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Coronavirus Coronavirus

05-27-2020 , 12:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RikaKazak
Covid deaths are being MASSIVELY under reported imo:

Indiana: 1,832 COVID-19 deaths; 2,149 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 384 pneumonia deaths)

Illinois: 4,856 COVID-19 deaths; 3,986 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 782 pneumonia deaths)

Tennessee: 336 COVID-19 deaths; 1,704 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 611 pneumonia deaths)

Ohio: 1,969 COVID-19 deaths; 2,327 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 820 pneumonia deaths)

Virginia: 1,208 COVID-19 deaths; 1,394 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 451 pneumonia deaths)

West Virginia: 72 COVID-19 deaths; 438 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 117 pneumonia deaths)


Summary: States are saying pneumonia is killing people and not covid so they can say, "look, we don't have a covid problem"......lying *******s.
Covid oftentimes will cause severe pneumonia, so I can see it as an easy, if somewhat disingenuous mistake/distortion to make to say the cause of death was pneumonia because it was, even though that in turn was caused by Covid.
05-27-2020 , 01:05 AM
with regard to covid "burning out" - what happens during a typical flu season? we know that the flu comes in waves during cold months and it then mostly goes away. does anyone know why?
05-27-2020 , 01:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RikaKazak
Covid deaths are being MASSIVELY under reported imo:

Indiana: 1,832 COVID-19 deaths; 2,149 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 384 pneumonia deaths)

Illinois: 4,856 COVID-19 deaths; 3,986 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 782 pneumonia deaths)

Tennessee: 336 COVID-19 deaths; 1,704 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 611 pneumonia deaths)

Ohio: 1,969 COVID-19 deaths; 2,327 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 820 pneumonia deaths)

Virginia: 1,208 COVID-19 deaths; 1,394 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 451 pneumonia deaths)

West Virginia: 72 COVID-19 deaths; 438 pneumonia deaths (five-year average: 117 pneumonia deaths)


Summary: States are saying pneumonia is killing people and not covid so they can say, "look, we don't have a covid problem"......lying *******s.
where did u get the pneumonia death stats from?
05-27-2020 , 03:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PuttingInTheGrind
The Nobel laureate Michael Levitt (a British-American-Israeli) made some good points on this.

The lockdown quite possibly could have cost even more lives than not having one (I personally am not sure on this). Other precautions such as making people wear masks and social distancing might possibly be more effective at saving total number of lives.

Levitt has analyzed plenty of data of 78 nations and belives his investigations proves that the virus was never going to grow exponentially. You actually see from the first case in China that any exponential growth slows down dramatically.

Look at the predicted deaths from people who were saying that maybe millions in the UK for example will die. Epidemiologists will then like to claim success when say only 40k and claim it is due to the lockdown. We are not seeing even hundreds of thousands dying in places like Sweden.

The same happened with Ebola and bird flu.
Oh come on, are people still spouting this crap?

1/ Chinese data is obviously fake. We cannot yield any conclusions from it. Or do you believe Wuhan got hit by something new, and was able to get a fraction of the deaths of regions like NY, Lombardy, Madrid?

2/ CV officially killed 350k while pretty much the whole world stayed the **** inside. Real death count is probably at least 2X that and before this wave is over we'll probably be over 600k official. Where is the proof of all these lockdown deaths? Can you point to some?

3/ Maybe people wearing masks & social distancing was enough, but maybe wasn't enough for where the world was at. We needed a "this is our best shot of stopping this thing"-reaction and that is what most of the world went for. And it was necessary. The large or wealthy economies can take it. Do you know many people who lost their jobs who don't work in a sector that would've gotten ****ed by CV regardless of lockdown or not?

4/ The million deaths was the herd immunity strategy. Sweden is not close to herd immunity and is doing 5-10x as bad as its peers. We'll also see where this puts Sweden going forward compared to the rest of EU. It is not even close to being guaranteed that Sweden followed the best economical strategy. Sweden had the luxury of various advantages (less initial spread from Italy, lower population density, first measures implemented when the infection was not that bad yet,...) which got it where it is today. Which is not ****ing good at all.
05-27-2020 , 04:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by apology7
with regard to covid "burning out" - what happens during a typical flu season? we know that the flu comes in waves during cold months and it then mostly goes away. does anyone know why?
Heat and humidity basically.

Current CDC COVID-19 Estimates

Fatality Rates

0-49 years old: .05%
50-64 years old: .2%
65+ years old: 1.3%
Overall ages: .4%

Asymptomatic 35%

@bbfg - to imply that there is no cost in human life due to lockdowns is crap. It is hard to quantify for sure but it exists. To what degree is unknown and you sure as hell don’t know.

Last edited by adios; 05-27-2020 at 04:37 AM.
05-27-2020 , 05:15 AM
People should focus more on the 'unseen'. A lockdown is clear in what it does, the results are directly visible and easy to imagine for pretty much anybody.

On the other hand there's the unseen, which can take form in uncountable ways and might only show up years later. The results of this are invisible and very hard to imagine. But they exist.
05-27-2020 , 05:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by apology7
with regard to covid "burning out" - what happens during a typical flu season? we know that the flu comes in waves during cold months and it then mostly goes away. does anyone know why?
vaccination, community spread (temporary immunity), behavioral changes (less inside, no school, heating is off), more sunlight

Quote:
Originally Posted by CoolTimer
On the other hand there's the unseen, which can take form in uncountable ways and might only show up years later. The results of this are invisible and very hard to imagine. But they exist.
One thing to look at is cancer detection rates.
05-27-2020 , 06:49 AM
Rika thanks for posting this, that explains a lot of the lack of consistency between the real situation and the statistics in the last few weeks i was wondering about while following the american situation.
05-27-2020 , 07:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CharlieDontSurf
where did u get the pneumonia death stats from?
^^
05-27-2020 , 08:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by adios

@bbfg - to imply that there is no cost in human life due to lockdowns is crap. It is hard to quantify for sure but it exists. To what degree is unknown and you sure as hell don’t know.
Lockdown will also indirectly lead to a lot of lives saved, via reduced traffic accidents etc ( a big contributor to death counts under normal conditions), less social drunkenness and violent crime etc.

To immediately assume lockdown has a significant cost in human life is crap.

I would imagine it would not be that hard to massively reduce incidental deaths from Lockdown with correct planning.
05-27-2020 , 10:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jh12547
Are the pneumonia deaths they are reporting from only 2020? And are the five year averages based on the full year? I was having a discussion with a friend and I’d like to show him this. Link please if you don’t mind
It's comparing apples to apples. So it's "covid and pnuemonia deaths in 2020 year to date" and "previous year's deaths over the same time period."
05-27-2020 , 11:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CharlieDontSurf
where did u get the pneumonia death stats from?
The post right before the post you quoted has the links.

Sorry, I should of included everything in 1 big post.

And for the record, I didn't do the math/figure this out. A redditor did and I merely reposted here so people could see. After rereading my post I see how I did a poor job explaining that originally, sorry.

And his math (other then the mistake outlined in post 1) seems spot on.
05-27-2020 , 03:52 PM
Transcript of Mainer vs. Pritzker

https://docs.google.com/viewerng/vie...671/ruling.pdf
Quote:
Since the inception of this insanity, the following regulations, rules or consequences have occurred: I won’t get COVID if I get an abortion but I will get COVID if I get a colonoscopy. Selling pot is essential but selling goods and services at a family-owned business is not. Pot wasn’t even legal and pot dispensaries didn’t even exist in this state until five months ago and, in that five months, they have become essential but a family-owned business in existence for five generations is not.

A family of six can pile in their car and drive to Carlyle Lake without contracting COVID but, if they all get in the same boat, they will. We are told that kids rarely contract the virus and sunlight kills it, but summer youth programs, sports programs are cancelled. Four people can drive to the golf course and not get COVID but, if they play in a foursome, they will. If I go to Walmart, I won’t get COVID but, if I go to church, I will. Murderers are released from custody while small business owners are threatened with arrest if they have the audacity to attempt to feed their families.

Our economy is shut down because of a flu virus with a 98 percent plus survival rate. Doctors and experts say different things weekly. The defendant cites models in his opposition. The only thing experts will agree on is that all models are wrong and some are useful. The Centers for Disease Control now says the virus is not easily spread on surfaces.

The defendant in this case orders you to stay home and pronounces that, if you leave the state, you are putting people in danger, but his family members traveled to Florida and Wisconsin because he deems such travel essential. One initial rationale why the rules don’t apply to him is that his family farm had animals that needed fed. Try selling that argument to farmers who have had to slaughter their herds because of disruption in the supply chain.

When laws do not apply to those who make them, people are not being governed, they are being ruled. Make no mistake, these executive orders are not laws. They are royal decrees. Illinois citizens are not being governed, they are being ruled. The last time I checked Illinois citizens are also Americans and Americans don’t get ruled. The last time a monarch tried to rule Americans, a shot was fired that was heard around the world. That day led to the birth of a nation consensually governed based upon a document which ensures that on this day in this, any American courtroom tyrannical despotism will always lose and liberty, freedom and the constitution will always win.
05-27-2020 , 06:18 PM
Moderna feeling like a buy here. Drop seemed to be based on one guy in the study who reported nausea and light headedness after getting the highest-level dose.
05-27-2020 , 06:53 PM
What % of Americans will agree to vaccination if a vaccine exists?
05-27-2020 , 07:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Love Sosa
I think you are being a little harsh on Americans. There is definitely lockdown fatigue going on in a lot places, I'm seeing it first hand in Canada. We are social beings, we're not wired to endure long periods of lockdowns and distancing, that's not something unique to Americans IMO. We don't need to pack into arenas but small gatherings should be fine.

I will say though, the surefire method to get americans to do something is to tell them not to do it.

e.g I find hanging out with friends good for my mental health, so I do it. Selfish? Ok...maybe, but I put my own health above others, I don't believe in sacrificing my own health for some sort of abstract "greater good".
Lovebeta,

Thought you were a manly man?

needing to socialize with others for your mental health seems very BETA male. Another fake conservative alpha male exposed. It was a good run
05-27-2020 , 07:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by despacito
What % of Americans will agree to vaccination if a vaccine exists?
Who knows... Maybe 80%
05-27-2020 , 08:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PokerHero77
Transcript of Mainer vs. Pritzker

https://docs.google.com/viewerng/vie...671/ruling.pdf
Gov. Big Boy just trying to stay shut down until the feds bail his fat ass out. Illinois was already bankrupt before this and now its all but done. I can't quite leave Illinois quite yet due to family concerns but as soon as I can I will be outta this as soon as possible.
05-27-2020 , 08:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bruce@lfb
Who knows... Maybe 80%
I saw a poll somewhere that said exactly that.
05-27-2020 , 08:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrbaseball
Gov. Big Boy just trying to stay shut down until the feds bail his fat ass out. Illinois was already bankrupt before this and now its all but done. I can't quite leave Illinois quite yet due to family concerns but as soon as I can I will be outta this as soon as possible.
me and you both my friend.
05-27-2020 , 08:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bruce@lfb
Who knows... Maybe 80%
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrbaseball
I saw a poll somewhere that said exactly that.
I would take the under on 80% nationally, but maybe in some states, idk tho.

Saw a polls ranging from 40% to 80% nationally.
05-27-2020 , 09:02 PM
I am not taking it.
05-28-2020 , 12:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bruce@lfb
I am not taking it.
Is it the Bill Gates nanobots thing?
05-28-2020 , 01:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GreenSmoke85
Lovebeta,

Thought you were a manly man?

needing to socialize with others for your mental health seems very BETA male. Another fake conservative alpha male exposed. It was a good run
i'm guessing there is some backstory here
05-28-2020 , 02:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Love Sosa
e.g I find hanging out with friends good for my mental health, so I do it. Selfish? Ok...maybe, but I put my own health above others, I don't believe in sacrificing my own health for some sort of abstract "greater good".
Sounds like a perfectly rational actor. Socialising lowers stress and boosts immune functioning via a number of biological mechanisms.

People might sacrifice this for a time as part of a social contract, but very few reasons for anyone to put the greater good ahead of their own health.

      
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