Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
re short squeeze: this honestly seems self explanatory
much like how most of the bull runs coincide with increased volume as more buying pressure than selling pressure raises the cost, if we were to approach universal adoption, the amount of buying pressure would go up infinitely
99% of the population doesn't own bitcoin. For them to start buying, let's say a situation where it became the only way to buy stocks or real estate etc etc, it'll create an absurd buy pressure
i also don't buy the notion that all those hodlers will suddenly start selling at 100k or 250k etc, just look at how shuffle is repeatedly ridiculed for making a very profitable trade by selling at 37k
housenuts, do you have any genuine plans to sell any time in the near future at any price? Does anyone here have sell orders in place in the event it hits a certain number? Not long ago there was a discussion here where people were talking about putting 80% to 100% of net worth into bitcoin.
mass adoption is every holders dream, everyone here is buying and holding when it's purely speculative, there's no way you guys are going to start selling once you know it's now a genuine thing and you'll just be watching the price skyrocket with glee
this is the great paradox of bitcoin, it's greatest bull case is the very thing that will prevent it from occuring because everyone not holding btc which is the 99.99% of the world is not going to go down that path
this isn't to say I don't see a big future ahead or anything, but if the world collectively decides we're all going to ape into a decentralized crypto currency, it'll be something newly created and distributed in a manner that preserves the status quo. you guys should read up on how the EU transitioned to the Euro or countries like ecuador that abandoned their own currency due to collapse switched to the dollar instead - there's always some who suffer or benefit a bit in the transition, but by and large they ensure there's no bagholders nor kingmakers made in the process - this is why btc and all other cryptos are capped to an investment tool, any future currencies would be newly minted and distributed rather than adopting one, the only future where btc is king is mad max
If you want to call that a short squeeze, sure, a lot of shorts will be squeezed in such a scenario. In my view it's just another instance of what has happened several times in Bitcoin's history already, when there is high demand there is not enough supply to support it at the current price level, so price goes up. Since there's inertia in the market, no clear pricing mechanism, and price and trading volume being positively correlated with utility, those time periods usually result in a "bubble" and a drawn out price discovery. I would imagine there would have to be a series of such cycles before Bitcoin could be the sole reserve asset of the world.
Some hodlers will hold out longer than others, before selling some of their assets. But just look in this thread, the last few months both aggo and onemoretimes sold a decent portion of their holdings. They both still hold large positions, and believe the long term future is bullish, but wanted to secure their future. There are probably others who have done the same thing, but haven't posted about it.
Once again, Bitcoin will not be adopted as world reserve currency overnight. If it happens, it will be preceded by it being individually adopted by people, companies, institutions, not collectively decided before it is already widely regarded as the safe haven asset.
Btw, I think at least 1 % of the worlds population already own bitcoin, not 0.01 %.