Quote:
Originally Posted by David Sklansky
Yes and no. The average major league pitcher is in the top one percent of the human race in batting. The average Olympic marathoner can beat 99% of humans in the hundred yard dash.
Meanwhile, most decatholon gold medal winners couldn't beat the high school champion in any individual event they compete in.
Interesting.
For the first point, it's not just the top one percent of all humans but a tiny, tiny fraction of just the humans who ever even played any organized baseball. The Little League website cited annual participation numbers of about 2.3 million kids (baseball side only) during the mid-2000s.
From 1876 to present, the total number of U.S.-born people ever to play in a MLB game is a tad more than 16,157 [Source: baseball-reference.com]. Include the foreign-born players, and the number approaches 18,000. At any given moment during the season, there are 1,200 people on MLB 40-man rosters, just 750 on active duty, and slightly less than half of that on pitching staffs.
Thus, the average major league pitcher is among about 2 percent of the total number of people who have played in the bigs. Expand to the latter population those who played in the minors, Japan's NPB, the Mexican League, or the Negro Leagues; and our hero now stands among a thin slice of a percent of those ever to play professionally.
One little fun anecdote, though: I once saw Chris Bosio playing as a "celebrity" in a local charity softball game. This guy had just retired from his 11-year MLB career. Because of the DH, however, he never once batted in either the minors or the majors. Yet in this beer-fueled softball game, he was by far the best hitter (frighteningly so — I thought he might kill the local news anchor who played third) and a pretty good glove in the outfield.
As for the decathlon...
Ashton Eaton (gold medalist, 2012 Olympic Games) PRs:
Day One events:
100m: 10.21
LJ: 8.23m
SP: 15.40m
HJ: 2.11m
400m: 45.64
Day Two events:
110HH: 13.35
DT: 47.36m
PV: 5.30m
JT: 66.64m
1,500: 4:14.48
2012 National High School Rankings [Source: MileSplit.com]
Note that these aren't champions, as there really isn't a true high school national championship in the U.S.. The Junior Outdoor Championships don't apply, as they go up to 20 years of age. So let's just go with these.
Day One events:
100m: 10.19 (Abraham Hall, South Grand Prairie HS)
LJ: 7.82m (Jarrion Lawson, Bishop Gorman HS)
SP: 21.49m (Tyler Schultz, Custer HS)
HJ: 2.18m (Randall Cunningham, Bishop Gorman HS)
400m: 45.19 (Aldrich Bailey, Mansfield Timberview HS)
Day Two events:
110HH: 13.35 (Artie Burns, Miami Northwestern HS)
DT: 66.55m (Sam Mattis, East Brunswick HS)
PV: 5.58m (Shawn Barber, Kingwood Park HS)
JT: 75.21m (Billy Stanley, South Park HS)
1,500: 3:45.74 (Josh Lampron, Mansfield HS)
The 1,500 doesn't surprise me, as no decathlete runs it well. I'd have to dig to find it but I believe only one person has ever broken the 4-minute barrier in the dec 1,500. The fastest time at the 2012 Olympic decathlon in London was 4:22.50 by Hans van Alphen of Belgium. He would have been on the back stretch when Lampron crossed.
Eaton measured up favorably with the best prep runners in the two sprints, the hurdles (where they had the same time) and the long jump. Again, not surprising as these events are where Eaton is particularly strong. In fact, in my experience, the better multi athletes tend to be sprinter/jumper types who learn to get by at the other events.
Neither of the shot and discus are close, which is also not a shock. The guys who specialize in those two throws tend to be big, burly types who wouldn't stand a chance as a sprinter or jumper, so they don't exactly flock to the multis. The world decathlon discus record of 55.87m (Bryan Clay at the 2005 USATF Outdoor) would have placed third at the 2014 California Interscholastic Federation championships. The world dec shot record of 19.17m (Edy Hubacher back in 1969), which would have been fourth.
The difference in the javvy isn't as extreme as the other two throws but it's still quite a ways off, and continues to support Sklansky. Eaton's javelin wasn't close to Billy Stanley. Only one competitor at that year's London games was: Cuba's Leonel Suarez, whose opening throw of 76.94 scored him a nifty 996 points.
No 2012 London decathlete measured up to Barber in the pole vault, but then Barber's mark was also a national high school record. He has since set collegiate and Canadian national benchmarks. The top vaulter at the London games was Chile's Gonzalso Barroihet, who cleared 5.40m in his first attempt, about on par with most recent U.S. high school leaders in the event. The high jump comparison works out the same.
* * * * *
All this said, the OP only asked why someone doesn't play the different poker disciplines at "a top level," not why no one is the very best. I think other posters have already cited a few examples of players who DO excel at SNGs, MTTs and cash games, just as there are or have been those who of those who play many of the different variants (flop, stud, draw) among the very best.