Quote:
Originally Posted by HoldThem
This really makes me want to stop playing online at all. For every dozen accounts playing with massive winrates, how many more intelligent accounts are there that are using it to get a long term undetectable edge.
The multiple account thing leads me to beleive there is an inherant problem with the sites security, they may of been compromised due to shoddy coding and security.
I think this brings up some interesting thoughts.
As fun as it is to dismiss the "online poker is rigged" threads.
(We know that 99.99% of these threads are just people playing badly or running bad.)
Those in the past who have dismissed these threads with arguments such as
"the sites would never cheat because they make so much money and have too much to lose" are feeling a bit silly now.
Never underestimate the greed of people. Even the greed of those who already have a ton of cash.
The irony is that criminal greed often leads to smart people doing very stupid things to get caught.
Maybe they thought playing so few hands per account (name change) would lead people to dismiss as small sample sizes.
Just for chuckles lets assume we had a much smarter criminal who understands that his stats are always being looked at.
He would be able to crush any game while playing a completely normal looking style.
He could even play 25% super user and 75% normal. Although he would make a LOT of money it would be undetectable unless he has no grasp of poker concepts.
There is a (legal) play in blackjack called "hole carding"
Meaning by various different methods you have knowledge of the dealers
down card.
If you know the dealer has a ten value card in the hole and a ten value up its 100% correct to hit hard 19
The experienced HC doesnt do it at most places as it would draw extreme attention.
The HC can still get a ~10% edge vs and optimal ~13% without drawing attention with such plays.
He is willing to lose on these hands to keep playing.
My point is if a superuser knows his HHs are being looked at he could play in a way that he doesn`t fold big hands vs bigger hands but only loses small to make it look good.
He can raise bluffs with weak hands/draws that cannot under any situation call.
That looks pretty normal.
The good news is that the smart SU effects your overall winrate less.
IF your long term winrate is 3 BB/100 and colusion/cheating costs you 0.5BB/100, are you going to stop playing, probably not.
The players that are hurt the most are the marginal winners and small losers(small winners with rakeback and bonuses)
D.