Quote:
Originally Posted by ImaCHAMPION
I'm done for the day, Was a great day finally came out of this horrible losing streak here are my two favorite hands of the day second one made me LOL so hard he had 1$ left behind
I quoted this from his daily blog (the guy is my student for those who dont know him). I wanna use this hand to give away some strategy and show HOW genius his $40 river bet was. It was very smart,...
but most likely you will think " omg, captain obvious, of course he was inducing " .
So what most likely happens is that you will also try to "induce". But if you are like 99% of players, NOTHING will happen. Why?
The secret: It's not about what you see (the ******o jam by villain), but what you NOT see
Let me explain.
1) Steven (Imachampion) did NOT bet $40 to induce the jam! Instead he looked through his opponents range and thought what his calling range could consist of.
Kx and Qx of hearts are a very rare combination. Maybe some JJ or QQ combos that did not 4bet preflop. But still out of those, not many combos with a heart.
I don't wanna go to much into detail here, but it's important to realize that there are not many hands in this situation that you're going to get called by if you bet half pot or bigger.
Solution: BET SMALL to get crying calls from all lower flushes and hero calls from "omg, i got 2pair/straight, i'm beat but i get such great odds
2) IF Villain did show up for whatever reason with a Khigh flush, there is a decent and non 0% chance that he is gonna raise for value (rightfully so). Mayyybe even a small raise with a Qhigh flush. So by betting small, we may not loose much value at all vs the "cooler" part of his range.
3) And yes, of course by betting small we give Villain the chance to do something ******ed. Turns out that this happened. But this is just the icing on the cake.
It is important to realize that part 1) and 2) are the most important reasons for chosing a small betsizing.
I was NOT present when this hand happened, so maybe Steven had an additional read that Villain was turning made hands into bluffs on other occasions etc.
But this is a prime example of how many people can misapply something they see. You only see the small bet and a ******o bluff.
Most of the time, those small bets in order to induce are BAD. TERRIBLE and ******ED. You loose value.
I hope i explained why this was a great exception.