Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyrocket
spex,
1) I used the FMR that I gathered from rentdata.org which is the same as the HUD site. I don't believe there is a difference between the fair market rents to initially analyze a deal and the HUD site. They are the same for breaking down initially, just as I find good cities, I can find where the HUD is further mispriced, correct? The other big issue with this is that cities have an extremely high amount of zip codes to deal with. For example, if I were to try and break down Fort Lauderdale, I would end up with some 50 zip codes all with their different prices. That would be extremely tedious to manually enter each individual zip code in to zillow to look. Any ideas on how to short cut this for the initial search before breaking it down further once I find that city I am going with?
It's tedious but you only have to do it once. NOt sure there's a shortcut.
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyrocket
a. My fiancee has her license in Florida so I do have access to the MLS if that is helpful. On zillow I am able to look at the median home value in a city currently and filter by bedroom. However, that still does not solve the zip code issue, and I have read that zillow's pricing is notoriously wrong, but I would have no idea if that was just some opinions or confirmed.
Median home prices won't help you much. Just set your criteria at a price that will give you your target COCR and see if there are any houses available.
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Originally Posted by johnnyrocket
2) I used a cap rate of 10% as that gets me to roughly 20% CoCR without doing a little of the extra math required to do the CoCR on its own. A follow up to this one, while CoCR is great and good for the initial search, I do realize that it is possible to have a rehab budget that puts CoCR at negative, but it can be a great performing asset still after that year 1 potentially. Which other metrics would you use, you don't seem too fond of IRR.
Your acquisition prices should include rehab money for modeling purposes.
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Originally Posted by johnnyrocket
3) You said from these criteria to look in the cities to see quickly if anything might work. Well because I am doing it by 1 bedroom - 5 bedroom to check them out, it is a little tedious. I do have an idea of cities from some data I have come across, but are there any reliable sites to show me the median home value for each bedroom class by city? I can initially find the median home value by city on the US census and the median rent as a very broad overview search, but the US census data only goes back to 2017 currently which isn't useful.
Median home values won't be helpful at all. You're looking for places where the market is inefficient, and that's not necessarily that easy to find. So yeah, it's tedious, but you chose this life. And on the bright side, you only have to do it once.
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Originally Posted by johnnyrocket
4) One follow up, for MF since they come in all shapes and sizes, is there any way to break them down similarly? Will cities which do very well for SFH in general be the same for MF since rents and home prices for the area should be similar or is this too much generalizing? If so, I would not know how to go about breaking down areas for MF except looking at data on cap rates by city that some sites provide.
Not unless section 8 accounts for those factors in the rental rate, which they generally don't. Section 8 doesn't pay more for a 3br that's 1900 sqft than one that's 1400 sqft. They pay the same. So just use the S8 rental rate to calculate your COCR and look for stuff that you can get for the price.
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Originally Posted by johnnyrocket
5) I am highly confident in myself and my process, and believe I can handle a lot. I do know that MF will yield more, and I have the capital to easily begin with MF. My initial thinking was to do 1-2 SFH to get my feet wet before graduating. I think I can bypass this step on my journey and begin with MF, but do you think I am taking too much upon myself by doing so?
It's not necessarily true that MF will give better yields. Sometimes it can, other times it doesn't. In most cities where I invest, MF gives worse yields than SFH in the neighborhoods I buy in. As to whether you're taking on too much, I don't think that MF is harder, I just think the mistakes cost more money. So it depends on how much risk you want to take on. You could buy a 100 unit complex and learn as you go. But you'd just be risking relatively a lot of money in that learning process.