I've developed an investing strategy for Bitcoin. Check it out.
I've divided my money into 5 categories; the first three are in bitcoin and the last two are in dollar:
1) HODL Coins
2) Exit Coins
3) Temp Coins
4) Bubble Pool
5) Takeout
HODL coins
These coins are held forever. These coins are under the assumption that BTC will replace the dollar. Recommended amount of coins here to start is 30%.
Exit Coins
These coins are held until an arbitrary peak called the Exit Peak. If the price of Bitcoin reaches the Exit Peak, 1/6 of the total supply of Exit Coins are sold and the next Exit Peak is double the current peak. Example: If the peak is $20,000 and Bitcoin surpasses that, then 1/6 of the Exit coin supply is sold. The next peak is at $40,000. The process repeats indefinitely. Recommended amount of coins here to start is 70%
Temp Coins
These coins are mini-goals so to speak. These coins are bought when the market is low and are sold when the market doubles in value from the time they were purchased.
Bubble Pool
This money includes dollars that have been sold that will get reinvested if the market drops. When buying back in, the formula goes as follows: (1 - (BTC price) / (Exit Peak)) * Bubble Pool.
Reinvesting requires an arbitrary drop in price. Perhaps 5 to 10 percent. Note that if the percentage is not big enough exchange fees may not be worth it. If I feel very bearish I can wait for it to drop even further. For example, if people are panicking on Bitcoin forums trying to sell, but are unable to. I'm probably not going to buy back in for awhile.
Takeout
This money includes dollars that have exited the cryptosphere for other investments, life expenses, causes, or luxury.
Whenever selling coins 60% of the money is placed in the Bubble Pool and 40% is placed in Takeout.
Whenever buying coins 50% of them are placed in Exit Coins and 50% is placed in Temp Coins.
Sometimes The Bubble Pool may get inflated if a later Temp Coin position doubles while an earlier one does not. This is not too significant though. This can be counteracted by selling the correct amount of the later Temp Coin position and moving the remainder to the earlier Temp position. It can also be ignored entirely and if there is yet another Temp Coin position available due to a bearish market I will have a little bit more to put in since the Bubble Pool is slightly inflated.
My Bitcoin has grown so much in accordance to my net worth that it is kind of unhealthy to keep it that way. If Bitcoin makes it to 4 million dollars someday I will still be wealthy. I'll probably be short about 2/3 of what I could have, but I don't think my life circumstances would be much different/worse. If Bitcoin collapses I will still have made a profit rather than losing everything I invested.
Another advantage to my strategy is if Bitcoin has some insane volatility such as dropping 94%, which it has a history of doing, I could end up making even more money in the long run. I created a whole document of this in excel to help me out. Wish me luck!