View - Phil Ivey will make a deep run in this Main Event *official sweat thread* - Page 9 - Poker News

Who do you want to escrow? Seems a little silly to escrow for this small of an amount. I've paid multiple people on this site before from bets, and have sent money a few different times to buy pieces of people and never had any problems.

Im just going to unbook our bet. Makes no sense that youre accepting 4:1 when you could easily get action at even odds for this bet.

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:06 PM

#203

pokertwoplustwolover

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 1,630

I don't think I could get action at even money. He still has to survive 575 more eliminations

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:08 PM

#204

fml95

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 1,216

Quote:

Originally Posted by bentaylor1988

I don't think I could get action at even money. He still has to survive 575 more eliminations

you could have 100% got even money. People were making this bet at even money on day 2

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:13 PM

#205

Eskaborr

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 2,903

How much action is left ben?

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:14 PM

#206

SleightOfJam

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 2,375

want to book another $100. so my $200 to your $800? quote to confirm

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:15 PM

#207

pokertwoplustwolover

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 1,630

Well then I guess I'm just a prop bet fish.

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:16 PM

#208

Eskaborr

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 2,903

ill take rest action quote to confirm

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:16 PM

#209

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

I would book 100 too but kinda want references or a link to you paying out first as you're offering suspiciously good odds even at 4-1

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:18 PM

#210

pokertwoplustwolover

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 1,630

No more action available. Offer was only good for 5 minutes. Only booked action was the slieghtofjam for $100. Would have taken more action but someone tapped on the fish tank.

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:19 PM

#211

pokertwoplustwolover

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 1,630

I didn't think the odds were that far off. But apparently I'm an idiot for offering that good of odds.

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:21 PM

#212

chopsy2

banned

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 1,139

Is that really you bentaylor?

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:22 PM

#213

Donk Quixote

old hand

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 1,311

Quote:

Originally Posted by bentaylor1988

I didn't think the odds were that far off. But apparently I'm an idiot for offering that good of odds.

Well think about it though, if everyone left was the same skill level and the same chip stack, they would all have about a 15% chance of making the top 100. You're betting that the best player in the world with one of the biggest stacks in the tournament has less than a 20% chance.

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:24 PM

#214

pokertwoplustwolover

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 1,630

Once I thought about it 5-1 was way high, and 4-1 seemed a little high but not beyond reason I don't think. Keep offering bets people, I need some action!

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:27 PM

#215

xalas

◄Valar Morghulis►

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 5,667

Phil Ivey has gone from 72nd 522,500 to 38th place 712,000 (142 bb)
2500/5000 Ante: 500
Players remaining: 698

Liked by:

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:42 PM

#216

ArcadianSky

View Profile Send Message Find Posts By ArcadianSky Find Threads By ArcadianSky

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 2,386

Quote:

Originally Posted by Donk Quixote

Well think about it though, if everyone left was the same skill level and the same chip stack, they would all have about a 15% chance of making the top 100. You're betting that the best player in the world with one of the biggest stacks in the tournament has less than a 20% chance.

This.

Liked by:

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:43 PM

#217

pokertwoplustwolover

View Profile Send Message Find Posts By pokertwoplustwolover Find Threads By pokertwoplustwolover

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 1,630

If anyone wants to give me 10-1 I'll put up $100 saying phil final tables

Last edited by pokertwoplustwolover; 07-11-2014 at 05:50 PM.

Liked by:

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:53 PM

#218

ArcadianSky

View Profile Send Message Find Posts By ArcadianSky Find Threads By ArcadianSky

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 2,386

Quote:

Originally Posted by bentaylor1988

If anyone wants to give me 10-1 I'll put up $100 saying phil final tables

lol
if you think 10-1 is a good enough price for him to final table, how can you possibly post 4 to 1 against him making top 100? you're grossly over-estimating the variables in one bet, and under-estimating it in another.

"he doesn't finish in the top 100 20% of the time...but he'll definitely final table 9% of the time"

Liked by:

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:54 PM

#219

pokertwoplustwolover

View Profile Send Message Find Posts By pokertwoplustwolover Find Threads By pokertwoplustwolover

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 1,630

So what's a fair price to bet on him final tabling

Liked by:

Quote

07-11-2014 , 05:57 PM

#220

ArcadianSky

View Profile Send Message Find Posts By ArcadianSky Find Threads By ArcadianSky

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 2,386

Quote:

Originally Posted by bentaylor1988

So what's a fair price to bet on him final tabling

Eh. I'm not saying 10-1 is bad on your end necessarily. Ha. But given your perception/evaluation, you can't propose those two bets without one of them being bad in your own mind. You can't think he's worse than 20% to make top 100 and better than 9% to final table in the same thought imo.

I also don't want to ruin anyone's action if they want to take you on either.

Last edited by ArcadianSky; 07-11-2014 at 06:04 PM.

Liked by:

Quote

07-11-2014 , 06:03 PM

#221

4_chainz

View Profile Send Message Find Posts By 4_chainz Find Threads By 4_chainz

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 604

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

I would book 100 too but kinda want references or a link to you paying out first as you're offering suspiciously good odds even at 4-1

Met Ben Taylor in Vegas a few weeks ago. Kid likes to degen . I wouldn't be nervous about him paying out fwiw. From what I saw he has a little gambol in him

Liked by:

Quote

07-11-2014 , 06:04 PM

#222

R*R

View Profile Send Message Find Posts By R*R Find Threads By R*R

I wish I was Einstein

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 12,753

Quote:

Originally Posted by SleightOfJam

bentaylor you're giving 4-1 on ivey not making top 100 right?

so if i want ivey to make the top 100 for $100, i'm risking $100 to your $400?

Hey Ben. Fellow Lvl'er wanting a sweat.

I will do same bet as SleightofJam. $100 to you if Ivey is 101 or worst. $400 to me if Ivey is 100 or better.

Typed "booked" by 3:20 pm PST if you want to do this.

Last edited by R*R; 07-11-2014 at 06:14 PM. Reason: .

Liked by:

Quote

07-11-2014 , 06:09 PM

#223

synth_floyd

View Profile Send Message Find Posts By synth_floyd Find Threads By synth_floyd

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 7,074

805k now. 24th according to the pokernews chip count page.

Liked by:

Quote

07-11-2014 , 06:20 PM

#224

rubbertoe

View Profile Send Message Find Posts By rubbertoe Find Threads By rubbertoe

centurion

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 121

Remember that amateurs play differently against guys like Ivey. He is going to get chips from people that these guys normally wouldn't give away, because they have this perception of him from tv. And he will use that.

Liked by:

Quote

07-11-2014 , 06:20 PM

#225

pokertwoplustwolover

View Profile Send Message Find Posts By pokertwoplustwolover Find Threads By pokertwoplustwolover

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 1,630

Quote:

Originally Posted by R*R

Hey Ben. Fellow Lvl'er wanting a sweat.

I will do same bet as SleightofJam. $100 to you if Ivey is 101 or worst. $400 to me if Ivey is 100 or better.

Typed "booked" by 3:20 pm PST if you want to do this.

No more action on that bet

Liked by:

Quote

Page 9 of 13
First

Page 9 of 13

Go to page:
Go

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Last

Go to page:
Go

Post Reply Subscribe
...

Page 9 of 13
First

Page 9 of 13

Go to page:
Go

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Last

Go to page:
Go

Tweet

Feedback is used for internal purposes. LEARN MORE

Contact Us Privacy Statement TOS

Top

Powered by: Hand2Note

Copyright ©2008-2022, Hand2Note Interactive LTD