Quote:
Originally Posted by chinz
skelm:
That is also true and part of the reason (I certainly believe that best players won way more than 5ptbb/100 in 6max games back in 2006), but majority of people certainly didn't realize how tough the games actually are to beat with good winrate before PTR... A lot of people were really surprised to see how few big winners there actually are and that some "good regulars" are breakeven. It's not like PTR somehow caused regulars' winrates to drop into one third in just 2-6 months, people were too optimistic and not realizing how biased their winrate samples are (biggest winners are more likely to post results, and people are more likely to post samples where they are winning a lot). For some weird reason 90% of coaches (who had like 50-200k hand samples as their reference) suddenly started "running bad" or claiming "PTR misses my winnings"...
This. I don't know if BBV still does the month-end chart posting thread, but you don't think something's a
tad self-selective when all of the graphs posted show winrates that are through the roof?
Chinz has a good point about the winrate thing too, Skelm -- and it wasn't PTR that first "outted" them, it was PokerTracker...several years ago, even before PTR tracked hands, someone posted their PT screenshot over something like 1M hands, and everyone was shocked that the biggest winners (with sample sizes > 100K hands), a list that was the veritable who's who of HSNL 'beasts', only had winrates of 2-2.5 PTBB.
Granted that was at 25/50 and with little to no game selection, but still: that was one of the first threads that made people sit up and realize that the 5-10 PTBB winners were outliers / a product of SSS.