Quote:
Originally Posted by kapetain
thats true, my table was selected few days ago and "potential reward" was 60 EUR, but in the end I won only 12 EUR, and went all in for ~9 eur so I actually won only 3-4 EUR.
but I wonder, what would happen if I folded, would I win anything then ?
Also, I dont want to sound like Im complaining, but majority of those lucky hits are some kind of false advertising because you most probably will not win the amount in the banner. Amounts should be more precise but i guess it wouldnt seem so appealing then...
Sorry but what is the banner supposed to say then? "You can win a million! But most likely you will win 10k. And to be honest, most likely you will not win at all. Actually you will likely lose money if you come"?
I actually was in a milestone hand and folded. It was at NL25 and I won 30EUR by foldind. Priceout projection for me was 150EUR I think. So that's what I would have gotten had I won.
I folded 52o or something like that utg. There's so little time to decide and with that crap I thought it would be close so took the less variancy way and took the free 30 EUR.
But the EV-stuff is interesting. Let's see.
It was a six max full table but I don't remember the stacks so lets say six full stacks. And I'll leave the rake out cause I'm lazy.
Folding = 30 EUR
Shoving and losing = -25 EUR + 30 EUR = 5 EUR
Shoving and winning = 150 EUR + 5x25 EUR = 275 EUR
Likelihood of winning = 52o vs five random hands = XX... damn... My super hyper power pc can't calculate this with PokerStove
This was anticlimatic... I'll just leave this here if anyone want's to and can do that math. Lol.
But if my EV vs 5 randoms is less than 11 % then I'm right folding. Correct me if I'm wrong.