Quote:
Originally Posted by loveminuszero
I'd say that it is essentially a statistical improbability that it's just "the nice side of variance" when it's over 300,000 hands (out of the Results section of Highstakesdb I was able to get the number of hands they've tracked of his since Jan 1st 2008 as 269 680, it won't show all the way back to 2007) and the results match his achievements in live cash games & tournaments. He is the best player in the history of online poker, there's really no point debating that fact
And don't link me to the variance simulator thingy, I know that it's _possible_ to run way above EV over even as many as 300k hands but it's a negligible chance
I would agree with you if my original argument was saying he could be an overall loser in the games and just be on the nice side of variance, but I was just saying he may not be as big of a winner (EV/edge wise) as his 18ish mill profit suggests.
Are you saying that after 300,000 hands everyone runs at EV??? It is obv most likely to even out and get closer to that number with more hands, but I'm sure many are above or below after 300K hands. If Ivey even ran 20 BI over EV (not far fetched), that could be 2 million dollars over at 500/1000 level, which is over 10% of his online profits.
He's obv still great and def has best online results, 16 mill profit would still be best I think lol