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06-17-2017 , 12:45 AM
you are right, i don't think we are disagreeing here.

tomcollins' argument:
Quote:
Etheruem is trivially censorable. It uses accounts rather than addresses. It also has a central authority (Ethereum Foundation) that can decide the rules of the system, and can change them as it suits them. And it certainly isn't irreversible, as the DAO pointed out. The so-called "smart contract" turned out to be just something that central authorities could reverse at will. Guess who governments will come to whenever they need some other rules enforced?
we can do the same for bitcoin:
Bitcion is trivially censorable. Although it uses addresses, it also has a central authority (Blockstream, a company that funds development of Bitcoin Core) that can decide the rules of the system, and can change them as it suits them. And it certainly isn't irreversible, as the block 74638 hard fork pointed out. The so-called "irreversible payment system" turned out to be just something that central authorities could reverse at will. Guess who governments will come to whenever they need some other rules enforced?
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 12:50 AM
It's a combination of worldwide developers, miners and users. No one body has ultimate authority and the government definitely does not. Yes, Vitalik et al have a strong say, but what they suggest is not something that will definitely be followed. Look at the current debate with btc unable to scale.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 01:05 PM
Litecoin is trading at a ridiculous $44 USD, which is hilarious for a currency that no one uses.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 03:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
ETH is simply speculative with no value behind it.
It's a scarce and useful resource, thus it has value.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
The market is quite thin
It may look thin on one exchange, but there are many exchanges. As soon as one exchange crashes a lot of arbbots will execute and move around money and soon after price will rebound.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
One of the biggest drivers for ETH is the ICO rush right now. ICOs are almost entirely scams (google "App Coins are Snake Oil", website is getting censored for some reason).
Care to mention which ones are scam? Which ones of these are scams?


Imo most of these are likely not scams.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
The fundamental issue with Ethereum is that it solves NO problems better than alternatives except raising money from fools.
Currency
Smart contracts
Dice-sites
Blackjack
Prediction Markets

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
It is incredibly good at that task.
I wonder what properties makes it good at this task.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
Though when your entire model requires a never-ending supply of fools
Fool or no fool, any buyer will do. And as ETH is limited to 103M coins and there will be plenty of burnt gas and lost coin, its value should go up even if there a fixed supply of fools/no fools.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
So what makes Bitcoin valuable and useful? Is it cheap/fast transactions? I've argued no for quite some time.
This is one thing that makes Bitcoin valuable. It is cheaper&faster than noncrypto alternatives for many types of transactions.

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Originally Posted by TomCollins
Bitcoin is incredibly terribly designed for this!
It was well engineered for this. See


Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
Bitcoin is slow and expensive (just looking at how it's designed, not what the fees may be).
Bitcoin is fast and cheap. Fees have gone up making low value transactions relatively expensive. But for high value transactions it is still very cheap.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
It requires 10 minute average intervals between blocks. It's terrible at this!
10 minutes average for settlement is pretty fast compared to Swift, VISA etc.

Ethereum is already much better at this.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
But many people were fooled early on and believe this still. Maybe a few more years of high fees and slow confirmations will finally make people realize that no matter what block size is used, it simply cannot be done.
Increased blocksize should lower fees substantially and allow for more activity on the network. Also read Satoshis whitepaper, it explains how Bitcoin can scale.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
It's also quite hard to censor (though right now mining centralization is failing here).
There is no censorship failure yet. I assume if there was censorship from miners that Bitcoin would hardfork away from them.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
Every single person on this site should know why that's important. You can send money to places that banks don't allow without anyone stopping you. You can gamble with it. You can send it to dark markets. You can use it to pay Wikileaks. Any cause a government would want to stop you from doing, no matter how good or evil, now cannot be stopped. You pay in Bitcoin.
zkSNARKs should give Ethereum a large advantage over Bitcoin here, likely this summer.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
Bitcoin also offers irreversible payments. If you get paid, you know no central authority or third party will be able to revoke it.
Miners can if they control 51% of the network.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
So how does this compare to Ethereum. Ethereum is not verifiable (it has such bloat to the blockchain, they stopped verifying transactions other than miners who do it).
Ethereum is a state machine. Thus you only need the current state, not the bloat from previous states. It is easy to look up entries due to hash tables.

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Originally Posted by TomCollins
You are using a trusted model. If you want a trusted model, there are far better options, such as using a sql database run by a central authority.
Read satoshis whitepaper why the centralized model has failed.

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Originally Posted by TomCollins
Ethereum has perpetual inflation rather than a fixed supply.
No it doesn't.

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Originally Posted by TomCollins
Furthermore, Ethereum scales poorly
No it doesn't. It already handles more transactions than Bitcoin, while having more complex transactions and fees are two magnitude lower. It can likely scale a factor 5-50x more today, but we don't know this as we have not run into any issues yet.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
Etheruem is trivially censorable.
Not if the community doesn't agree to it. And I am pretty sure it would not.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
It also has a central authority (Ethereum Foundation) that can decide the rules of the system, and can change them as it suits them.
As long as the community supports it. As soon as it doesn't there will be hardforks like with ETC.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
And it certainly isn't irreversible, as the DAO pointed out.
Nothing was reversed with TheDAO.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
The so-called "smart contract" turned out to be just something that central authorities could reverse at will. Guess who governments will come to whenever they need some other rules enforced?
If they do I assume there will be hardforks.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
Feel free to use ETC if you think immutability is more important than network effects.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
Ethereum promises the "Smart contract", but in reality, there has not been a single use case (other than raising funds from rubes, or those seeking greater fools), that provides any actual value, better than things that already exist.
I could mention Blockjack, Etherroll etc. But sure, no killer app yet. My own prediction is that we will see more complex and useful smart contracts in the future.

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Originally Posted by TomCollins
But Ethereum will continue until it cannot any more, and it will be ugly.
We will see. I am not from the future so I can't tell what will happen.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
It's the equivalent of tech startups that never produce a profit or generate any revenue but somehow become unicorns due to vanity metrics.
Like Amazon? Imo they don't produce profit until they do. And sometimes then they produce a lot of profit. That is what the investors are betting on.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
I've been bearish on Ethereum since I first met Vitalik over 4 years ago. He couldn't answer even the most simple questions.
I have listened to maybe 10 interviews by him. My own impression is that he answers questions well. Sometime I have to think a bit to understand them, because he seems to be much smarter than I am.

Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
It's closer to Onecoin than Bitcoin.
I can see some differences. I will let Ruja explain it:

Last edited by heltok; 06-17-2017 at 03:28 PM.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 04:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by invictus-1
if you don't remember the specifics, why are you talking all this **** about him being unable to answer simple questions? what simple questions did you ask and what simple questions was he unable to answer? stop attacking his character and attempting to use that to discredit him.

"i don't remember what we talked about but he is an odd fellow mistaken for a genius and his big ideas are all **** trust me i've been in the industry for way longer than him"
what happened to you? your posts used to be good.

also, you've stated several times here that proof of stake is not going to work but never responded why. so why is it not going to work?
I´m not TomCollins, but I share the same opinion regarding PoS.

I have read a ton on this subject and this is one of the resources that I found very useful:
https://blog.sldx.com/whats-wrong-wi...e-77d4f370be15

There are several other possible attack vectors that doom Proof of Stake in the long-term. The reason it seems to work for some existing cryptos, is that there is no real incentive to attack them.

Satoshi Nakamoto decided for Proof of Work for a reason in spite of the disadvantages associated with it (like high energy consumption due to mining).
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 09:48 PM
Repeatedly comparing the DAO hack to the bitcoin fork is absurd.

1. The price of bitcoin at the time was 7 cents. Bitcoin was still an experiment at the time.
2. The bug caused a fundamental flaw to the bitcoin protocol. The price of bitcoin on the forked chain went to zero after a patch was released and miners rolled back a few blocks.

Compare this to the DAO hack

1. The price of ETH at the time was ~$15 well above toy experiment phase.
2. ETH split into two coins with value. ETH and ETC. Some people rejected the fork as legitimate. ETH worked perfectly fine and as programmed after the hack. In fact one of ETH's promises was "code is law" which they broke by rolling back and forking. The flaw was with a dapp running on top of ETH not ETH itself. It would be the equivalent of bitcoin rolling back transactions and forking after the bitfinex hack. It would never happen and people would reject it if they tried.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 09:58 PM
stop equating a dollar value that you randomly picked with "the point at which a technology stops being an experiment" threshold. it is an absolutely nonsensical metric to gauge whether a rollback should be carried out or not.

if another bug emits 1 billion bitcoins into existence today, is a hard fork acceptable or are you content with having 1 billion coins more because it's no longer in toy experiment phase?

it has nothing to do with the $ value of the currency. both situations are analogous in that both ecosystems had a high chance to perish without the hard forks. and both projects are still toy experiments despite their collective market cap being close to 80 billion dollars.

Last edited by invictus-1; 06-17-2017 at 10:17 PM.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 09:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lol vanguard
I´m not TomCollins, but I share the same opinion regarding PoS.

I have read a ton on this subject and this is one of the resources that I found very useful:
https://blog.sldx.com/whats-wrong-wi...e-77d4f370be15

There are several other possible attack vectors that doom Proof of Stake in the long-term. The reason it seems to work for some existing cryptos, is that there is no real incentive to attack them.

Satoshi Nakamoto decided for Proof of Work for a reason in spite of the disadvantages associated with it (like high energy consumption due to mining).
Why are you laughing at Vanguard?
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 10:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
It's a scarce and useful resource, thus it has value.


It may look thin on one exchange, but there are many exchanges. As soon as one exchange crashes a lot of arbbots will execute and move around money and soon after price will rebound.


Care to mention which ones are scam? Which ones of these are scams?


Imo most of these are likely not scams.


Currency
Smart contracts
Dice-sites
Blackjack
Prediction Markets


I wonder what properties makes it good at this task.


Fool or no fool, any buyer will do. And as ETH is limited to 103M coins and there will be plenty of burnt gas and lost coin, its value should go up even if there a fixed supply of fools/no fools.


This is one thing that makes Bitcoin valuable. It is cheaper&faster than noncrypto alternatives for many types of transactions.


It was well engineered for this. See



Bitcoin is fast and cheap. Fees have gone up making low value transactions relatively expensive. But for high value transactions it is still very cheap.


10 minutes average for settlement is pretty fast compared to Swift, VISA etc.

Ethereum is already much better at this.


Increased blocksize should lower fees substantially and allow for more activity on the network. Also read Satoshis whitepaper, it explains how Bitcoin can scale.


There is no censorship failure yet. I assume if there was censorship from miners that Bitcoin would hardfork away from them.


zkSNARKs should give Ethereum a large advantage over Bitcoin here, likely this summer.


Miners can if they control 51% of the network.


Ethereum is a state machine. Thus you only need the current state, not the bloat from previous states. It is easy to look up entries due to hash tables.


Read satoshis whitepaper why the centralized model has failed.


No it doesn't.


No it doesn't. It already handles more transactions than Bitcoin, while having more complex transactions and fees are two magnitude lower. It can likely scale a factor 5-50x more today, but we don't know this as we have not run into any issues yet.


Not if the community doesn't agree to it. And I am pretty sure it would not.


As long as the community supports it. As soon as it doesn't there will be hardforks like with ETC.


Nothing was reversed with TheDAO.


If they do I assume there will be hardforks.


Feel free to use ETC if you think immutability is more important than network effects.


I could mention Blockjack, Etherroll etc. But sure, no killer app yet. My own prediction is that we will see more complex and useful smart contracts in the future.


We will see. I am not from the future so I can't tell what will happen.


Like Amazon? Imo they don't produce profit until they do. And sometimes then they produce a lot of profit. That is what the investors are betting on.


I have listened to maybe 10 interviews by him. My own impression is that he answers questions well. Sometime I have to think a bit to understand them, because he seems to be much smarter than I am.


I can see some differences. I will let Ruja explain it:
welcome back, i crown u king of the multi-quote
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 10:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by housenuts
For their crowdsale in 2014 that the SEC has just sat on for 3 years? Lol.
The SEC is notoriously slow at stuff and waits until things are too big to ignore.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 10:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by invictus-1
if you don't remember the specifics, why are you talking all this **** about him being unable to answer simple questions? what simple questions did you ask and what simple questions was he unable to answer? stop attacking his character and attempting to use that to discredit him.

"i don't remember what we talked about but he is an odd fellow mistaken for a genius and his big ideas are all **** trust me i've been in the industry for way longer than him"
what happened to you? your posts used to be good.

also, you've stated several times here that proof of stake is not going to work but never responded why. so why is it not going to work?
I just remember the part about asking him questions and he basically gave bull**** answers. Sorry I don't remember more, after my conversation with him, I figured Ethereum would be just another ****coin that disappeared after a few months of hype and didn't make excessive notes of it.


Why is proof of stake going not going to work? Simply because there's nothing at stake. They will never switch to it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by GoDeViLs
I am a complete btc and altcoin noob but I remember reading a story about a hack of some BTC and there was a 'rollback' that basically restarted blockchain at a previous point, reversing transactions that occurred during that period.

Isn't that the definition of 'reversible'?
Quote:
Originally Posted by invictus-1
there is absolutely no way tom didn't know about this when he brought up ethereum's lack of irreversibility.
Nothing was "rolled back". A new rule was enforced (you cannot print money out of thin air), and the chain that did it did not have the most work.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 10:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
The SEC is notoriously slow at stuff and waits until things are too big to ignore.
even if they tried it, vitalik doesn't live in the US and he's not a US citizen. they'd have a super hard time with it and it's a fight they would ultimately lose. there's evidence from governmental officials themselves that indicates that it's a big part of why they haven't tried to crack down harder on cryptos: they can't win and if they try to fight they look stupid and weak.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 10:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCollins
Why is proof of stake going not going to work? Simply because there's nothing at stake. They will never switch to it.
It's proof of stake, not proof of nothing at stake. You really think eth won't switch to pos?
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 10:29 PM
Wow, someone must have been on some mETH to do this reply.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
It's a scarce and useful resource, thus it has value.
Scare, yes, useful, no. My turds are scarce but have no value.

[QUOTE=heltok;52398650]
It may look thin on one exchange, but there are many exchanges. As soon as one exchange crashes a lot of arbbots will execute and move around money and soon after price will rebound.
Quote:

I would even say Bitcoin is incredibly thinly traded and small bits of action can move the price in huge ways.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
Care to mention which ones are scam? Which ones of these are scams?


Imo most of these are likely not scams.
It depends on your definition of scam. None have any reason to hold any value other than finding a greater fool. Every one of these projects are useless, and even if for some reason they were not, there is no reason for the tokens to be.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
Currency
Smart contracts
Dice-sites
Blackjack
Prediction Markets
Even Vitalik claims it is not a currency. The other things can be done easier without the complexity of Ethereum. There is no benefit from using Ethereum for these things other than for intellectual wankning.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
I wonder what properties makes it good at this task.
A highly skilled marketing team along with appeal to a bunch of morons who get fooled by buzzword soup.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
Fool or no fool, any buyer will do. And as ETH is limited to 103M coins and there will be plenty of burnt gas and lost coin, its value should go up even if there a fixed supply of fools/no fools.
This is not true, ETH is not limited. It has eternal inflation.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
This is one thing that makes Bitcoin valuable. It is cheaper&faster than noncrypto alternatives for many types of transactions.
Some cases, yes, it absolutely is better in this. Certainly not all, unless you build higher layers.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
It was well engineered for this. See
Erik Voorhees is a non-technical bozo with little understanding of Bitcoin's workings. His first project was to spam the blockchain to gamble pennies. After it was priced out, he's gone into peddling ****coins, which will be directly threatened by atomic swaps once SegWit is enabled.


Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
Bitcoin is fast and cheap. Fees have gone up making low value transactions relatively expensive. But for high value transactions it is still very cheap.
10 minutes average for settlement is pretty fast compared to Swift, VISA etc.
True, the base layer will probably be superior than legacy systems for large value transactions. I think this is the area where Bitcoin will shine.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok


Ethereum is already much better at this.
Only because fewer people are using it. And not once SegWit and LN come online.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
Increased blocksize should lower fees substantially and allow for more activity on the network. Also read Satoshis whitepaper, it explains how Bitcoin can scale.
Aha, there we go, you are one of the Satoshi Whitepaper Bible Thumpers! I had figured. That phrase is such a tipoff for cluelessness.

Satoshi was able to do some amazing things, but he is not a demigod. He got things wrong. He made mistakes. He missed the mark here. Not to take away from everything he did, but he invented something new and made some speculations and was wrong. It happens.

True, the base layer will probably be superior than legacy systems for large value transactions.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
There is no censorship failure yet. I assume if there was censorship from miners that Bitcoin would hardfork away from them.
Perhaps

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
zkSNARKs should give Ethereum a large advantage over Bitcoin here, likely this summer.
If you say so.


Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok


Miners can if they control 51% of the network.
The Chinese mining cartel controls well over this. They split into smaller pools to seem decentralized, but they coordinate like any good cartel. They are laughing all the way to the bank with the high fees by stalling SegWit.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok

Ethereum is a state machine. Thus you only need the current state, not the bloat from previous states. It is easy to look up entries due to hash tables.
You are advocating a trusted model. You are trusting miners. If you want a trusted model, just eliminate the blockchain and just use a SQL database.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok

Read satoshis whitepaper why the centralized model has failed.
New or Old Testament?

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
No it doesn't. It already handles more transactions than Bitcoin, while having more complex transactions and fees are two magnitude lower. It can likely scale a factor 5-50x more today, but we don't know this as we have not run into any issues yet.
Ethereum has a bigger blockchain and a fraction of the transactions. Yes, when you turn to a centralized, trusted model, you can scale. But now you are competing against a SQL database, which is much more scalable than the world's most poorly designed computing device.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok
Not if the community doesn't agree to it. And I am pretty sure it would not.
The DAO bailout is proof the community is full of dumb sheep.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok

As long as the community supports it. As soon as it doesn't there will be hardforks like with ETC.
And the community has been whittled down to only those who follow the central authority. Anyone with a brain is on ETC or not involved.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok

Nothing was reversed with TheDAO.
Technicality at best. Lie at worst. An additional entry was made to steal funds from the rightful owner and turn it to others. Is it a "reversal?" Of course, unless you get into nitpicky semantics.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok

If they do I assume there will be hardforks.
Why? I see no reason to think this.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok

Feel free to use ETC if you think immutability is more important than network effects.
I absolutely would if I thought the project was worthwhile before the bailout, but I don't.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok

I could mention Blockjack, Etherroll etc. But sure, no killer app yet. My own prediction is that we will see more complex and useful smart contracts in the future.
complex yes, useful, of course not.



Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok

Like Amazon? Imo they don't produce profit until they do. And sometimes then they produce a lot of profit. That is what the investors are betting on.
yeah, 8 quarters of profit in their history, lol.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok

I have listened to maybe 10 interviews by him. My own impression is that he answers questions well. Sometime I have to think a bit to understand them, because he seems to be much smarter than I am.
Try finding one with no softballs.

Quote:
Originally Posted by heltok


I can see some differences. I will let Ruja explain it:
I would rather invest in Onecoin than Vitalikoin.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 10:46 PM
it's really sad to see you do nothing but make one line ad hominems and act like a religious zealot yourself, TomCollins. please don't turn into a different flavour of toothsayer, i used to really enjoy your posts.

Quote:
Technicality at best. Lie at worst. An additional entry was made to steal funds from the rightful owner and turn it to others. Is it a "reversal?" Of course, unless you get into nitpicky semantics.
then the entry made to steal funds from the rightful owner of 184 billion bitcoins is also a reversal and therefore also suffers from the same criticism that you made of ethereum.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 10:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by invictus-1
it has nothing to do with the $ value of the currency. both situations are analogous in that both ecosystems had a high chance to perish without the hard forks. and both projects are still toy experiments despite their collective market cap being close to 80 billion dollars.
This is simply not true. ETC working just fine is evidence that the hard fork was unnecessary and would not have resulted in the end of ETH if they chose not to fork. Instead they chose bailouts because those in power of ETH at the time had a lot invested in DAO and had a lot to gain by doing so.

In the bitcoin fork, 184 billion BTC were created out of thin air on an a blockchain no one mines anymore.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-17-2017 , 10:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by invictus-1
then the entry made to steal funds from the rightful owner of 184 billion bitcoins is also a reversal and therefore also suffers from the same criticism that you made of ethereum.
A BUG in the protocol caused the total money supply of bitcoin to increase 9000x. Clearly everyone's coins are worthless at that point. In DAO a bunch of people invested in a risky asset that happened to run on top of Ethereum and Ethereum said, here's a bailout for your mess up. How can you not see the difference in these two scenarios?
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-18-2017 , 03:01 AM
I dont see very many arguments, mostly repeating the statements or ad hominem. Will address the few I found relevant:

Quote:
Even Vitalik claims it is not a currency.
It is not a currency. It's a platform for apps. Currency is one such app. Thus it can be used as a currency. It is like saying "A smartphone is a not a notebook". It is not, but it can be used as a notebook.

Quote:
This is not true, ETH is not limited. It has eternal inflation.
https://ethereum.stackexchange.com/q...her-be-created
Quote:
The effects of Ice Age:

Block 3000000 | approx ETH supply 87962556 | time '2017-01-16 00:38:33.067775' | blocktime 14.86
Block 3500000 | approx ETH supply 90612556 | time '2017-04-11 18:09:34.273529' | blocktime 15.27
Block 4000000 | approx ETH supply 93262556 | time '2017-08-15 18:20:24.642729' | blocktime 30.01
Block 4500000 | approx ETH supply 95912556 | time '2018-11-03 05:55:48.912370' | blocktime 136.71
Block 5000000 | approx ETH supply 98562556 | time '2025-10-02 11:47:30.658317' | blocktime 835.81
Block 5500000 | approx ETH supply 101212556 | time '2128-03-20 09:14:16.483692' | blocktime 17183.83
Block 6000000 | approx ETH supply 103862556 | time '5189-09-26 20:57:59.367004' | blocktime 520901.19
Maybe you think we will see year 5189 with 520k seconds block times before we see a hardfork? I think this is very unlikely. So for all my purposes Ethereum today is pretty much limited to <104M ETH. Next hardfork may or may not have a limited supply, I think it is very likely, given what Vitalik has said and what the community wants, that inflation will be 0 or going to zero from a low value(say <1%) pretty fast. We will see.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-18-2017 , 08:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by andr3w321
This is simply not true. ETC working just fine is evidence that the hard fork was unnecessary and would not have resulted in the end of ETH if they chose not to fork. Instead they chose bailouts because those in power of ETH at the time had a lot invested in DAO and had a lot to gain by doing so.

In the bitcoin fork, 184 billion BTC were created out of thin air on an a blockchain no one mines anymore.
Quote:
Originally Posted by andr3w321
A BUG in the protocol caused the total money supply of bitcoin to increase 9000x. Clearly everyone's coins are worthless at that point. In DAO a bunch of people invested in a risky asset that happened to run on top of Ethereum and Ethereum said, here's a bailout for your mess up. How can you not see the difference in these two scenarios?
Thank you for being the voice of reason.

All chains are mutable by consensus. (Atleast that I know of.) Whether this is a feature or a bug depends on perspective. I think BTC was a feature and ETH was robbery. Until you strong ID wallets the owner of your magical virtual token is whoever has access (key/pass), having a community start to assert rightful/wrongful "ownership" is dubious and dangerous. But w/e. No one really cares about that, and it'd get solved when the community is large enough. Just steal like 5% of the coins or smth.
Bitcoins - digital currency Quote
06-18-2017 , 01:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by andr3w321
This is simply not true. ETC working just fine is evidence that the hard fork was unnecessary and would not have resulted in the end of ETH if they chose not to fork. Instead they chose bailouts because those in power of ETH at the time had a lot invested in DAO and had a lot to gain by doing so.

In the bitcoin fork, 184 billion BTC were created out of thin air on an a blockchain no one mines anymore.
i'll repeat my question:
if another bug emits 1 billion bitcoins into existence today, is a hard fork acceptable or are you content with having 1 billion coins more because it's no longer in toy experiment phase?

besides the fact that ETC still functioning is completely irrelevant because no one knew what would happen with the original chain, how exactly is the fact that it's still alive today evidence that it's "working just fine"? ethereum has much bigger goals in sight than sustaining itself as a ****tier version of a superior chain whose only claim to fame is its debatable moral purity. if it ever reaches the goals of sustaining decentralized applications, having a proven malicious actor with that amount of funds is extremely dangerous.

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A BUG in the protocol caused the total money supply of bitcoin to increase 9000x. Clearly everyone's coins are worthless at that point.
i see you have figured out the dollar value at which a cryptoproject stops being an experiment. you also have figured the threshold at which it's okay intervene when everyone's coins become worthless.

could you provide the values and then the method by which you arrived to such values? what if the bug in protocol produced 200 extra coins? is that okay then? 1000? 50? 5000? because everyone's coins went down in value just a bit, but they're still worth something. at which point do you think intervention becomes acceptable?

i just honestly don't understand what criteria you use to determine when hard forks are okay and when they are not besides arbitrarily drawing a line at which a project stops being experimental. i will provide mine at the end of the post.

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In DAO a bunch of people invested in a risky asset that happened to run on top of Ethereum and Ethereum said, here's a bailout for your mess up. How can you not see the difference in these two scenarios?
i see the difference. my argument is that if an event devalues a currency (such as by buggy emission or hacking) enough, there is a threshold after which intervention by developers becomes acceptable if the life of project is at stake. the market decided it was over the threshold during the DAO hack and the developers proceeded with the hard fork.

Last edited by invictus-1; 06-18-2017 at 01:29 PM.
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06-18-2017 , 01:52 PM
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Originally Posted by invictus-1
i'll repeat my question:
if another bug emits 1 billion bitcoins into existence today, is a hard fork acceptable or are you content with having 1 billion coins more because it's no longer in toy experiment phase?
The bug would never occur today because once a certain market cap is reached and a coin moves beyond the toy experiment phase the responsible thing to do is move away from "move fast and break things" to "move slowly and test extensively". Bitcoin development and protocol changes happen very slowly for a reason. We'll see how the Ethereum switch to Proof of Stake and sharding goes. It's not at all clear either are even possible at this point.

What do you think the odds are of another Ethereum project with hundreds of millions in funding getting hacked is? Hint: 100% Compare this to the odds of billions of more BTC being created? Hint: 0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001%
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06-18-2017 , 01:55 PM
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Originally Posted by andr3w321
The bug would never occur today because once a certain market cap is reached and a coin moves beyond the toy experiment phase the responsible thing to do is move away from "move fast and break things" to "move slowly and test extensively".
first, you have absolutely no way of knowing whether a bug will happen or not.
second, answer the question. third, what is that certain market cap when a coin moves beyond the toy experiment phase?
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06-18-2017 , 02:18 PM
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Originally Posted by invictus-1
first, you have absolutely no way of knowing whether a bug will happen or not.
I can assign a probability to it occurring which I did.

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second, answer the question
There is no point discussing something that is virtually guaranteed not to occur

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third, what is that certain market cap when a coin moves beyond the toy experiment phase?
There is no magic #. It is a sliding scale. Simple logic dictates that the smaller the market cap, the more likely a bug is to occur due to less people working on it and less testing occurring.

Look at the probabilities of each scenario playing out again today and you will see that the odds of another bitcoin fork due to a protocol bug are near zero and the the odds of ethereum fork due to a failed ETH contract are very high. Vitalik has even said he doesn't mind hard forking once a year. It is the opposite of a decentralized, immutable blockchain.
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06-18-2017 , 02:31 PM
gotcha. so the probability of a bug occurring in the future is close to 0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001% because at a certain point (as dictated by simple logic and a sliding scale) the cryptocurrency stops being a toy experiment. additionally, bugs only happen when a currency is at an arbitrary "small market cap" and as it approaches an arbitrary "big market cap," the probability of such bugs suddenly goes down to 0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001%.

i think you need to study the history of bugs in software.

the probability of you knowing what you are talking about: 0%. the probability of you having lost this argument: 100%.
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06-18-2017 , 04:48 PM
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Originally Posted by invictus-1
it's really sad to see you do nothing but make one line ad hominems and act like a religious zealot yourself, TomCollins. please don't turn into a different flavour of toothsayer, i used to really enjoy your posts.


then the entry made to steal funds from the rightful owner of 184 billion bitcoins is also a reversal and therefore also suffers from the same criticism that you made of ethereum.
A bug in the base layer that was corrected by all participants is far different than a bailout by a central authority. It would be more similar if Bitcoin developers bailed out Mt. Gox.

That block still exists, it just was orphaned by users, just like many other blocks that get orphaned.
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