Quote:
Originally Posted by Land O Lakes
Yet these graphs were not constructed by the fraud team at Stars; they were the result of high-stakes players in the game examining the playing style of these players at a level the fraud team is unaware of (since they came out and said 100% they were not colluding after weeks (IIRC) of investigation).
Yes, but like I said - once these things exist once, we can look for them in the future. It's MUCH easier to make those graphs for site than it is for players. These graphs were generated with the help of PTR, a site that now doesn't cover PokerStars (or of course us).
Quote:
Originally Posted by Land O Lakes
And those graphs prove nothing; you can't ban someone because they play together more than with others. You have to inspect their play for tendencies, and Stars missed completely.
When you decide if someone is colluding you are almost never 100% sure. You look at a vast array of factors and you come to a judgement based on the balance of possibilities. One of these factors is going to be "is this behaviour similar to what someone has done before?" If Stars spent ages before responding on this, it's because the balance of probabilities was really close and lots of people had to look into it. Now that they (and we) are better informed, the balance of probabilities will never fall that way again.
I don't think you should assume that PS fraud detection is perfect, and I definitely think you shouldn't assume player-detected fraud is perfect. The former is much better than the latter in almost every case. Novel cases are going to be hard for both to find, but once it's out there it'll be much easier to catch.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Land O Lakes
They were playing with the understanding that the sites can see all cards and choosing the plays with the highest EV with the lowest risk of detection. These are not best hand plays or whipsawing; these are players mitigating variance by playing together optimally. There was no "large deviation" of normal play, which is exactly why Stars couldn't spot it after reviewing their play.
There clearly was a large deviation in play, just as there was in the DON ring. That's what I posted links to graphs of. You don't have to spot it by one player playing one hand one way. There are several other ways of spotting this kind of thing, but it isn't available to players. It is to us. There's lots of stuff that's possible with PTR but not without - by PTR not offering PS coverage any more, it's an invalid comparison now. Yet that information is still available to us.
PokerStars fraud detection practices at the time weren't capable of spotting this stuff - what does that have to do with our fraud detection practices at this time?
How do players make money by colluding if it isn't by variations in play? How are those variations large enough to be worth the risk but not large enough to be observable? Of course it's possible that one time you softplayed a friend and that cost opponents a bit. If it's literally one time and there're no other flags then there's no chance that anyone can spot it, players, site, or omniscient being. But the sites have access to a lot more data than players do, and they can spot all of those other flags and the players cannot.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Land O Lakes
Anyway, whatever, I'm from the states and can't play online at all so I have no horse in this race, but it's absurd that a site would not allow players to have the ability to review their own play or take notes on other players.
Taking notes has nothing to do with catching fraud. By not having hand histories and not having notes, we allow new players to stay alive for longer, which allows us to grow while (almost) every other site is in decline. That isn't absurd.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Land O Lakes
This reminds me of PlanetPoker back in the day when I also had to send a cashier's check to Costa Rica because they weren't even set up for electronic funding and had to keep flashcards with notes on regs next to my computer.
Now you're just trolling - PlanetPoker's payments system has literally zero to do with this.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fatboy54
Of course that does not mean you're watertight, nobody is...but as far as caveat emptor goes, I'd try out your site with no qualms, despite my former misgivings.
I agree: I have fairly wide access and the fraud department do too, but perhaps someone internally is capable of hiding something, for example. I have no idea what it looked like internally at UB except that at the end, support definitely knew what was going on before it was public.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fatboy54
I've had a little dabble - a big deal for me (in view of Black Friday) is the ease and cost of getting money off and on site. Pokerstars is great for this which means I can keep my roll off their site. I would only play on any site seriously that offers the same facility. Haven't checked your withdrawal facility out yet (and it will probably be months/years before I would have anything to withdraw ) so can you say anything about withdrawal facilities, or provide a link?
I'm afraid that this is site-wide so I don't know a lot about it. You'd be better off talking to general support on that.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fatboy54
As to some of the other issues regarding playing conditions - well that's a different story. I see what you are trying to do and why. Not sure it appeals to me relative to my usual sites, but it has its attractions.
Sure, and that's fine. I guess a long-term vision is that one day sites will be trying to do things the PokerStars way and one day they'll be trying to do things the Unibet way.
Quote:
Originally Posted by susiria
10 and 4 sngs
rivertam
Thanks, done.
Quote:
Originally Posted by OMGClayStation
Andrew, I just wanted to say: ****ing great job you are doing here man. Really, keep up the good work.
Cheers.
Last edited by UnibetAndrew; 01-27-2015 at 10:00 AM.