Quote:
Originally Posted by WiltOnTilt
For anyone who wants to chime in:
What is the current group-think reason for why bitcoin has run up so much recently?
Are there any factors that you guys think are related that are outside of the normal reasoning?
In the next 6 months, which do you feel is more likely: BTC to $10 or $30 ?
Partially the halving of the reward. That decreased supply of new coins. Speculators would have accounted for this and raised prices earlier, although it's not clear those speculators are unloading now, especially as it keeps moving up. So you have a chance of a bubble where everyone wants to ride it up, lowering supply, riding it up and up and up until finally some event causes a sell-off, and everyone waiting for the top sells (similar to 2 years ago). But you also have increased demand (my guess is a lot of silk road gains), and increased speculation that a somewhat major gambling site will accept bitcoins. If that happens, you could see a tremendous rise.