"The Russian Bot Army That Conquered Online Poker" (Bloomberg)
From the Deeplay website:
I fully believe GGnetwork partners with them to balance their games to ensure the pros don't skin the fish too fast too quickly. As poker players, we are seasoned in pattern recognition & the longer we continue seeing the same patterns the more we believe their existence.
I play ~40k hands monthly on GG and the daily pattern is the same for me. I will grind 1k-2k hands, slowly stacking wins where my daily graph looks like a slow climb. Once I've won several buyins on the day, the site determines that I've won enough for the day and need to give some of it back. It will destroy me with a bad beat like AA v AKss or a 1-2 outer. Once that first bad beat happens, that's the sign to stop for the day, otherwise the setups will follow you like death in Final Destination.
If you are smart enough to adjust your play to be more passive & get away from several setups, the cooler setups will continue to worsen until you're dealt something like set over set or AAvKK with the K spiking the flop because it will force you to stick your funds in the pot in some way without your V drawing dead. The problem even with stopping for the day after that first beat is the algo will be waiting for you the next time you login. It'S jUsT vArIaNcE On the days you stop early, you can expect the next day will be miserable until those funds are returned to the eco-system with a small bit of interest.
Call me a rigtard, I don't care, but I can see the pattern because it happens nearly every single day if you play enough. I believe that's part of the reason GG can be so good with their reward system because they know the algo's will help the fish with coolers & 1-2 outers to stay in the RNG balanced eco-system where it's a "comfortable environment where the non-professional players lose less to keep them in the game longer". Then you need to distract & placate the pros (who are getting bullshtted at a consistent rate all of a sudden) with additional rewards & at a higher frequency so the dopamine does its job & brings us back the next day. They merged casino psychology into a poker room.
During the weeks I'm losing bad to bullsht beats and losing 80%+ hands nonstop, those are the weeks I cash in the GGcares multiple times usually with one of them being a deeper run. Also I seem to hit the top rake spin reward too. During the weeks when I'm even a slight winner on the week, its a dry spell and I will never cash in GGcares and I will get the lowest rake spin reward every time. There's too many patterns that I see daily to ignore.
At the end of the day, they want everyone, pros & casuals, breaking as close to even as possible while they continue to scoop in millions in rake.
I fully believe GGnetwork partners with them to balance their games to ensure the pros don't skin the fish too fast too quickly. As poker players, we are seasoned in pattern recognition & the longer we continue seeing the same patterns the more we believe their existence.
I play ~40k hands monthly on GG and the daily pattern is the same for me. I will grind 1k-2k hands, slowly stacking wins where my daily graph looks like a slow climb. Once I've won several buyins on the day, the site determines that I've won enough for the day and need to give some of it back. It will destroy me with a bad beat like AA v AKss or a 1-2 outer. Once that first bad beat happens, that's the sign to stop for the day, otherwise the setups will follow you like death in Final Destination.
If you are smart enough to adjust your play to be more passive & get away from several setups, the cooler setups will continue to worsen until you're dealt something like set over set or AAvKK with the K spiking the flop because it will force you to stick your funds in the pot in some way without your V drawing dead. The problem even with stopping for the day after that first beat is the algo will be waiting for you the next time you login. It'S jUsT vArIaNcE On the days you stop early, you can expect the next day will be miserable until those funds are returned to the eco-system with a small bit of interest.
Call me a rigtard, I don't care, but I can see the pattern because it happens nearly every single day if you play enough. I believe that's part of the reason GG can be so good with their reward system because they know the algo's will help the fish with coolers & 1-2 outers to stay in the RNG balanced eco-system where it's a "comfortable environment where the non-professional players lose less to keep them in the game longer". Then you need to distract & placate the pros (who are getting bullshtted at a consistent rate all of a sudden) with additional rewards & at a higher frequency so the dopamine does its job & brings us back the next day. They merged casino psychology into a poker room.
During the weeks I'm losing bad to bullsht beats and losing 80%+ hands nonstop, those are the weeks I cash in the GGcares multiple times usually with one of them being a deeper run. Also I seem to hit the top rake spin reward too. During the weeks when I'm even a slight winner on the week, its a dry spell and I will never cash in GGcares and I will get the lowest rake spin reward every time. There's too many patterns that I see daily to ignore.
At the end of the day, they want everyone, pros & casuals, breaking as close to even as possible while they continue to scoop in millions in rake.
Not sure if serious.
From the Deeplay website:
I fully believe GGnetwork partners with them to balance their games to ensure the pros don't skin the fish too fast too quickly. As poker players, we are seasoned in pattern recognition & the longer we continue seeing the same patterns the more we believe their existence.
I play ~40k hands monthly on GG and the daily pattern is the same for me. I will grind 1k-2k hands, slowly stacking wins where my daily graph looks like a slow climb. Once I've won several buyins on the day, the site determines that I've won enough for the day and need to give some of it back. It will destroy me with a bad beat like AA v AKss or a 1-2 outer. Once that first bad beat happens, that's the sign to stop for the day, otherwise the setups will follow you like death in Final Destination.
If you are smart enough to adjust your play to be more passive & get away from several setups, the cooler setups will continue to worsen until you're dealt something like set over set or AAvKK with the K spiking the flop because it will force you to stick your funds in the pot in some way without your V drawing dead. The problem even with stopping for the day after that first beat is the algo will be waiting for you the next time you login. It'S jUsT vArIaNcE On the days you stop early, you can expect the next day will be miserable until those funds are returned to the eco-system with a small bit of interest.
Call me a rigtard, I don't care, but I can see the pattern because it happens nearly every single day if you play enough. I believe that's part of the reason GG can be so good with their reward system because they know the algo's will help the fish with coolers & 1-2 outers to stay in the RNG balanced eco-system where it's a "comfortable environment where the non-professional players lose less to keep them in the game longer". Then you need to distract & placate the pros (who are getting bullshtted at a consistent rate all of a sudden) with additional rewards & at a higher frequency so the dopamine does its job & brings us back the next day. They merged casino psychology into a poker room.
During the weeks I'm losing bad to bullsht beats and losing 80%+ hands nonstop, those are the weeks I cash in the GGcares multiple times usually with one of them being a deeper run. Also I seem to hit the top rake spin reward too. During the weeks when I'm even a slight winner on the week, its a dry spell and I will never cash in GGcares and I will get the lowest rake spin reward every time. There's too many patterns that I see daily to ignore.
At the end of the day, they want everyone, pros & casuals, breaking as close to even as possible while they continue to scoop in millions in rake.
I fully believe GGnetwork partners with them to balance their games to ensure the pros don't skin the fish too fast too quickly. As poker players, we are seasoned in pattern recognition & the longer we continue seeing the same patterns the more we believe their existence.
I play ~40k hands monthly on GG and the daily pattern is the same for me. I will grind 1k-2k hands, slowly stacking wins where my daily graph looks like a slow climb. Once I've won several buyins on the day, the site determines that I've won enough for the day and need to give some of it back. It will destroy me with a bad beat like AA v AKss or a 1-2 outer. Once that first bad beat happens, that's the sign to stop for the day, otherwise the setups will follow you like death in Final Destination.
If you are smart enough to adjust your play to be more passive & get away from several setups, the cooler setups will continue to worsen until you're dealt something like set over set or AAvKK with the K spiking the flop because it will force you to stick your funds in the pot in some way without your V drawing dead. The problem even with stopping for the day after that first beat is the algo will be waiting for you the next time you login. It'S jUsT vArIaNcE On the days you stop early, you can expect the next day will be miserable until those funds are returned to the eco-system with a small bit of interest.
Call me a rigtard, I don't care, but I can see the pattern because it happens nearly every single day if you play enough. I believe that's part of the reason GG can be so good with their reward system because they know the algo's will help the fish with coolers & 1-2 outers to stay in the RNG balanced eco-system where it's a "comfortable environment where the non-professional players lose less to keep them in the game longer". Then you need to distract & placate the pros (who are getting bullshtted at a consistent rate all of a sudden) with additional rewards & at a higher frequency so the dopamine does its job & brings us back the next day. They merged casino psychology into a poker room.
During the weeks I'm losing bad to bullsht beats and losing 80%+ hands nonstop, those are the weeks I cash in the GGcares multiple times usually with one of them being a deeper run. Also I seem to hit the top rake spin reward too. During the weeks when I'm even a slight winner on the week, its a dry spell and I will never cash in GGcares and I will get the lowest rake spin reward every time. There's too many patterns that I see daily to ignore.
At the end of the day, they want everyone, pros & casuals, breaking as close to even as possible while they continue to scoop in millions in rake.
As a non-poker player (Not even a rec) my opinion here might not be worth much here but here it is anyways.
The actual solution for farms on poker sites is pretty straightforward. After all sports betting has a similar issue but of course the websites are so much more heavily invested in not losing money because the money that's being lost would be their own.
(Those who understand sports betting know that it's not incredibly difficult to get a 56% win rate but that sports betting sites make money by not allowing those players to play for long)
The way it works in the US is every account needs a ssc that matches their name. They need to upload identity that matches the SSC. And all withdrawals go to an account name that matches the other two. Not sure what the equivalent identity number is another countries but it could be matched. Sure you can get your mother or your brother but very soon you run out of accounts. Plus people don't love large amounts of money coming through their account so it's been a challenge anyways
People still find ways around but it's a very very small minority.
In fact it's a shock to me that the big sites don't run like this already. I guess there's tax implications to some people.
Of course people cheating with RTA is a much bigger problem... But if sites were to ban you if you get caught and it's hard to get anothe account..
This is a story that fascinates me, similar to alpha zero when it beat stockfish it portends greatly and led to me being much less surprised by chat GPT and the AI explosion years later.
Here we should have an idea of what the stock market will look like 20 years from now where human trading will more or less be silly. If that's not already the case. Other implications as well.
The actual solution for farms on poker sites is pretty straightforward. After all sports betting has a similar issue but of course the websites are so much more heavily invested in not losing money because the money that's being lost would be their own.
(Those who understand sports betting know that it's not incredibly difficult to get a 56% win rate but that sports betting sites make money by not allowing those players to play for long)
The way it works in the US is every account needs a ssc that matches their name. They need to upload identity that matches the SSC. And all withdrawals go to an account name that matches the other two. Not sure what the equivalent identity number is another countries but it could be matched. Sure you can get your mother or your brother but very soon you run out of accounts. Plus people don't love large amounts of money coming through their account so it's been a challenge anyways
People still find ways around but it's a very very small minority.
In fact it's a shock to me that the big sites don't run like this already. I guess there's tax implications to some people.
Of course people cheating with RTA is a much bigger problem... But if sites were to ban you if you get caught and it's hard to get anothe account..
This is a story that fascinates me, similar to alpha zero when it beat stockfish it portends greatly and led to me being much less surprised by chat GPT and the AI explosion years later.
Here we should have an idea of what the stock market will look like 20 years from now where human trading will more or less be silly. If that's not already the case. Other implications as well.
From the Deeplay website: Deeplay mission is to provide a comfortable environment for gamers. Our robots employ different strategies to maintain in-game balance. So, non-professional players lose less, enjoy game more and keep staying in the game longer.
. . . . . . .
At the end of the day, they want everyone, pros & casuals, breaking as close to even as possible while they continue to scoop in millions in rake.
. . . . . . .
At the end of the day, they want everyone, pros & casuals, breaking as close to even as possible while they continue to scoop in millions in rake.
There was a post from Joey below which kind of covers the way in which this creates an environment that the sites can manipulate using these bots. They don't need any of the other obvious rigging stuff because they ensure a certain win rate for all players on the site using the bots themselves and the difficultly at which they play against each player. I am not saying GG is or isn't doing this but wanted to make the distinction to what Deeplay offers as a service. I actually think this is far worse for the ecosystem because its almost impossible for anyone to spot.
Nice article
I agree that games should tell you how many bots they are using in each game instead of making you think you're playing a "real player" who is playing a "fish" style to drive action - most "sites" have been pretending it's real poker for a long time now because it's "free" money for them in a few different ways.
Some places doing it are better than others at simulating a real environment than others but imagine every site is doing it to some degree.
I can see why other people in the industry wouldn't be happy if you're criticizing their business strategy - they want to keep using "bots" to maintain winrate.
Some sites have decided instead of a "winning" player cashing out the money - they can insert a friendly "eco-lab" style controlled liquidity provider programmed however they see fit for the day where they are the only ones cashing out. All you do is turn a switch on and there is no oversight/accountability.
I agree that games should tell you how many bots they are using in each game instead of making you think you're playing a "real player" who is playing a "fish" style to drive action - most "sites" have been pretending it's real poker for a long time now because it's "free" money for them in a few different ways.
Some places doing it are better than others at simulating a real environment than others but imagine every site is doing it to some degree.
I can see why other people in the industry wouldn't be happy if you're criticizing their business strategy - they want to keep using "bots" to maintain winrate.
Some sites have decided instead of a "winning" player cashing out the money - they can insert a friendly "eco-lab" style controlled liquidity provider programmed however they see fit for the day where they are the only ones cashing out. All you do is turn a switch on and there is no oversight/accountability.
If anyone's interested - here are the details of the talk Alex mentioned at EDGE that will focus on the topics in this thread.
Wednesday 30th October
3:30 pm - 4:30 pm GMT (11:30 AM - 12:30 PM Eastern Time (ET))
Rise of the Machines: Can Human Players Survive the AI Bot Invasion?
Terje Bremseth (CEO and Founder - New Wave Poker)
Jonathan Raab (Gaming Industry Pioneer)
Alex Scott (President - WPT Global)
Kris Galloway (Head of iGaming Product - Sumsub)
Full Schedule Link
- There should be a stream too, I'll link it here once it's confirmed.
Wednesday 30th October
3:30 pm - 4:30 pm GMT (11:30 AM - 12:30 PM Eastern Time (ET))
Rise of the Machines: Can Human Players Survive the AI Bot Invasion?
Terje Bremseth (CEO and Founder - New Wave Poker)
Jonathan Raab (Gaming Industry Pioneer)
Alex Scott (President - WPT Global)
Kris Galloway (Head of iGaming Product - Sumsub)
Full Schedule Link
- There should be a stream too, I'll link it here once it's confirmed.
Live stream at @EDGEGamingExpo - we should be able to ask questions from YouTube chat at the end
is anyone recording it?
The recordings are available after the live stream ends. If you go into 'live' section in the YT channel he linked you can see the stream from yesterday.
The main talk of interested to this topic is on in around an hour (15.30 GMT / 11.30 EST) - "Rise of the machines: Can Human Players Survive the AI Bot Invasion?"
The main talk of interested to this topic is on in around an hour (15.30 GMT / 11.30 EST) - "Rise of the machines: Can Human Players Survive the AI Bot Invasion?"
Good conversation, it was quite hard to hear Jonathan but I have previously heard him speak on the topic and read his really great piece that he wrote. The distribution of clicks is a cool example, it must have been fun down through the years on both the botting side and the operator security side playing these cat and mouse games.
The talk centred around how this is an arms race with the best sites now at the cutting edge of innovation in terms of AI solutions, I think its really commendable to hear that these resources are getting poured into trying solutions but I will say that I don't believe this is an arms race the sites can win, they will always be behind in terms of what the other side is doing and playing catchup and I think the advances that we have, and are seeing will make this an intractable problem going forward if we focus on this as an arms race.
What I haven't seen asked in these discussion or written about around this topic is can we find completely out of the box alternatives to solving these problem. Are the sites working on anything like this which is completely unique to ways in which they currently fight cheating? I feel like there is some tunnel vision towards the solutions The first thing that comes to mind when people think down this path is cameras but then people talk about the invasive nature of it, how do sites even use and store the data. The main thing I would ask, does it even solve any of the issues? If anyone follows Chess, former world champion Kramnik has been calling out half of he top chess players for cheating over the last few week including those that steam while playing.
Given all the AI, sensor, mapping technology it feels like there should be better solutions that can be found towards creating some sort of playing area at home for online use that can be completely monitored. It would have application across anything humans wanted to do competitively online going forward. That could be completely pie in the sky stuff but it feels very much to me like if solutions are to be found they will come from something which is completely outside the current thinking in how sites are trying to tackle these problems.
The talk centred around how this is an arms race with the best sites now at the cutting edge of innovation in terms of AI solutions, I think its really commendable to hear that these resources are getting poured into trying solutions but I will say that I don't believe this is an arms race the sites can win, they will always be behind in terms of what the other side is doing and playing catchup and I think the advances that we have, and are seeing will make this an intractable problem going forward if we focus on this as an arms race.
What I haven't seen asked in these discussion or written about around this topic is can we find completely out of the box alternatives to solving these problem. Are the sites working on anything like this which is completely unique to ways in which they currently fight cheating? I feel like there is some tunnel vision towards the solutions The first thing that comes to mind when people think down this path is cameras but then people talk about the invasive nature of it, how do sites even use and store the data. The main thing I would ask, does it even solve any of the issues? If anyone follows Chess, former world champion Kramnik has been calling out half of he top chess players for cheating over the last few week including those that steam while playing.
Given all the AI, sensor, mapping technology it feels like there should be better solutions that can be found towards creating some sort of playing area at home for online use that can be completely monitored. It would have application across anything humans wanted to do competitively online going forward. That could be completely pie in the sky stuff but it feels very much to me like if solutions are to be found they will come from something which is completely outside the current thinking in how sites are trying to tackle these problems.
It's an interesting question BJDegen because once you develop the solutions to stop outside "bots" - they will develop their own solution to remain undetected. The first "people" you look at are the winners and people who play long hours. If a "bot" is playing on the site and losing money then they would be harder to detect by an honest site that isn't putting the "bots" in themselves. If the sites are deploying the "bots" themselves they can create masquerading strategies of "new" bots showing up.
Using some type of deeper level KYC strategy + monitoring of the program seems pretty easy to overcome in 2024 on the player side so would love to hear more about how people are thinking about detecting that. I am supposed to have the head of A5 labs on my show (Not Alex or John) to talk more about it. People have built KYC defeating strats for years and sometimes the site won't track that at all. The topic of RTA itself is interesting because how different is a HUD than a "RTA" using some type of "AI strategy" who suggests you an output based on your input.
Creating a more "secured environment" at higher stakes with deeper level monitoring that you are referencing involving cameras/AI detectors might be a good step for a limited number of cases but with how easy it is to build/deploy RTA agents - you need to rely on other methods at games where that isn't being done. There is the case to be made that lot of people won't like this and won't want to play which I wouldn't mind as a site if I wanted to take the security to the next level. Your point about ethical data management is also very relevant because the gap between computer assisted and human is closing pretty fast and it's never been easier to use modern tools in real time to assist your game. How much different are those people than a "bot"?
If my goal as a site was to take collusion, super using, RTA, stable play, agent play, dee play serious while they build their own strategies to remain undetected then you have to be really good at your own data analysis. I believe that some sites are working on this very actively and taking it seriously while others are behind the curve and potentially actively working with the liquidity providers.
Game selection and play selection is more important than ever with "dee play" accounts masquerading as "regs" w/ all types of style.
There are 100s of arenas where it's pretty easy to deploy that strategy without much to worry about and it's never been easier to create your own arena while solving payments w/ crypto so lots of people figured out that strategy. Companies like "deeplay" are making it easier for those people to create their own "arena" which creates the perception of a real game but is designed (sometimes in tandem with the "software" the game runs on to create a hold they feel comfortable with.)
It's safe to say the Neo boys have won this round playing by their own rules so we might need to hope they made enough money to quit and are getting bored with poker - they dropped the Bloomberg flex piece and advertised their new services in other markets so maybe their best guys are focusing on that
Using some type of deeper level KYC strategy + monitoring of the program seems pretty easy to overcome in 2024 on the player side so would love to hear more about how people are thinking about detecting that. I am supposed to have the head of A5 labs on my show (Not Alex or John) to talk more about it. People have built KYC defeating strats for years and sometimes the site won't track that at all. The topic of RTA itself is interesting because how different is a HUD than a "RTA" using some type of "AI strategy" who suggests you an output based on your input.
Creating a more "secured environment" at higher stakes with deeper level monitoring that you are referencing involving cameras/AI detectors might be a good step for a limited number of cases but with how easy it is to build/deploy RTA agents - you need to rely on other methods at games where that isn't being done. There is the case to be made that lot of people won't like this and won't want to play which I wouldn't mind as a site if I wanted to take the security to the next level. Your point about ethical data management is also very relevant because the gap between computer assisted and human is closing pretty fast and it's never been easier to use modern tools in real time to assist your game. How much different are those people than a "bot"?
If my goal as a site was to take collusion, super using, RTA, stable play, agent play, dee play serious while they build their own strategies to remain undetected then you have to be really good at your own data analysis. I believe that some sites are working on this very actively and taking it seriously while others are behind the curve and potentially actively working with the liquidity providers.
Game selection and play selection is more important than ever with "dee play" accounts masquerading as "regs" w/ all types of style.
There are 100s of arenas where it's pretty easy to deploy that strategy without much to worry about and it's never been easier to create your own arena while solving payments w/ crypto so lots of people figured out that strategy. Companies like "deeplay" are making it easier for those people to create their own "arena" which creates the perception of a real game but is designed (sometimes in tandem with the "software" the game runs on to create a hold they feel comfortable with.)
It's safe to say the Neo boys have won this round playing by their own rules so we might need to hope they made enough money to quit and are getting bored with poker - they dropped the Bloomberg flex piece and advertised their new services in other markets so maybe their best guys are focusing on that
It's an interesting question BJDegen because once you develop the solutions to stop outside "bots" - they will develop their own solution to remain undetected. The first "people" you look at are the winners and people who play long hours. If a "bot" is playing on the site and losing money then they would be harder to detect by an honest site that isn't putting the "bots" in themselves. If the sites are deploying the "bots" themselves they can create masquerading strategies of "new" bots showing up.
Stars has had many bot problems down through the years but obviously does a good job at catching up and implementing counter measures. The issue is that until now the bots have been somewhat dumb in implementation which means you can catch them relativity easily but that is rapidly changing with the advancements in AI. The new wave of AI enabled bots will be a completely different animal. The sophistication of them really shocked me when I found that video I posted on the previous page from one of NZT's sales pitches where the features already included sharing hole cards, using an NE baseline while deviating to exploit and this was all 4 years ago! I think the scale of their operation is lost on people. This is a company with hundreds of employees that are hiring developers, data scientists, ML/AI engineers, product managers etc.
Using some type of deeper level KYC strategy + monitoring of the program seems pretty easy to overcome in 2024 on the player side so would love to hear more about how people are thinking about detecting that. I am supposed to have the head of A5 labs on my show (Not Alex or John) to talk more about it. People have built KYC defeating strats for years and sometimes the site won't track that at all. The topic of RTA itself is interesting because how different is a HUD than a "RTA" using some type of "AI strategy" who suggests you an output based on your input.
Creating a more "secured environment" at higher stakes with deeper level monitoring that you are referencing involving cameras/AI detectors might be a good step for a limited number of cases but with how easy it is to build/deploy RTA agents - you need to rely on other methods at games where that isn't being done. There is the case to be made that lot of people won't like this and won't want to play which I wouldn't mind as a site if I wanted to take the security to the next level. Your point about ethical data management is also very relevant because the gap between computer assisted and human is closing pretty fast and it's never been easier to use modern tools in real time to assist your game. How much different are those people than a "bot"?
If my goal as a site was to take collusion, super using, RTA, stable play, agent play, dee play serious while they build their own strategies to remain undetected then you have to be really good at your own data analysis. I believe that some sites are working on this very actively and taking it seriously while others are behind the curve and potentially actively working with the liquidity providers.
If my goal as a site was to take collusion, super using, RTA, stable play, agent play, dee play serious while they build their own strategies to remain undetected then you have to be really good at your own data analysis. I believe that some sites are working on this very actively and taking it seriously while others are behind the curve and potentially actively working with the liquidity providers.
The products built from the ground up privately to be used as RTA are currently in real danger of spilling out into general consumption. You can already find the the vision part built to plug into API's that some companies make available and give yourself quite a decent homebrew kit. One of the more major problems is that there are people with private systems built form the ground up to be used as RTA and avoid detection completely outside of the Russian bot farm in this article that have their own AI/custom sims that operate by offering the system as RTA in like a CFP way to form large teams of cheaters.
The trust currently at really high stakes kind of blows my mind. All these guys have the resources to have custom solutions. The fact those games run with the ability of people to cheat currently is incredible but I guess the EV is all coming from the spots in the game so even if others feel someone is cheating that isn't all that relevant to them. I wouldn't be surprised if we seen the true extent of cheating online in poker that it would make cyclists blush. Who is the current Lance Armstrong of poker?
Changing gears completely towards the monitoring systems, if you have used a VR headset before when you don't have enough room you can physically draw a guardian where the system warns you when you move too close to the walls you have drawn. You have this playing area inside of which it is monitoring almost everything that you are doing along with building a model of the area inside the zone you have drawn. The headset is tracking a huge amount of data that could be used for security. It has cameras on the outside that is tracking the entire area in which the player is playing. They have cameras on the inside tracking head and eye movement. You could see exactly what the players is viewing inside the headset. It is tracking hand and body movement. It using a vast array of sensors like LIDAR to map 3D version of your real environment. There is a whole host of other sensors tracking a wide array of other stuff that could be used. This tech has been around for years. I am not even suggesting that we use a headset but given all this technology with AI it feels like something relatively cost effective could be designed specially to monitor players when playing something competitively online. Things like you have AI tracking hand movements to screen movements to show anomalies, only you have hundreds of these metrics. I know this probably seems like futuristic nonsense to many but I don't think that is the case. In my world these completely out of the box solutions are how the sites play offence rather than the current losing battle of the AI arms race they are embroiled in.
Game selection and play selection is more important than ever with "dee play" accounts masquerading as "regs" w/ all types of style.
There are 100s of arenas where it's pretty easy to deploy that strategy without much to worry about and it's never been easier to create your own arena while solving payments w/ crypto so lots of people figured out that strategy. Companies like "deeplay" are making it easier for those people to create their own "arena" which creates the perception of a real game but is designed (sometimes in tandem with the "software" the game runs on to create a hold they feel comfortable with.)
There are 100s of arenas where it's pretty easy to deploy that strategy without much to worry about and it's never been easier to create your own arena while solving payments w/ crypto so lots of people figured out that strategy. Companies like "deeplay" are making it easier for those people to create their own "arena" which creates the perception of a real game but is designed (sometimes in tandem with the "software" the game runs on to create a hold they feel comfortable with.)
It's safe to say the Neo boys have won this round playing by their own rules so we might need to hope they made enough money to quit and are getting bored with poker - they dropped the Bloomberg flex piece and advertised their new services in other markets so maybe their best guys are focusing on that
The talk centred around how this is an arms race with the best sites now at the cutting edge of innovation in terms of AI solutions, I think its really commendable to hear that these resources are getting poured into trying solutions but I will say that I don't believe this is an arms race the sites can win, they will always be behind in terms of what the other side is doing and playing catchup and I think the advances that we have, and are seeing will make this an intractable problem going forward if we focus on this as an arms race.
The thing is, we don't have to be perfect at detecting every bot or AI solution. We just have to be good enough to make the villains decide to go elsewhere. Generally that means catching them often enough and seizing enough of their money that they decide it's easier to play at a site with weaker security. This has always been the case - I remember years ago we had infiltrated a botting forum and they raised the 'risk level' of MPN from green to amber and started warning people to play elsewhere. We celebrated. (At the time, only Stars was red).
Sites like 888, Party, ACR, possibly even GG - they will be gone in a few years unless something changes, but those of us who continue to invest and stay at the front of the race will survive and thrive as this problem becomes more and more of a reason for players to move around.
What I haven't seen asked in these discussion or written about around this topic is can we find completely out of the box alternatives to solving these problem. Are the sites working on anything like this which is completely unique to ways in which they currently fight cheating?
Given all the AI, sensor, mapping technology it feels like there should be better solutions that can be found towards creating some sort of playing area at home for online use that can be completely monitored. It would have application across anything humans wanted to do competitively online going forward. That could be completely pie in the sky stuff but it feels very much to me like if solutions are to be found they will come from something which is completely outside the current thinking in how sites are trying to tackle these problems.
This is the scariest part about playing online nowadays. Not only bots, but software like h2n that can be setup used bought gameplay data to provide not only RTA, but exploitive RTA. I am incredibly surprised that sites allow it, it is not in the same universe of software as poker tracker or holdem manager.
About bots, it is basically common knowledge at this point that many sites are infested across the games and formats offered. Whichever site manages to mitigate this issue I shall pledge my eternal action to
About bots, it is basically common knowledge at this point that many sites are infested across the games and formats offered. Whichever site manages to mitigate this issue I shall pledge my eternal action to
- If you can play on WPT Global, do
- If you can't, play on PokerStars
Right now nobody else is worthy of your action
This is the scariest part about playing online nowadays. Not only bots, but software like h2n that can be setup used bought gameplay data to provide not only RTA, but exploitive RTA. I am incredibly surprised that sites allow it, it is not in the same universe of software as poker tracker or holdem manager.
But to me the moral implications hit differently as does the poker industry future.
I don't feel the evil element of these farms in the same way sure it's a step further but poker was always about sharks eating fish. Sure ethically there was nothing wrong, nobody forces anyone to play poker. But it's somewhat of a moral ambiguity when you know the only way you can make money is by fooling another person into thinking they have chance when statistically over the long run they have to be losing an order for you to profit.
Especially post GTO, because sure human error is involved and anything can happen on a single given hand. But by and large you're pitting a pool of players against computer solutions (via human memory) and slowly draining their funds. I always laugh when I hear people talk about growing the game like it's chess or basketball. Do they mean improving everybody's skill? Not quiet. It's about getting more fish to feed on
So you had a pool of sharks slowly feeding on fish using computer solutions to mathematically give them a huge edge. Along comes a bigger shark and finds a method to directly employ these computer solutions and feed on these other sharks. It's like a shark that learned to use a spear gun lol. Is there a definite difference ethically? Of course. Morally however?
The future of poker online may be dead. But is that a tragedy?
Through most of human history card games were largely a recreational activity with occasional hustlers who made a living sweeping through these recreational games. Or a losing activity they do when they go to their occasional vacation at a casino.
If we return to the state who loses out? Not the Recs, they were losing already. Not society, a slight brain drain that poker puts on our population surely doesn't help anybody. Taking above average intelligent people with good work ethic and locking them into a game where they just take other people's money is not productive. Maybe society's loss of entertainment? But how many non players are actually watching skilled poker? Professional poker has long lost the entertainment factor. It's rec poker that people find entertaining if at all.
The sites lose out and the pros. You can make an argument that a large portion of pro players would have happier lives If they did something else. Surely we all know pro players whose lives would have been much happier without. Or even worse, (I had a friend who was a grinder who killed himself -was quite a good player too he is unfortunately not a unique story)
I don't feel the evil element of these farms in the same way sure it's a step further but poker was always about sharks eating fish. Sure ethically there was nothing wrong, nobody forces anyone to play poker. But it's somewhat of a moral ambiguity when you know the only way you can make money is by fooling another person into thinking they have chance when statistically over the long run they have to be losing an order for you to profit.
Especially post GTO, because sure human error is involved and anything can happen on a single given hand. But by and large you're pitting a pool of players against computer solutions (via human memory) and slowly draining their funds. I always laugh when I hear people talk about growing the game like it's chess or basketball. Do they mean improving everybody's skill? Not quiet. It's about getting more fish to feed on
So you had a pool of sharks slowly feeding on fish using computer solutions to mathematically give them a huge edge. Along comes a bigger shark and finds a method to directly employ these computer solutions and feed on these other sharks. It's like a shark that learned to use a spear gun lol. Is there a definite difference ethically? Of course. Morally however?
The future of poker online may be dead. But is that a tragedy?
Through most of human history card games were largely a recreational activity with occasional hustlers who made a living sweeping through these recreational games. Or a losing activity they do when they go to their occasional vacation at a casino.
If we return to the state who loses out? Not the Recs, they were losing already. Not society, a slight brain drain that poker puts on our population surely doesn't help anybody. Taking above average intelligent people with good work ethic and locking them into a game where they just take other people's money is not productive. Maybe society's loss of entertainment? But how many non players are actually watching skilled poker? Professional poker has long lost the entertainment factor. It's rec poker that people find entertaining if at all.
The sites lose out and the pros. You can make an argument that a large portion of pro players would have happier lives If they did something else. Surely we all know pro players whose lives would have been much happier without. Or even worse, (I had a friend who was a grinder who killed himself -was quite a good player too he is unfortunately not a unique story)
Lots of good stuff in here but u won’t be popular lol
Russian Bot Army? Not surprising at all.
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