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2018 Stock Picking Contest 2018 Stock Picking Contest

01-02-2018 , 03:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2
It is a silly contest. My entry into this silly game is guaranteed to go bankrupt every so often.
Oh I wasn't ragging on you. You know exactly what your entry is lol. I would just hope your actual portfolio is *slightly* more risk averse.
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01-02-2018 , 09:10 AM
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Originally Posted by Jupiter0
I think the $3 share price can be flexible especially if it has some market cap. I just figured most people are low price averse.
ok so my final list then:

Long:

BOTZ (23.70), JO (15.69), EMC.V (2.28), THCX (4.09), FB (176.46),

Short:

GBTC (2016), SNAP (14.61), VXX (27.92), UVXY (10.21), YELP (41.96)
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01-02-2018 , 10:57 AM
Everyone shorting TSLA makes me want to cash in some crypto and buy buy buy.
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01-02-2018 , 04:07 PM
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Originally Posted by BrianTheMick2
Final choices with Friday's closing prices:

Long: PUTW (29.06), TLT (127.55), YUM (81.60), ZIV (88.70), SVXY (128.21)

Short: VXX (27.92), UXVY (10.21), TVIX (5.67), VXZ (17.50), VMAX (12.24)
My Bold.

Hey! That's one of my random picks (YUM). I figured they must be in the food business and how can you go wrong with food - everyone needs it.

I don't like any of your other picks - no sexy names at all. Well, VMAX is kind of cool, but the rest are just silly.
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01-02-2018 , 09:11 PM
Jupiter, just out of curiosity, were you planning on logging the picks into a spreadsheet or something?...like a leaderboard.

It's going to be hard to remember/know who the hell is leading or won. If you want, I can log everyone's (those who picked 10) into a scoreboard and go from there. Let me know.
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01-02-2018 , 11:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by formula72
Jupiter, just out of curiosity, were you planning on logging the picks into a spreadsheet or something?...like a leaderboard.

It's going to be hard to remember/know who the hell is leading or won. If you want, I can log everyone's (those who picked 10) into a scoreboard and go from there. Let me know.
If I was any good with Excel I'd do it. Yes, please do the tracking. It will be cool to see leader updates. Thank you.
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01-03-2018 , 01:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomCowley
Oh I wasn't ragging on you. You know exactly what your entry is lol. I would just hope your actual portfolio is *slightly* more risk averse.
My irl holdings are considerably less risky than that portfolio. I've only got about 30% in XIV and 30% in PUTW right this minute. The short vol stuff is not at all suitable for a year-long buy and hold.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeno
My Bold.

Hey! That's one of my random picks (YUM). I figured they must be in the food business and how can you go wrong with food - everyone needs it.

I don't like any of your other picks - no sexy names at all. Well, VMAX is kind of cool, but the rest are just silly.
YUM is the most innovative company in 'murica, and by extension the world.

Also, SVXY is almost sexy.
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01-03-2018 , 09:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by formula72
Jupiter, just out of curiosity, were you planning on logging the picks into a spreadsheet or something?...like a leaderboard.

It's going to be hard to remember/know who the hell is leading or won. If you want, I can log everyone's (those who picked 10) into a scoreboard and go from there. Let me know.
This dude rocks

*thumbs up*
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01-03-2018 , 03:02 PM
Can someone enlighten me on why TSLA is a short?
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01-03-2018 , 03:45 PM
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Originally Posted by ASAP17
Very tough to narrow down a list to ten, got a lot of ideas on both sides across the board. A bit random but here we go...

LONG: AGM, CF, NOV, R, TTMI, TWX, VIRT
SHORT: ACIA, AMD,CHK
Where is this idiot's reward for making a short pick that's up 20% in the first two days of the year?

Good luck this year guys.
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01-03-2018 , 03:49 PM
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Originally Posted by loololollo
Can someone enlighten me on why TSLA is a short?
Here's a better thread for that discussion:
https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/3...racks-1353062/
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01-03-2018 , 04:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by loololollo
Can someone enlighten me on why TSLA is a short?
Because amateur 2+2 investors think the rest of the market will catch up and surpass Tesla's advancements in technology and develop cheaper. It's a short sighted view of how investments work.

I wouldn't and am not shorting it personally. You're investing in the vision of someone who will continue to be innovative and ahead of the "big players" in the car industry.

Here's a good article on why investors are shorting it:
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/01/jpmo...12-months.html
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01-03-2018 , 04:53 PM
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Originally Posted by FreakDaddy
Because amateur 2+2 investors think the rest of the market will catch up and surpass Tesla's advancements in technology and develop cheaper. It's a short sighted view of how investments work.

I wouldn't and am not shorting it personally. You're investing in the vision of someone who will continue to be innovative and ahead of the "big players" in the car industry.

Here's a good article on why investors are shorting it:
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/12/01/jpmo...12-months.html
There is also a better thread for the discussion
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01-03-2018 , 05:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ASAP17
Where is this idiot's reward for making a short pick that's up 20% in the first two days of the year?

Good luck this year guys.
At least you didn't short ROKU and NFLX, I read somewhere that they were excellent shorts
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01-03-2018 , 05:32 PM
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Originally Posted by mrbaseball
At least you didn't short ROKU and NFLX, I read somewhere that they were excellent shorts
Techniclown,
They are up 1% and 2% since I recommended then, essentially even. With plenty of time to have gotten out at 8-10% profit on each one if you wanted to, or to have a 50% stop on.

They remain excellent year long shorts.

I guess if you're bad enough with numbers and logic to be a technical trader, 2% and 20% are basically the same thing?
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01-03-2018 , 05:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrbaseball
At least you didn't short ROKU and NFLX, I read somewhere that they were excellent shorts
Predictably he was here minutes after your post to respond, so hilariously obvious how pathetic his life is that he lives to call names on a internet forum. One that isn't even that active lol. Couldn't even post ten names himself despite spending the energy to critique the idea (even if it was clearly for fun to begin with).
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01-03-2018 , 05:44 PM
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Originally Posted by ToothSayer
Techniclown,
They are up 1% and 2% since I recommended then, essentially even. With plenty of time to have gotten out at 8-10% profit on each one if you wanted to.

They remain excellent year long shorts.
Why the name calling? NFLX was at about 185 when you made your call that's more than 1-2% now that its over 200. You have been negative on it for much longer. I think ROKU is only up a couple of dollars with your call at around 54 so that's probably only 2-3%.

They could be great shorts for the year but like I said before when shorting into an uptrend you should wait for some kind of breakdown instead of stepping in front of a freight train. But to each his own. You shoulda entered this thing. Its only for fun. I guess you don't want to show an indisputable track record even if it is for ****s and giggles. I am sure you will use this contest to belittle others since it is what you do even though you aren't in it.

I personally wouldn't short anything in this market. There are easier ways to make money than spitting into the wind. But this is just a fun little contest that is unrealistic with no trading involved.
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01-03-2018 , 05:56 PM
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Originally Posted by mrbaseball
Why the name calling? NFLX was at about 185 when you made your call that's more than 1-2% now that its over 200. You have been negative on it for much longer. I think ROKU is only up a couple of dollars with your call at around 54 so that's probably only 2-3%.
Because why post now, and why some of the best performing shorts here? Here is ROKU, 2.5 weeks ago:

Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
ROKU is a pretty sweet sell at these highs ($54.85 premarket). Few week time frame. Chance you might have to endure a little pain for a week or two, but it'll come crashing down hard as there's nothing holding it up. This is an analyst pump + a short squeeze.
Yesterday the short was up 7%. Not a peep out of you. Now it's down 1%, you post it as example of a bad short?

NFLX I took for a year long short at $200 and recommended again at $185 or so.

Quote:
They could be great shorts for the year but like I said before when shorting into an uptrend you should wait for some kind of breakdown instead of stepping in front of a freight train.
Ahahaha. Both of these short recommendations made decent money in a strong bull. Now that they're back to basically breakeven, you chime in?

Don't become like your friend with the borderline personality disorder, ASAP17, who followed me around for weeks with zero content posts until it got so weird people had to call him out.

Quote:
But to each his own. You shoulda entered this thing. Its only for fun. I guess you don't want to show an indisputable track record even if it is for ****s and giggles. I am sure you will use this contest to belittle others since it is what you do even though you aren't in it.
Why would I belittle anyone for entering a fun little contest? I only belittle idiot thinking, like yours on technicals.

Only reason I didn't enter is because the rules require 10 and I don't have 10.
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01-03-2018 , 05:58 PM
Lol you just followed us here, you aren't even in this contest. Next one?
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01-03-2018 , 05:59 PM
TS, the fact that you think this subforum is a great resource and yet you still spend all this time arguing and name calling exemplifies what a loser you are, truly.
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01-03-2018 , 06:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ToothSayer
NFLX I took for a year long short at $200 and recommended again at $185 or so.

Huh? Netflix hit 200 for the first time yesterday unless you are talking about presplit prices years ago. So you shorted at 185 and then again at 200 this week? Hope it works out. I don't own it nor am I short it. I only remembered because of your typically hostile response when I questioned it. Netflix is ultra volatile so if it dumped and you got some momo it could be huge. Almost every uptrend that dips gets snap bought though for the last little while. Netflix ending the year plus or minus 100 wouldn't surprise me though with its volatility.
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01-03-2018 , 06:17 PM
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Originally Posted by mrbaseball
Huh? Netflix hit 200 for the first time yesterday unless you are talking about presplit prices years ago.
NFLX was over $200 in late November.
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01-03-2018 , 06:25 PM
Tooth you know I like you, but if you didn't make picks in this thread, it's tremendous aids to comment on others.

I'd go so far as to ask a mod to lock you out of here if that continues. Make some picks and post them if you want to play. But crapping on the people who bothered to post some is very poor form.
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01-03-2018 , 06:25 PM
i think those kind of discussions should stay in the trading-thread.
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01-03-2018 , 06:34 PM
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Originally Posted by rafiki
Tooth you know I like you, but if you didn't make picks in this thread, it's tremendous aids to comment on others.

I'd go so far as to ask a mod to lock you out of here if that continues. Make some picks and post them if you want to play. But crapping on the people who bothered to post some is very poor form.
rafiki,
You have this backwards. mrbaseball was taking a swipe at me by having a go at my two short picks from the trading thread. I haven't criticized anyone's picks in this thread, or anyone's picks anywhere except for ribbing the Tesla longs, who are beyond ridiculous. It's not something I do as I like people to share, wrong or not, and I'm not that kind of person. Selectively mocking picks is ASAP17 and mrbaseball territory.

Any why would I criticize picks in this thread? It's a fun thread. It's mrbaseball who chose to be a douche, doing exactly what you're accusing me of doing and I haven't done. No one has to apologize but him.
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