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2020 Stock Trading Thread 2020 Stock Trading Thread

12-29-2019 , 02:53 PM
Setting it up for the new year.

Want to buy KRUS after the stock market crashes, but that may take awhile.

Do we crash in 2020, or does this mark the start of a new secular bull market?
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01-01-2020 , 01:46 PM
Dwindling global fish stocks don't look good for the future growth of KRUS. They market themselves as cheap sushi, I don't know how that can continue when your fish supply becomes more scarce.
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01-01-2020 , 02:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by A_C_Slater
Dwindling global fish stocks don't look good for the future growth of KRUS. They market themselves as cheap sushi, I don't know how that can continue when your fish supply becomes more scarce.
Most of the fish they use is very sustainable and KRUS are logistics gods, so it is not really a concern to me.
Even if fish stocks collapse, they still have Kura Burger.
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01-02-2020 , 10:48 AM
Happy New year Boyz. Hope you don't have any open positions on TD!
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01-02-2020 , 11:15 AM
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Originally Posted by coordi
Happy New year Boyz. Hope you don't have any open positions on TD!
Nope, but hooray for being long AMD going into this morning
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01-02-2020 , 11:18 AM
Short all the crap this year (this is moving against me about 1% since pre-open so entry is fine). 100% short.

AMZN
CMG
FB
MU
NFLX
TLRY
TSLA
WYNN
DGLY
GBTC
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01-02-2020 , 05:09 PM
I was just talking about this today. The market is a lock to keep climbing, at minimum, through the 2020 election is it not? Trump will manipulate it as best he can until then for obvious reasons.
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01-02-2020 , 05:09 PM
agree that as long as this fake-QE thing keeps going, stocks prob gonna go up also

don't wanna macro-tard this thread up too much but to have any opinion on when this party ends seems foolish. this could end in 3 months and it could just as easily end in 9 years
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01-02-2020 , 05:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TeflonDawg
I was just talking about this today. The market is a lock to keep climbing, at minimum, through the 2020 election is it not? Trump will manipulate it as best he can until then for obvious reasons.
i dont think having a macro opinion hinges on trump anymore. he talked his book, so to speak, on the tax cuts and the trade war. the easing of trade war tensions has been bought up since the first week of october. he can't really talk it up any more.

to me it's a) does fed continue this repo market QE b) FOMC future rate policy adjustment c) economic data. i dont think there's any big "gotcha" moment unless powell gets off his uberdove phase. frankly i think you can point more to powell than china if you were trying to explain the december 2018 crash. thus it's fair to argue that he alone has the power to rock the boat at this point.
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01-02-2020 , 05:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
Short all the crap this year (this is moving against me about 1% since pre-open so entry is fine). 100% short.

AMZN
CMG
FB
MU
NFLX
TLRY
TSLA
WYNN
DGLY
GBTC
yeah. no. dont do that. youre literally telling people to burn money.
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01-02-2020 , 05:35 PM
insane just pure melting up
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01-02-2020 , 08:34 PM
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Originally Posted by turtletom
Short pretty big position in the S&p's at close today, but not so big I can't take heat. Upside likely very limited from here.

Also, still in my slv position. Lost a little bc of option decay but turned most into an equity position. Still sitting around breakeven.
Still in this from 12/19. Got about 20% smaller in the S&P's because I was a little early imo.

I don't see any compelling reason to be long this market. Obvi I've been wrong so far but my slv position is making up for any losses I've had in the ES short.
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01-02-2020 , 08:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by the pleasure
yeah. no. dont do that. youre literally telling people to burn money.
Posted this in the wrong thread. That was for the 2020 stock contest, not a trading recommendation.

And Amazon will go a lot lower before it inevitably goes higher. The loss of cloud to Microsoft, predicted years ago by yours truly, will hurt their multiples badly. As will any correction in the market. Amazon is probably the only one on that list that's a great long term investment even at these highs. But it will see much lower than its current $1900 first.
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01-02-2020 , 08:43 PM
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01-02-2020 , 09:16 PM
So up ~8 days in a row minimum? Lol, nah. Wouldn't bank on that pal.

That's like saying you know your royal flush is coming in runner runner. Also, when you say **** like that it is clear you just want to make some outrageous call that will come in 1% of the time and then proclaim you are a genius for "predicting" it. I'm just going to let you know that no one cares about predictions and anyone with a clue knows that nobody can make them with any accuracy. Making a guess based on probabilities is doable when the market is set-up in an inefficient manner.

The only time making predictions is positive EV is if you are selling a newsletter because if you are right you can run with it for 20 years like all the perma bear newsletter writers. You writing a letter shuffle?
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01-02-2020 , 11:32 PM
I bought in at AMD for like 24-25$ and im a ****ing btich for not buying in more at liek 19$ i told everyone to get the **** in a year ago when it bottomed out to 18 but I didnt
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01-03-2020 , 09:14 AM
Exciting times ahead. Could I ask BFI for advice? I was a prop trader in mainly equities and energy. I finished up a couple of months ago, and I'm seeking new opportunities. Up until now my resume said I was still at my former workplace. I thought it made me more hire-able.

I feel though, after the current events that I any application I make will look strange. Why would anyone be seeking to move at this time? Do I hold off applying for a while, or do I change my resume? I think both open up questions, but the latter is the better choice?
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01-03-2020 , 09:16 AM
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Originally Posted by turtletom
Still in this from 12/19. Got about 20% smaller in the S&P's because I was a little early imo.

I don't see any compelling reason to be long this market. Obvi I've been wrong so far but my slv position is making up for any losses I've had in the ES short.
Just doubled my short at 3227. Have a feeling we are going to **** into the weekend because of the uncertainty that is going to surround this WWIII stuff. Crazy things are possible like 3150.

Of course I could be wrong and the market shakes it off but no one is really positioned for bad news. Risk Reward is very skewed here.
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01-03-2020 , 02:04 PM
Relax Shuffle. I'm fine with being wrong. Happens about 40-50% of the time.

On that note, my add was stopped at 3245. Might throw it back on before the close, still holding my core short though.
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01-03-2020 , 05:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by turtletom
Still in this from 12/19. Got about 20% smaller in the S&P's because I was a little early imo.

I don't see any compelling reason to be long this market. Obvi I've been wrong so far but my slv position is making up for any losses I've had in the ES short.
Maybe not, but I see even less compelling reason to be short. The average trader gets crushed calling tops and bottoms before they form. Unless your name is PTJ. But your name is TurtleTom - shouldn't you be trading 20-day breakouts?
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01-03-2020 , 07:15 PM
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Originally Posted by CandyKreep
Maybe not, but I see even less compelling reason to be short. The average trader gets crushed calling tops and bottoms before they form. Unless your name is PTJ. But your name is TurtleTom - shouldn't you be trading 20-day breakouts?
All kinds of ways to make money. Depends more on your personality than anything imo. Just read market wizards etc and that should be pretty clear. There is a ton of edge when everyone is on one side of the market. That's all I'm doing. If you size the trades right it's the same risk as buying breakouts. I never understood the "don't catch a falling knife" myth. I'll look for the chat with traders podcast from a former 2p2er I know that directly addresses myths of the "right strategy".

I'm naturally abrasive and an *******. It fits me to fade moves.
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01-03-2020 , 08:07 PM
https://chatwithtraders.com/ep-098-peter-to/

Thats the link to the podcast. Former 2p2er and part I'm talking about is near the end.
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01-05-2020 , 06:32 PM
was anyone in here shorting oil the past few months?
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01-07-2020 , 05:41 AM
AQMS Aqua Metals calculated rough net tangible asset value at $51.8 mil, current market cap is $46. Looks like a property fire beat it down quickly but was down regardless. Balance sheet looks ok. Seeing revenue guidance from Zacks and Yahoo at $39 mil to $42 mil next year. Up from $4.8 mil this year. Earnings misses are narrowing. Seeing 1 or 2 analysts. Not profitable but it's trying to bottom out here. clear bull flag off volume other day.
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01-07-2020 , 08:20 AM
here for the financial advice
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