Quote:
Originally Posted by commas,are,funny
Bitcoin doesn't create value, it acts as a currency, except now people are saying it's not a currency, it's a store of value.
Or some combo of both. Yes, it doesn't "create" value. Agree. So what? The Euro doesn't create value, yet speculators bet for or against it.
Imagine you have a small country, but with the most intelligent and powerful people whose population grows daily by 20% due to some genetic miracle... would you speculate in their currency and sell your african jungle money or perhaps even some of your USD?
Does that new super-human-state currency create any value? No. Does it make many people rich speculating on its rise? ...
Quote:
Originally Posted by commas,are,funny
And it's a store of value because "everyone says it is". But everyone already says that real estate and stocks are a store of value, and better than Bitcoin, they actually provide utility, an economic return over and above their value as a "store of value". This utility backstops their potential downside. Bitcoin doesn't have this. Yes, Bitcoin clearly has upside if "everyone agrees to use it" but it doesn't have much if any downside protection against a major negative event.
The main quality/utility of Bitcoin is the censorship resistance and how cheap transactions (hopefully will be again lol). That's a huge value (to most people) if you understand that cash is dying and this gives governments and banks a crazy amount of control over your whole life.
Many people seem to disagree with you about RE/stocks being the only store of value. Some hold gold. Some hold art. And some will hold cryptos.
You might be right in 5 years, but i have mentioned before, it's like me saying your grandma will die...every year i will be a bit more likely to be right.
Quote:
Originally Posted by commas,are,funny
There is no denying that Bitcoin's value is almost entirely future-speculative. The real question becomes, is that future-speculative value rational, the way a venture capital firm's investment in a Series A startup is (generally) rational, or is it driven by greed and emotion like a typical asset bubble? As I said before, in my view it's currently a combination of both, in some ratio between 65:35 and 35:65. Your answer suggests you believe I think Bitcoin's price is completely irrational, otherwise you wouldn't answer the way you did. You have misunderstood me and think I'm anti-Bitcoin, but it's probably because your reading comprehension is poor and you haven't understood my reasoning at all.
So today i learned that Venture capital is not driven mainly by greed. And if you think emotion plays no role, what do you think most real estate investors are when they buy their cute little nest to feel homey? Or stock buyers. I'm sure they're all emotionless mathematical machines.
Most people buying bitcoin buy it hoping the price gets higher. No ****!!! Everybody knows this. People buy stocks and houses hoping the price goes up. Man, did you just discover how the world works and feel the need to let everybody else know?
Many people buying bitcoin are stupid, because most people are stupid. Not because Bitcoin, houses or stocks are stupid
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I'll give you as much as to agree the price has more volatility because the market is even more emotional.
Thanks for stating the obvious.
So what is your point? What are you trying to say? What is your unique perspective? Your long post could be summarized as "the sky is blue".
Let your ratio be 80-20 or 20-80, whatever. How does it matter?