WSOP Main Event thread, NVG style - Page 101 - Poker News

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07-14-2009 , 03:55 AM

#2501

pokernoob12

banned

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 898

Its not going to happen? Its probably like 50-1 or so to happen. Not all that unlikely.

07-14-2009 , 03:55 AM

#2502

Appleman

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 481

Quote:

Originally Posted by jt217

Lee Childs is a beast

Lee Childs

181 bowling at the Gold Coast! Best performance of the summer! http://twitpic.com/ab5z1

wtfisthis****.jpg

07-14-2009 , 03:55 AM

#2503

DogFace

veteran

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 2,446

Somewhere in a dark basement, Phil Hellmuth lurks...jabbing pins into a Phil Ivey voodoo doll while chanting curses from a book of witchcraft.

07-14-2009 , 03:56 AM

#2504

airdraw

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 266

Quote:

Originally Posted by pokernoob12

Its not going to happen? Its probably like 50-1 or so to happen. Not all that unlikely.

50 to 1? You do realize he had over 6 MM and there are 64 people left? I would say he is around 15 to 1 to win at this point.

07-14-2009 , 03:56 AM

#2505

ThomasSly

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 251

Quote:

Originally Posted by derm

Honestly, if Ivey wins this it should be the immediate legalization of online poker.
I mean, how big of a chance is there that the 'greatest player in the game' wins the main event?

I know its not gonna happen but man, if anybody would open their eyes they should see this.

So your saying that the greatest player in the game doesn't have a shot to knock a field of 64 players?

07-14-2009 , 03:57 AM

#2506

Sly Caveat

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 8,635

Quote:

Originally Posted by pokernoob12

Its not going to happen? Its probably like 50-1 or so to happen. Not all that unlikely.

You suck at oddsmaking.

07-14-2009 , 03:58 AM

#2507

DogFace

veteran

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 2,446

Quote:

Originally Posted by pokernoob12

Its not going to happen? Its probably like 50-1 or so to happen. Not all that unlikely.

There are 65 runners left. Ivey is top 5 in chips and he has a significant skill edge over the average player in the field. I don't know what his odds of winning are, but they have to be better than 50-1.

Somewhere between 15-1 and 20-1 sounds about right.

07-14-2009 , 03:58 AM

#2508

ThomasSly

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 251

Ended day with 6.345 million. 64 left. - Team Ivey

Sounds like it's over for the day.

07-14-2009 , 03:59 AM

#2509

derm

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 7,471

Quote:

Originally Posted by ThomasSly

So your saying that the greatest player in the game doesn't have a shot to knock a field of 64 players?

No, im saying that if poker wasnt a game of skill the greatest player in the game would have a very, very, VERY tiny chance of beating a field of 6494 players.
Or lets rather say, it would be a way bigger coincidence than it already is.

07-14-2009 , 04:00 AM

#2510

pineapple888

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 13,111

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sly Caveat

So Phillips limp/reraised PF and his opponent decided that he would call and then bluff all in with AQ on a rag flop. Does Phillips ever not have AA there?

Sometimes he doesn't. It's still an awful play by the Gordo-meister.

07-14-2009 , 04:00 AM

#2511

Sly Caveat

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 8,635

Watching the '05 where Aaron Kanter cripples Fossilman and busts Ivey is making me sick.

07-14-2009 , 04:01 AM

#2512

Back2theFuture

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 86

i am thinking like 21-1 PI ships it.

07-14-2009 , 04:01 AM

#2513

Monkeyboy73

journeyman

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 397

Quote:

Originally Posted by pokernoob12

Its not going to happen? Its probably like 50-1 or so to happen. Not all that unlikely.

I think you would get so much action at 50/1 - you may be the only person really into poker praying for Ivey to bust out!

07-14-2009 , 04:01 AM

#2514

ThomasSly

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 251

Quote:

Originally Posted by derm

No, im saying that if poker wasnt a game of skill the greatest player in the game would have a very, very, VERY tiny chance of beating a field of 6494 players.

Okay you still care about the 6430 players who are already out (counting me) that's so thoughtful of you.

07-14-2009 , 04:02 AM

#2515

aoFrantic

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 25,221

Quote:

Originally Posted by corsakh

Is WSOP stream on PKR working for anyone?

for the 2000th time in this thread, there is no stream and will be no stream for months.

07-14-2009 , 04:03 AM

#2516

DogFace

veteran

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 2,446

I predict that Ludovic Lacay will make the final table. He seems like a dangerous player and he has quietly been crushing this thing all along. He was 2nd in chips behind ElkY after day 3 and he hasn't let up the entire time.

07-14-2009 , 04:03 AM

#2517

novahunterpa

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 5,244

Is there a wsop stream up that i can watch it on

07-14-2009 , 04:03 AM

#2518

Quadstriker

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 15,332

Quote:

Originally Posted by ThomasSly

Why..... because you think that..... Poker is fun.... for everyone?

Except his opponents.

Spoiler:

07-14-2009 , 04:03 AM

#2519

derm

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 7,471

Quote:

Originally Posted by ThomasSly

Okay you still care about the 6430 players who are already out (counting me) that's so thoughtful of you.

Of course i am.
Or did i miss something and Ivey was allowed to enter the event with a huge stack a few hours ago?

07-14-2009 , 04:03 AM

#2520

pineapple888

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 13,111

FFS Ivey has 3.25% of the chips remaining and around a 2x edge over the 64-player donkfield in a still-deep format where he is one of the big stacks.

So about 15-1 to take it down. Gogogogogogogogogogo.

07-14-2009 , 04:04 AM

#2521

DogFace

veteran

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 2,446

Can anyone find thee 2008 Day 6 end chip counts? Would be fun to compare.

07-14-2009 , 04:04 AM

#2522

Mr.JR

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 1,754

Quote:

Originally Posted by DogFace

Horseshoe will fall out of his ass sometime soon.

07-14-2009 , 04:04 AM

#2523

Lohoo

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 1,447

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sly Caveat

So Phillips limp/reraised PF and his opponent decided that he would call and then bluff all in with AQ on a rag flop. Does Phillips ever not have AA there?

Worse play Ive seen so far