. In fact given that there are also fewer restrictions now than at the start of previous waves we would expect the initial transmission among young people to more quickly spread to those who are more vulnerable than in past waves but none of the data suggest anything of the sort.
There are other contributing factors, most obviously seasonality, but there is absolutely nothing in the data from the UK supporting a conclusion that vaccines are anything more than moderately less effective vs Delta than they are vs other variants - let alone that they give "no protection at all".