Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 20
Ok, here's a fictitious scenario:
I have an opponent who is tightish. I've given him an arbitrary calling range of about 8%.
So he'll call a raise less than or equal to 3xBB.
His calling range is {JJ-66,KQs-KTs, QJs-QTs, JTs-T9s, 98s,87s, AQo,AJo,KQo}
On a flop of Ac2c4h he will call a raise to see the turn with {AQo,AJo, KcQc, KcJc, KcTc,QcJc, JcTc, Tc9c, 9c8c, 8c7c}
If the odds are good he'll also call with {JJ, TT, 99} but he'll discard these hands if they don't improve on the turn and/or against betting action.
Against that flop raise, he'll fold {KQo}.
Ok, sound how plausible does this all sound? Is such a scenario realistic?
Maybe someone out in the poker universe could make this kind of play. However, of-course there are a myriad of other factors that I could have involved in this scenario; the variables are exponential.
My point is this: in popular poker literature you come across many game examples, some taken from real play, others fabricated. Of-course not every single factor to be considered is mentioned, only those that are necessary to highlight the point that the author wishes to make.
I presently find myself attempting to construct game scenarios (such as the one described above), however I get totally bogged down with the amount of factors to consider. By excluding many factors and also other betting rounds (such as what the opponent did preflop) it feels that what I am examining is unreal, unrelated to any game situation. This is kind of a confidence question; is this a good approach to understanding certain parts of the game better, or is there a better way to analyse poker?
If YOU have ever created a hypotheical game situation, in order to gain insight into a tricky spot how did you make the decision to exclude factors whilst still attempting to make the scenario as realistic as possible?
