Quote:
Originally Posted by john kane
zomg i read this thread a bit when it was first posted, the price has gone from 90cents to over $7 in about 6 weeks!
has anyone made a 5+ figure profit or is it difficult due to the purchase constraints?
also i really don't understand how this works, how can someone fundamentally make money from this? is it similar to gold, in that it has no (real) use, other than the fact you think you'll be able to sell it on to someone else at a higher price in the future?
The people who have really profited got in at 7 cents!
It's designed to be similar to Gold. Limited quantity, hard to get, divisible, easy to verify, does not spoil, etc...
Gold has use other than selling it to someone for profit. If Gold's value was constant, it would still be useful as a currency. Currency is good to have because it is almost universally accepted, so it removes the need to barter, and because it's easy to price things and compare alternatives.
If I want alpaca socks, and I can offer computer programming skills, I'll need to find an alpaca farmer who also wants my skills. Pretty rare to find. But perhaps he wants a chicken, and a chicken farmer needs my skills, so I go trade with the chicken guy first, then trade with the alpaca guy. This is expensive even in the simplest case. When I trade through intermediate goods, I need to be sure that they will be accepted when I trade for what I really want. If I use a currency, I can trade my skills to anyone who has currency, then trade my currency for whatever I want. It's much more divisible than many items (I could trade a goat, but I can't easily trade 1/10th of a goat). A goat may die or get sick, whereas currency will always be currency.
Sure, speculation is a part of the market. Bitcoin is not really playing out as a currency *at the present time*. It's still more similar to trading goats, since not everyone will want a goat, and you need to go in and out of transactions. But the economy is growing, so you don't need to do those transactions anymore. As the economy becomes more self-sufficient, you'll see an increase in the usefulness of it and much more stability in the price. You should still see it become more valuable as more people want to get in (as more people contribute to the economy, with the same number of coins, the value must rise to accommodate the growth of the economy).
We are still in the super early stages. It may never reach a bigger economy. There are certain niches that it is incredibly useful for even with transferring difficulties (international transfers that typically have very high fees, and black/grey markets). Right now even those markets are in their infant stages.
The bet really is which leap (if any) Bitcoin makes. If it just becomes a significant currency for black/grey markets and international transfers, it has a huge amount to go up. If it fails completely, it will be worthless. If it becomes the standard for online payments, it goes up even more. There are a lot of longshot scenarios. But it's not just about hoping there are more suckers behind you. Although even in the fail scenario, dumping it off on a sucker could be profitable.