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Originally Posted by ezmogee
hey all, published an op-ed in today's WSJ about what I think is the biggest challenge facing bitcoin. Would def appreciate any feedback or if you think I'm wrong. Haven't been able to follow the minute by minute developments lately but seems to still be accurate
http://on.wsj.com/1cdFEwJ
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Bitcoin is attempting to disrupt a regulatory framework and financial system that it must also depend on for its stability and growth.
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Because without a regulatory framework, credible payment processors—such as PayPal, Dwolla or Square—cannot service bitcoin exchanges.
This seems completely backwards to me. These payment processors choose not to deal with bitcoin because they don't want to be prosecuted for violating laws on money laundering, tax evasion, gambling, drug purchases, etc. The solution to get a more reputable and safe environment is not to create more laws defining how bitcoin should and shouldn't be used, but a removal of the laws I mentioned. So that large, reputable companies with proper management teams can enter the market.
It's not that different from what happened to FTP/PS. Federal laws prohibited banks and credit cards from processing payments for poker sites. The sites had to resort to using shady banks and processors, who stole money from the poker sites(which went unreported) and raised the cost of money transfers. This contributed to their financial downfall. The proper solution would have been to remove restrictions, so that all banks and credit cards could participate. Payment processors would be out in the open, instead of the black market, and fraud would have been prosecuted.
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For bitcoin investors, the good news is that risk and reward are correlated and big profits will be available for those willing to engage in a nascent, risky environment. Similarly, early professional online poker players who gambled with unlicensed, offshore operators reaped big rewards from less talented players before the market matured.
This comparison is complete nonsense and meaningless. It leads the reader to possibly draw some incorrect conclusions, such as bitcoin being a ponzi scheme. Bitcoin is a new tech industry that is creating wealth by making it less costly to transfer money. This has no parallel with poker players who take money from other players. There is no wealth creation at the poker table.
Also, I don't agree that the poker market "matured." And I'm not sure if your statement on poker players is about pre or post UIGEA. The govt made it far more difficult for Americans to play online poker. It's like saying the drug market matured when the war on drugs began. A mature market would be open to anyone willing to participate. UIGEA and other laws on gambling caused restricted access to the poker market.
The parallels you brought up in your article "Why Mt. Gox May Be Headed for Bankruptcy" were interesting, and your analysis on Gox may very well be correct. I have no way to disagree with that. I just disagree with you on govt regulation as the solution to the problems you accurately described. Correct me if I'm wrong on my description of the poker environment, as I know you are an expert on that.