Quote:
Originally Posted by StopDreaming
I Gordon, I stumble across your thread and I found it interesting... I'm looking forward for the book
Meanwhile I have a question...
You posted a 4bet shove calculator here
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/58...lator-1196003/
I have some hard time understanding the formula, don't you mind explain it to me?
ME=(p(called)*(stack-vpip)-(1-p(called))*(vpip+3betsize))/(p(called)*(stack+vpip)+p(called)*(stack-vpip))
At the numerator I guess we have:
(p(called)*(stack-vpip) : %we are called * amount risked
(1-p(called))*(vpip+3betsize)) : %Villain folds * pot before our shove
Mainly at the numerator we have what we win?
But at the denominator I can't understand these 2 terms
p(called)*(stack+vpip)
and
p(called)*(stack-vpip)
P(called) :
This is the probability of you being called. In other words, which part of his range does your opponent call?
stack :
his remaining stack (what he has left after 3betting)
vpip:
voluntarily put into put (size of his 3bet in this case)
=============
In practical words:
Our EV = Dead money we win if he folds + we win when getting all-in - we lose when getting all in
1) If he folds pre, we win with x %.
x is defined by our presupposed frequency of him folding
2) If he calls the shove pre, we win with y % his whole stack and loose our stack with 1-y %
y is defined by his range vs our hand
We have to make sure that 1) is bigger than the sum of the events in 2)
Let me know if this answered your question. Rewatch the video in any case!