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Russian Losing 20k at  .01/.02 Russian Losing 20k at  .01/.02

09-20-2011 , 08:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TB303
This is funny as hell. I have closed my account at stars because I'm not convinced about this huge influx of Russian players who all seemed to start showing up in the lead up to Black Friday, all playing as equally bad as this guy (any two, any price) but running hotter than hell...you can imagine the Russian ******s telling their friends...."its easy gameski, you just push the button and win the money"...
How could this possibly make you close your account!!???
09-20-2011 , 08:36 AM
wow that is pretty insane. Surely after dropping $20k at $0.01/0.02 you'd think that you might be doing something wrong?
09-20-2011 , 08:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hairy Chinese Kid
How could this possibly make you close your account!!???
I don't support communism...
09-20-2011 , 08:53 AM
Err...... Eh?

My point was if there is a huge influx of either players or bots from russia who play as bad as this guy, (which never was a communist state as it happens, rather it was a corrupt revolutionary dictatorship but I know that is not something I care to argue about), you wouldn't be supporting them, they would be supporting you...!
09-20-2011 , 08:53 AM
6 Royal Flushes in 145.000 hands ????

Thats really really suspicious ...
09-20-2011 , 08:55 AM
congrats to the guy for not moving up and stay zen
09-20-2011 , 08:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ferdinand
6 Royal Flushes in 145.000 hands ????

Thats really really suspicious ...
No, I think the odds of getting a royal flush in 7 cards is very roughly 30,000 to 1 (bit more I think but whatever). Clearly he is just running if anything a little bit on the good side of variance!
09-20-2011 , 09:00 AM
wow, very nice find
09-20-2011 , 09:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hairy Chinese Kid
No, I think the odds of getting a royal flush in 7 cards is very roughly 30,000 to 1 (bit more I think but whatever). Clearly he is just running if anything a little bit on the good side of variance!
I read somewhere that its 500.000:1 ...

Let me check.

PS: Actually I was wrong:

"In hold em, the probability you hit a royal flush by the flop is the same as in draw poker. However, we can compute an upper bound for the probability that you hit a royal flush by the river. If we make the assumption that you will play any two suited cards 10+, and that you always see 5 board cards, then the probability is

4*C(5,2)/C(52,2)*C(47,2)/C(50,5) = 1/ 64,974 ~ 0.000015390

Or odds of 64,973:1

In practice, the probability you hit a royal flush is less than the number computed above since you will not always see the flop with any two suited cards 10+, and that you will not always see all 5 board cards."

If this is correct he should have 3 rather than 6 ...
The 640,973:1 is the prob of a royal e 5 card draw. hence my confusion ...

Last edited by ferdinand; 09-20-2011 at 09:06 AM.
09-20-2011 , 09:17 AM
what a boss
09-20-2011 , 09:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hairy Chinese Kid
Err...... Eh?

My point was if there is a huge influx of either players or bots from russia who play as bad as this guy, (which never was a communist state as it happens, rather it was a corrupt revolutionary dictatorship but I know that is not something I care to argue about), you wouldn't be supporting them, they would be supporting you...!
The high school drop out obviously means that he can't 2nl either so he's using the "russians are invading!!" excuse.
09-20-2011 , 09:24 AM
LOL @ the comment "MOVE DOWN!"
09-20-2011 , 09:25 AM
He has to know he's losing EV on each hand.

Is he trying to make up for it in volume?
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