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2018 Stock Picking Contest 2018 Stock Picking Contest

01-16-2018 , 09:37 PM
KODK is up so much, how can we know the next one like it?
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01-17-2018 , 01:21 AM
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Originally Posted by TrustySam
@Brian - thanks for the warning about the big swongs with those volatility index thingies Those were some of the ones was eyeing for my portfolio It's super interesting to hear how they do when the market takes a turn too, because was wondering if maybe they might be good to have if there's ever another huge crash ... it sounds like they might be?
VXX would have had a gain of 514% and UVXY 1544% during the GFC 1) had they existed and had you timed it perfectly on both 2) the buy and 3) the sell.

During the GFC (that you magically predicted to the day), you'd have been on a wild ride given up because you are presumably human. They were up or down massive % every day. You'd have lost your damn mind even if I came back from the future and showed you a chart. UVXY was down about 80% at one point during the GFC ride.

They also tend to lose between 5 and 15% (quite often much more) per month when there is not a GFC, so your timing better include Dr. Who or the Terminator regularly showing up on your doorstep with newspapers from the future. And make sure he brings some really good anxiolytics - you will need them.

Last edited by BrianTheMick2; 01-17-2018 at 01:26 AM.
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01-17-2018 , 01:26 AM
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Originally Posted by Mylife0115
KODK is up so much, how can we know the next one like it?
They added some blockchain stuff, and that is the cause of their gains.

Think to yourself, "what company could add 'blockchain' to their business inexpensively and seamlessly?"

The answer should be clear, since only one company already has half of 'blockchain' in their name. This will save them a fortune in rolling out new signage. Drumroll, please!

I present H&R Blockchain!
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01-17-2018 , 01:39 AM
So far we've had a defunct camera company, the Long Island Iced Tea company, and the a company that owns some Hooters restaurants successfully announce their transition to the blockchain.

So if you think you can predict the industry (beverages, cameras, food served with breasts and a smile), let alone the company, you're a smarter man than me.

In reality you don't have to predict. It's as simple as scanning premarket for blockchain announcement, and being a non-cuck by having a broker that lets you buy premarket. It usually runs higher

The shine has come off bitcoin a little lately so this may not be as strong a play as it was.
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01-17-2018 , 01:47 AM
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Originally Posted by ToothSayer
you're a smarter man than me.
Thanks, man. I appreciate it.
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01-17-2018 , 04:08 AM
Sorry, I am new on this, who will be the next companies to announce to add blockchain stuff?

Thanks
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01-17-2018 , 02:56 PM
There is the news that a japan bank will launch its own crypto currency, will this bank stock go up? If yes, where to buy? Ticketed?
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01-18-2018 , 02:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2
VXX would have had a gain of 514% and UVXY 1544% during the GFC 1) had they existed and had you timed it perfectly on both 2) the buy and 3) the sell.

During the GFC (that you magically predicted to the day), you'd have been on a wild ride given up because you are presumably human. They were up or down massive % every day. You'd have lost your damn mind even if I came back from the future and showed you a chart. UVXY was down about 80% at one point during the GFC ride.

They also tend to lose between 5 and 15% (quite often much more) per month when there is not a GFC, so your timing better include Dr. Who or the Terminator regularly showing up on your doorstep with newspapers from the future. And make sure he brings some really good anxiolytics - you will need them.

Your posts are so funny!

The best part is that they're filled with helpful info Your detailed description of what it's like to hold some of these thingies makes me feel like during the next great financial crisis, will be super happy to sign up for a GIC with a 0.25% return and wait for things to turn around - at least won't have lost any money with my knack for buying high and selling low , and it'll be nice to be able to sleep well at night rather than be kept away worrying about the rollercoaster in portfolio lol


Thanks Brian!
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01-18-2018 , 03:27 AM
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Originally Posted by Mylife0115
Sorry, I am new on this, who will be the next companies to announce to add blockchain stuff?

Thanks
I've already answered by giving you the obvious choice. H&R Blockchain.

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Originally Posted by Mylife0115
There is the news that a japan bank will launch its own crypto currency, will this bank stock go up?
LDO, yes!!! Anything that adds crypto goes up.

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If yes, where to buy?
Walmart usually has everything you could possibly want. You could also try one of those new-fangled stock buying places. Interactive Brokers seems popular, but you can't get a can of baked beans there.

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Ticketed?
Nope. White dude. I usually get off with a warning.
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01-18-2018 , 10:55 PM
Sorry this took so long, but my real-life portfolio's been a huge mess and disorganized Sam couldn't tell which way was up for the first couple of weeks of January

Finally managed to add some more names to the contest sheet, so everybody who's posted in this thread can track your stocks throughout the year as well, and we can all benefit from seeing an even greater variety of picks

Added a line to show who submitted 10 picks before the deadline - but since this contest is just for fun and for getting investing ideas and stuff like that, hopefully it's okay of others can join if they'd like to add their names to the list? So anytime anyone feels like joining - like if there's anyone who's got ETF's who's always wanted to give buying individual stocks a try, or if there's anyone who's had success with crypto who may want to diversify and wants to see what investing in stocks might be like ... just let me know which stocks you'd like to add
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01-18-2018 , 11:32 PM
Please nobody laugh, but was anybody else intrigued by the idea of making quick riches from the next Long Island Blockchain? Okay, laugh if you must ...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mylife0115
There is the news that a japan bank will launch its own crypto currency, will this bank stock go up? If yes, where to buy? Ticketed?

Was able to find a couple of things about the Japan bank with the crypto announcement - is Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (NYSE:MTU, TYO:8306) one of Japan's largest banks? From their graph on yahoo, it looks like they haven't done so well since the big bank crash in the US in 2008 - but their stock seems to have grown about 20% each of the last 2 years or so?

This bitcoin.com article says the bank is going to open their own exchange and issue this crypto - and then it says they're going to try to peg their crypto to the yen the way tether is pegged to the dollar, so that it won't rise in price?
https://news.bitcoin.com/japans-larg...ency-exchange/


A while ago, was looking to see what sort of real-life blockchain applications big business has been developing - and saw something about blockchain technology showing lots of promise for helping companies like Walmart better keep track of shipments?

And then it seemed like there were a lot of banks who have been exploring using blockchain technology to try and improve digital payment systems - is that maybe what MTU may be trying to do ... like are they hoping by keeping the price stable that it may help crypto catch on for shopping in stores?

So maybe not a gimmick use like Kodak - and no bump in share price either? Although MTU seems to be up 8% for the year - Mylife0115, have added your name to the contest sheet, so we'll be able to see if they wind up having any spike once the coins get issued

Last edited by TrustySam; 01-18-2018 at 11:37 PM.
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01-19-2018 , 11:29 AM
You are very good, Sam! so I am wondering what stocks you are buying at this moment.
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01-19-2018 , 02:39 PM
What do you like about ESV? Just wondering if the last 3 months is a pump fake or legit bottom.
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01-19-2018 , 03:47 PM
Thanks mylife Am quite a beginner to investing, so am still learning and made some pretty fishy picks to my portfolio that am wishing could change

Guess everyone starts off at the beginning at some point though. So far have tried to pick stocks that lots of other people say good things about like AMZN, but haven't veered too off the beaten path into too much other stuff just yet ...


Noticed lots of people picking oil and gas stocks like ESV as some of their 10 picks for the contest ...
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01-19-2018 , 04:27 PM
Sam, just like you, i have bought stocks based on the contest picks, for example, ESV, it turns out performing quite well but I don't know what reason behind it.
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01-19-2018 , 07:42 PM
I luckily sold at the previous peak of EMH and rebought low, adding 40% shares to my portfolio. EMH recreational license is predicted to be announced in February; I can't see that not adding 30-50% to the share price. My prediction is $16 by June; I will liquidate some at $10 and liquidate fully prior to legislation on July 1, when market realism will start to be defined clearly, dropping most prices imo. There's also an ETF for Canadian marijuana stocks available in USD for passive investors: HMLSF.

Wish I had bought some of these when they were sub $1 last year, could have easily realized a few 100 bangers. Hindsight is 20/20.
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01-19-2018 , 07:48 PM
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Originally Posted by DoOrDoNot
Wish I had bought some of these when they were sub $1 last year, could have easily realized a few 100 bangers. Hindsight is 20/20.
Girls that are hot and pretty nice for a while but not long term relationship material? Yeah, rich guys get to enjoy those.
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01-19-2018 , 08:06 PM
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Originally Posted by ToothSayer
Girls that are hot and pretty nice for a while but not long term relationship material? Yeah, rich guys get to enjoy those.
Haha EMH is a couple month stand for sure

*bagger
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01-29-2018 , 06:32 PM
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Originally Posted by TrustySam
Was pondering maybe offering to help put something together - then saw how many stocks there were, and went oh ... Also my real-life portfolio was still a huge mess all by itself - so there wasn't a ton of room there for me to be adding any extra mess to the mix






The MarketWatch site sounds sounds too







Had no idea that was even possible - wow! With a little help from this website (https://business.tutsplus.com/tutori...ion--cms-28182), was able to get a little something started to get the ball rolling ...


Here's the link to the google sheet -> https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

Haven't done the fun part with the results just yet of adding in the actual results yet though - hope to maybe have more done in maybe a couple of hours? Am also watching SWAT right now


Also, some of the OTC stocks seem to not be showing up - the error message said to try entering 0 or 1 ... have no idea what these numbers are for because just copied the stuff from the website So will have to see if can get those to work as well?

Should i post the gmail address and password so everybody can fix the page if anyone would like to? It's a new account i set up just for the contest.
Yo Sam, thanks for doing this. GBTC stock split today just an FYI and hopefully it won't be too hard to track other symbols that do the same.

Hoping for an AMD bust for earnings to get into contention, my other two shorts have been turning around nicely the past couple of weeks. The funny thing about picking it is I tried to go with 10 symbols no one had and missed that BooLoo had it on the long side (which has obviously been a great call).

Also... Brian, I thought we were supposed to be worshipping you by this point?
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01-29-2018 , 07:40 PM
A monthly synopsis of who's hot and who's not would be a fun way to distill the tracking sheet. That gives twelve reviews for the year and adds impetus for braggadocio or ignominy. I'm retired, so I have no time to do such silliness; so I suggest one of you younger grunts take up the task and flaunt it.
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01-30-2018 , 12:52 AM
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Originally Posted by ASAP17
Also... Brian, I thought we were supposed to be worshipping you by this point?
Shun the nonbeliever!
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01-30-2018 , 08:40 PM
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Originally Posted by ASAP17
Yo Sam, thanks for doing this. GBTC stock split today just an FYI and hopefully it won't be too hard to track other symbols that do the same.

Also... Brian, I thought we were supposed to be worshipping you by this point?

Thanks so much for pointing that out to me ASAP It wound up taking me way longer than it should have, because got kind of confused, although the fix wound up being super simple, d'oh! Anyways, hopefully it's all better now


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Originally Posted by ASAP17
Hoping for an AMD bust for earnings to get into contention, my other two shorts have been turning around nicely the past couple of weeks. The funny thing about picking it is I tried to go with 10 symbols no one had and missed that BooLoo had it on the long side (which has obviously been a great call).
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Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2
Shun the nonbeliever!



Yes, still very early in the year Although a couple of my picks have had like 45% swings already And it could be -90% by next week, who knows lol - will have to see what the next couple of days bring


GL to us all!
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01-30-2018 , 09:03 PM
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Originally Posted by Zeno
A monthly synopsis of who's hot and who's not would be a fun way to distill the tracking sheet. That gives twelve reviews for the year and adds impetus for braggadocio or ignominy. I'm retired, so I have no time to do such silliness; so I suggest one of you younger grunts take up the task and flaunt it.

That's a great idea Zeno - really like the idea of there being lots of ways for everyone to get a prize


Was just noticing the other day that Backstabr's shorts have all made the Top 10 list ...



RIOT's been a popular pick - gosh, wish had shorted it in real life. And a couple of others like DPW and MARA are on a couple of other peoples' lists as well ...

Anybody have any special system for selecting shorts?
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01-31-2018 , 01:17 AM
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Originally Posted by TrustySam
That's a great idea Zeno - really like the idea of there being lots of ways for everyone to get a prize
The first rule of stock club is that we don't give encouragement to Zeno. He is like me, but can't hold his liquor.

Also, at some point you'll have to add in (and subtract for shorts) dividends, so by the end of this year you will have to tell us about the new job you get making spreadsheets

Last edited by BrianTheMick2; 01-31-2018 at 01:19 AM. Reason: WTF. I'm not even in last
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01-31-2018 , 01:40 AM
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Originally Posted by TrustySam
Anybody have any special system for selecting shorts?
Stupid company and up a lot
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