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Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
Well I guess that debunks Tooth's idiotic argument about the market for buyers being dried up because the barber that bought $200 in December 2017 was never coming back.
Yeah, I'm not seeing how it debunks it. First of all, it was Korean grandmas mortaging their house and young working people maxing out their credit cards to buy bitcoin that drove the speculation frenzy, not barbers punting $200. The average Korean got in for $5000 during the 2017 bubble, and 30% of the country speculated. That ponzi frenzy just isn't happening again for two reasons:
- Because it hasn't recently appreciated 1000%, and you don't get the ponzi frenzy of headline news and intense excitement/FOMO without massive recent appreciation that makes even sane people decide they're missing out.
- Because the amount of money required to even get 100% appreciation from here is equal to all the ponzi money from 2017. You need multiples of last run's fresh blood to start piling in to get another moon, but the inflowing required to get those multiples is too high.
- Because some of the dumb ponzi money got burned hard and won't be back. Ponzis are a bit like corona that way.
As for inflows, which should be huge into GBTC this quarter, all asset classes have been bought up hard. Stocks have soared on a retail pile in since lockdown, with 10 million+ new brokerage accounts. Every asset class is being bought as bored at-home professionals are trying their hands at trading and stock for the first time. As poorer people are spending their stimulus checks on Robinhood to speculate. Etc.
In a recession bitcoin sells off, likely to very deep lows. It's an unstable speculative asset that does nothing uniquely worthwhile for non-illegal purposes.