Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
view: can poker be SOLVED? view: can poker be SOLVED?

06-03-2010 , 12:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by snex
so if you want to define "solved" as the nash equilibrium strategy, then all you have done is come up with an uninteresting way to pay the rake.
More importantly, you've come up with a strategy that cannot be beaten by any other strategy. No, it will not make the most money against other players if they have significant leaks in their games, but, at the same time, there is no possibility of someone else beating you in the long run.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-03-2010 , 12:07 AM
This thread might have the most fail of any on 2+2.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-03-2010 , 09:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clever Nickname
I never said that the Nash equilibrium was optimal, I said that it was unexploitable.
You implied that Nash equilibrium equates to the game being 'solved'. Othello is nearly 'solved'. Poker is not.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-03-2010 , 09:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jogsxyz
You implied that Nash equilibrium equates to the game being 'solved'. Othello is nearly 'solved'. Poker is not.
NE does equate to game being solved imo. There is no point in playing if unbeatable bots are going to overrun the games. They may not be able to have as big of a winrate as you againts the fish, but they would still kill the games.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-03-2010 , 03:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jogsxyz
You implied that Nash equilibrium equates to the game being 'solved'. Othello is nearly 'solved'. Poker is not.
It does equate to the game being solved. I think we're using different definitions of the word.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-03-2010 , 06:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clever Nickname
It does equate to the game being solved. I think we're using different definitions of the word.
Its solved once ESS is defined - with the other variables mentioned.

The equations for the solution are not out yet.

Nash Equilibrium <> solved, it needs enhancement.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-03-2010 , 06:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clovis8
This thread might have the most fail of any on 2+2.
This thread really sucks.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-03-2010 , 07:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jogsxyz
Wikipedia has an entry for solved games. Poker is not included among the solved games.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clever Nickname
It does equate to the game being solved. I think we're using different definitions of the word.
I'm using the standard definition used by students of game theory. Read the link. It equates Nash equilibrium to 'perfect play'.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-03-2010 , 08:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clever Nickname
More importantly, you've come up with a strategy that cannot be beaten by any other strategy. No, it will not make the most money against other players if they have significant leaks in their games, but, at the same time, there is no possibility of someone else beating you in the long run.
Love it, when someone talks about the long run.
Can we live long enough?
Seems to me the discussions about theory, not reality.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-03-2010 , 11:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jogsxyz
I'm using the standard definition used by students of game theory. Read the link. It equates Nash equilibrium to 'perfect play'.
Poker is not listed as solved because poker isn't solved. However, it is, in theory, solvable.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-03-2010 , 11:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rayfox111
Love it, when someone talks about the long run.
Can we live long enough?
Seems to me the discussions about theory, not reality.
Of course the discussion is about theory, since NLHE is not solved, and is unlikely to be solved within our lifetimes.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-04-2010 , 05:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clever Nickname
Poker is not listed as solved because poker isn't solved. However, it is, in theory, solvable.
Dice isn't solved. A student can easily find the Nash equilibrium for that game.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-04-2010 , 06:34 PM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solved_game

Quote:
A solved game is a game whose outcome can be correctly predicted from any position when each side plays optimally
.

Poker and any other game which requires the roll of the dice or turn of the cards can never be solved.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-04-2010 , 08:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jogsxyz
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solved_game

.

Poker and any other game which requires the roll of the dice or turn of the cards can never be solved.
Not trying to be a dick, but I'm not sure there's much more to say at this point other than you're wrong.

JFC this thread sucks.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-05-2010 , 01:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jogsxyz
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solved_game

.

Poker and any other game which requires the roll of the dice or turn of the cards can never be solved.
From the same article:

"Perfect play can be generalized to non-perfect information games, as the strategy that would guarantee the highest minimal expected outcome regardless of the strategy of the opponent."
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-05-2010 , 01:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pointland32
[ ] view

And to "solve" a game means to find the optimal strategies, which is when no player can gain by unilaterally changing their strategy. It's technically possible to solve NLHE and PLO but far too difficult for modern computers.
Unless of course, you get the solution first, then program the computer. (Kinda obvious, ldo - but whom said the solution would be found by running said simulations though computer?)
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-05-2010 , 02:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RonMexico
Not trying to be a dick, but I'm not sure there's much more to say at this point other than you're wrong.

JFC this thread sucks.
Quote:
A solved game is a game whose outcome can be correctly predicted from any position when each side plays optimally.
You're not a dick. You're just uninformed. Games have been studied for years. You don't get to choose the definition of solved.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-05-2010 , 06:58 PM
Using your definition of solved:

Quote:
A solved game is a game whose outcome can be correctly predicted from any position when each side plays optimally.
And additionally, from the page you link:

Quote:
In game theory, perfect play is the behavior or strategy of a player which leads to the best possible outcome for that player regardless of the response by the opponent. Based on the rules of a game, every possible final position can be evaluated (as a win, loss or draw).
So if we discover an unexploitable strategy, i.e. perfect play, then we have a game whose "outcome can be correctly predicted from any position when each side plays optimally." That outcome, of course, is a draw (in a no rake game) when both players employ this strategy. Otherwise, it's a win for the player using the NE strategy and a loss for a player using any strategy other than NE.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-14-2010 , 01:26 AM
I've read through most of this, didn't understand everything but I get the idea (thank you guy with the AKQ deck example) it's solvable which means it will be solved. Does that mean when it happens, online poker will inevitably die out when a large enough number of people start using bots that have solved it?

Which brings me to this...if HULHE has been solved and bots exist that beat the top pros today, why is it still available to play online, aren't people using those bots already? As someone pointed out, it's an impossible to prove thing.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
06-14-2010 , 01:55 AM
NLHE is solved because ******ed ****-ups like durrr bet 20,000 preflop with 5 9 off. It shows that skill level has come full circle and there is no longer a way to "beat" the game.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
02-28-2011 , 06:08 PM
bump bump bump it up
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
08-03-2015 , 09:10 AM
to what extent poker can be solved? must it be <10bb?
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
08-03-2015 , 11:11 AM
Limit holdem has been about solved but the bets there are insignificant compared to the size of the pot. Hu nlh is strong it seems and i think there is enough room for nitting, meaning ring games might do okay also.

The real poker is still needed or one is playing it much wrong, and that is even more needed in tournaments where one plays with observations and instincts even more as there is less room for statistical and technical play, almost a different form, not just a different format.

Using a pot odds calculator and the related range would improve ones results but real poker is still what one needs to play much, especially in tournaments, that i though mostly gave up after calculating i need 1 in 1k luck to score well once per two years as ev.

The bots could break even with perfect gto, but it is hard to believe as when the opponent nits, one needs to get enough free money to cover those, and in tournaments there is more or less no long run.

I do pretty well with a gto type in cash 6 max but adjusting scores still better. In tournaments i dont use much gto but more like brunson calling because of nit, that is an another reason i just stopped playing tournaments, being more comfortable in action and gto theoretical cash games with real stacks and tracking the opponent and playing up to hard, though i experienced tournaments to be more intense, though not less energy taking. The other taking more instinct attention, and survival technique and factors, while the cash takes more gto attention.

My experience says the cash gto does not work in tournaments, the math being different, and losing a little from ones stack is the beginning of the end, and defending with cash gto goes busto too soon and has no chance.

Cash games can be solved to break even plus maybe some for accuracy, but it hasnt been proven no matter how much one belives in nash and kelly etc. To be it is just a pretty rigid middle way that if used perfectly, likely breaks even, but the tournaments gtois different and orobably half of what we think about correct tournament play isnotknown or not right.

I understand now perfectly why some cash suckers are top tournament players, and it is not because of math and gto, but because of a different line, that i got to see when i played tournaments. Theclosest to cash was 2 and 3 handed poker played in exploitive style from most parts, the math differing on stack size and survival point.

One can adjust a bot to play, using a correct gto as bases. Plays more like a human then, just not with instincs or even experience, but maybe with some more accuracy.
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
08-03-2015 , 01:15 PM
while this is a ridiculous necro, the answer isn't can it be solved, it's whether it can be solved in a reasonable amount of time
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote
08-04-2015 , 12:46 AM
just curious, if poker hasn't been solved, then bots may not work profitably, so then why are bots so hated?
view: can poker be SOLVED? Quote

      
m