Bringing this discussion here:
Quote:
Originally Posted by :::grimReaper:::
I failed to see it causing US lockdowns, yes. And so did you and most of the forum.
de captain also schooled you on this (after which you abused him as you do), but the above is hard proof of what a complete moron you are. Half this forum called US lockdowns (in all countries, actually) because of the simple logic that this is spreading silently and uncontained, that millions will be dead if each country if they don't lock down, hospitals will overflow, so they will have no choice.
That you were too incredibly stupid to follow this logic, so deep into permabull madness that you missed it, isn't our fault, it's your glaring cognitive failings, sir. Here's just 2 posts of 10+ explaining exactly this reasoning at market all time highs:
Feb 16:
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
Pandemic looks inevitable now....
I do think extreme efforts will be taken to contain this in Western countries (hurting economies, but probably saving millions of lives) but lots of countries won't contain it because they're incompetent and poor, and it's here for good now until a vaccine comes out in 3-12 months.
Feb 23:
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
The market completely and complacently and stupidly has discounted the economic impacts that are already happening and will happen regardless of whether it's contained now. The case was always pretty simple and has nothing to do with deaths: it either goes uncontained through a good chunk of the human race, causing millions of deaths, overflowing hospitals, and this causing economic disruption, OR extreme lockdown measures (like Wuhan and China broadly) manage to contain the deaths but cause meaningful economic disruption and harm corporate profits a lot.
Either way there will be meaningful economics that cause a recession in some countries and global economic output and spending to drop enough to really hurt corporate profits.
I called exactly what happened using impeccable reasoning from data analysis. Both bulls and bears here saw this coming. You didn't, and your ego is so incredibly, comically fragile (or analytical ability and reading comprehension so incredibly low), that you've claimed 10+ times that "no one saw this coming". It's really sad and is making you look like an idiot, and also making it obvious that no one should listen to a word you say if you get something so obvious repeatedly wrong over and over.
Quote:
Unless you or anyone has a post from the 1st week of March or earlier saying "This will lead to lockdowns specifically in the US (not global)", then I'm not buying any of your hindsight analysis bullshit.
I see a Venn diagram is needed for the stupid:
The logic was the same for every single country, if you had the tiny bit of intelligence to follow it and not lose your shirt as a permabull: It's spreading uncontained throughout the world, it will be a pandemic, and countries either have to choose millions of dead or lockdown. Given that the former is unacceptable in Western countries, they will lock down. That it will come to the US and have the same effect (see: Venn Diagram and logic above) is so obvious that it doesn't even need to be said. But you are so utterly ******ed, your ego so fragile, that you can't handle that half this forum called it while you " hurr durr why is the market dropping?? I better buy some more" and lost your shirt. Now on the way back up - permabull the whole time - you're crowing on a retail rip while covering your incompetence on the way down by saying "no one saw this coming". It is so pathetic and stupid. A comically inept combination of a massive ego and a low IQ.
Quote:
I love constructive discussions, but honestly, you're just obnoxious. You're an under-unemployed kid that donks arounds with SPY puts. You talk such big game despite being so overwhelmingly wrong about your short calls at the bottom.
I made no short calls at the bottom. I frequently said all the way down that large fiscal stimulus would likely calm and rip the market and then it would be happy to wait for reopening. I was a bear from ~2550 to ~2770. I was a bull 2200-2500 and most of 2770-now. You were bull from 3400 to 3100 to 2800 to 2200, then bull on the way up as well. That's called a "permabull". Now you're crowing on the latter part.
Quote:
And then you try to backtrack to cover it all up. I'm really busy and frankly can't waste this much time on you.
Good, no one needs your idiotic analysis and fragile ego. I actually make people money, you lose them money. I have multiple PMs from very well regarded posters and HSNL players thanking me for the money I saved/made them and asking me to stay here.
Quote:
Please spare us the wall-of-text backtracking. And get a job.
I have a job - working for myself trading. You work for other people writing trading software. That you call that gainfully employed is hilarious - you're not curing cancer or bringing people food, you're helping douchebags like me who can trade make more money while you take care of their software. Why don't you get a real job? You're me except someone else collects the money other than you.
I'm sorry you have to sell your labor to help others make money because you can't trade - but hey, that's why there's a market. Couldn't have 10 bagged the drop if people like you saw it coming.
Last edited by ToothSayer; 05-29-2020 at 11:05 AM.